Board 8 > Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1344
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LeonhartFour 04/14/20 11:05:40 PM #1: |
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/1344-east-division-round-2-zero-vs-sonic-the-hedgehog
Remember when Zero used to be this strong? ~*creativename's contest site*~ http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/ ~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analyses*~ https://board8.fandom.com/wiki/Main_Page ~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~ http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html ~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim*~ http://www.thengamer.com/ http://thengamer.com/xstats ~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~ https://board8.fandom.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame https://board8.fandom.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame ~*Closest Wire-To-Wire Matches*~ https://board8.fandom.com/wiki/Closest_Wire-to-Wire_Matches ~*All-Time Guru List*~ https://board8.fandom.com/wiki/All_Time_Guru_Rankings ~*Most Surprising Results*~ https://board8.fandom.com/wiki/Most_Surprising_Results ~*Contest Histories*~ https://board8.fandom.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories ~*All the Match Pics*~ http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php ~*Daily Vote Trends - An Explanation for Dummies*~ https://board8.fandom.com/wiki/Daily_Vote_Trends ~*Leonhart4's Trend Charts*~ https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?hl=en&key=tOGmynfNIiNy5VukpEF-PdA&hl=en#gid=0 ~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~ A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's extrapolated percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA --- ... Copied to Clipboard!
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LeonhartFour 04/15/20 12:39:02 AM #2: |
We need you now.
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_SecretSquirrel 04/15/20 12:40:14 AM #3: |
Little did we know what pain Sonic was in for that year.
--- Agent Triple Zero at your service! This line reserved for the true greatone, the 2020 Guru contest winner. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Yuri_LowelI 04/15/20 12:40:23 AM #4: |
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MechanicalWall 04/15/20 12:50:29 AM #5: |
Europe gonna keep the cowboys at bay?
I sure hope so, they are true people of culture who know a good waifu simulator when they see one --- If you're only on this board to whine about "SJWs", please redirect whatever you type on to the nearest trash can. And hop in after it. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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HaRRicH 04/15/20 1:12:21 AM #6: |
So much for the #cupset
--- O P E R A T I O N O U S T : Nominate SHEIK! https://vignette.wikia.nocookie.net/ssb/images/0/0d/Sheik-Victory3-SSB4.png ... Copied to Clipboard!
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LeonhartFour 04/15/20 1:22:26 AM #7: |
_SecretSquirrel posted...
Little did we know what pain Sonic was in for that year. hopefully in for less pain this round! I'm also hoping to wake up to a comfortable lead tomorrow, but that hasn't worked out the last few days! --- ... Copied to Clipboard!
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LeonhartFour 04/15/20 1:26:33 AM #8: |
lead is now over 300
I'll take it --- ... Copied to Clipboard!
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WhiteLens 04/15/20 1:27:45 AM #9: |
So does Claire still beat Joker in a re-match?
Because now we have Smash Ultimate and RE2 Remake to consider. --- http://www.backloggery.com/whitelens | https://myanimelist.net/profile/WhiteLens F/GO: 271551102; FFRK: 9k6d; FFBE: 886783216; LLSIFAS: 438166726 ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Yuri_LowelI 04/15/20 1:28:22 AM #10: |
East coast is falling asleep. California is hard for persona. Which is helping it it seems
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Yuri_LowelI 04/15/20 1:29:19 AM #11: |
WhiteLens posted...
So does Claire still beat Joker in a re-match? no chance. Joker is gonna be a force now. plus claire wasnt even the hottest girl in re2. Ada has her beat. --- ... Copied to Clipboard!
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pjbasis 04/15/20 1:31:00 AM #12: |
Not after smash probably.
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_SecretSquirrel 04/15/20 1:31:14 AM #13: |
WhiteLens posted...
So does Claire still beat Joker in a re-match?Joker probably wins if he actually gets a Joker pic, much less Persona 5 getting Smash boosted. --- Agent Triple Zero at your service! This line reserved for the true greatone, the 2020 Guru contest winner. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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BlAcK TuRtLe 04/15/20 1:57:59 AM #14: |
What is the correlation between weeb garbage and rallies. I swear, besides that small Shovel Knight counter rally, every other ally in contest history was for trash. Where are all the rallies for quality games?
--- "Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and hellboy" - trancer1 lol xstats ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Nintendogs 04/15/20 1:58:47 AM #15: |
Looks like Persona 4 is pulling away comfortably.
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DoctorJimmy133 04/15/20 4:15:14 AM #16: |
Well, now the P4G/RDR match has been at a complete standstill for two hours.
Anyone have any idea what the trends are going to look like? --- Advokaiser is the man. Congrats! ... Copied to Clipboard!
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handsomeboy2012 04/15/20 4:18:57 AM #17: |
I wished hourly stats were done on this match, seems close enough to warrant one.
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tennisboy213 04/15/20 4:25:23 AM #18: |
DoctorJimmy133 posted...
Well, now the P4G/RDR match has been at a complete standstill for two hours.Hard to tell. It's very even in North America. P4G is winning in most of Europe but losing in the UK, Europe's largest voting bloc. RDR has a worse board vote so it could rise all day like some other entrants with bad board votes do. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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tennisboy213 04/15/20 4:38:19 AM #19: |
handsomeboy2012 posted...
I wished hourly stats were done on this match, seems close enough to warrant one.Wish granted. P4G by the hour: time | percent | gain/loss | lead/deficit 21:00 | 52.24% | +161 | +161 22:00 | 51.16% | +53 | +214 23:00 | 49.52% | -18 | +196 00:00 | 50.99% | +32 | +228 01:00 | 50.45% | +14 | +242 02:00 | 54.45% | +115 | +357 03:00 | 47.91% | -44 | +313 04:00 | 50.36% | +7 | +320 ... Copied to Clipboard!
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XavierStronome 04/15/20 4:39:27 AM #20: |
Damn, and I thought RDR would win by a landslide. I'm happy though, I do want P4G to win GOTD.
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handsomeboy2012 04/15/20 4:39:56 AM #21: |
Thanks, doesn't look like there's much of a trend at all
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DoctorJimmy133 04/15/20 4:42:20 AM #22: |
tennisboy213 posted...
Hard to tell. It's very even in North America. P4G is winning in most of Europe but losing in the UK, Europe's largest voting bloc. RDR has a worse board vote so it could rise all day like some other entrants with bad board votes do.Hmm. Guess it's gonna be another one of those then. --- Advokaiser is the man. Congrats! ... Copied to Clipboard!
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KamikazePotato 04/15/20 4:48:45 AM #23: |
At this point in time, Octopath and Rayman were already making big moves. RDR is kinda spinning its wheels.
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davidponte 04/15/20 4:52:36 AM #24: |
I'm very impressed with GTA in a "doesn't look horrible" sense. I think it's good to make the division finals.
--- The final Undisputed Champion in UCA history. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Lightning Strikes 04/15/20 5:00:50 AM #25: |
Ah well, at least RDR will look good and GTAV should win next round. And not just for my bracket, P4G shouldn't even be here. I am convinced the only reason it is here is to give the Vita a rep, though most voting for it won't have even played it on Vita. It's a straight 2000's proxy.
So is RDR1 actually the weakest Rockstar game here like the seeding suggests? I kind of assumed it would be stronger but everything we've seen suggests that not only is GTAV stronger, but RDR2 probably is as well. Also glad to see that Baba is You isn't turbofodder, I thought it wouldn't be. --- I just decided to change this sig. Blaaaaaaargh Advokaiser ... Copied to Clipboard!
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handsomeboy2012 04/15/20 5:03:23 AM #26: |
KamikazePotato posted...
At this point in time, Octopath and Rayman were already making big moves. RDR is kinda spinning its wheels.Time for another rally then ... Copied to Clipboard!
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shane15 04/15/20 5:15:58 AM #27: |
I see that match was ruined in the end as expected. Shame i didn't take Xenoblade to win this division though as i might actually get GTA in the final right.
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Sharinnegan 04/15/20 5:33:57 AM #28: |
well this should pretty much remove any chance for RDR2 later
Persona 5 is definitely significantly stronger than Persona 4 (and golden might even be weaker due to the remaster stigma), and RDR2 ..uh..should be about the same as 1? ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Safer_777 04/15/20 5:35:55 AM #29: |
Woke up checked the results. Didn't expected P4 and RDR to be that close. Also who rallied for SK yesterday? I want info.
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DoctorJimmy133 04/15/20 5:40:21 AM #30: |
Safer_777 posted...
Woke up checked the results. Didn't expected P4 and RDR to be that close. Also who rallied for SK yesterday? I want info.There was a rally on /r/shovelknight which got traction Then someone posted a rally on /r/octopathtraveler which got stickied, and got traction Octopath looked like it was going to win then fucking YACHT CLUB GAMES tweeted the match out and clinched it for SK Was great --- Advokaiser is the man. Congrats! ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Safer_777 04/15/20 5:45:52 AM #31: |
Ah the creators of SK? Okay thanks people. Rallies are fun!
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XavierStronome 04/15/20 5:53:02 AM #32: |
Sharinnegan posted...
miss --- hhhhhhhhhhh hhhhhhhh - william snackshack ... Copied to Clipboard!
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AC1 04/15/20 6:17:22 AM #33: |
The rally that occurred ~60 minutes prior to poll closing is very nasty. Octopath Traveler fall for that trick.
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CProtectionSvce 04/15/20 6:19:07 AM #34: |
BlAcK TuRtLe posted...
What is the correlation between weeb garbage and rallies. I swear, besides that small Shovel Knight counter rally, every other ally in contest history was for trash. Where are all the rallies for quality games?Most rallies are either underdog indies or meme votes ala L-Block and Draven (which we haven't had in this contest). What are you talking about? --- To protect children, the elderly, and people with disabilities from abuse, neglect, and exploitation ... Copied to Clipboard!
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ctesjbuvf 04/15/20 6:39:22 AM #35: |
Persona sure doesn't want to run away with it
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ctesjbuvf 04/15/20 6:42:27 AM #36: |
Also, GTAV is looking to challenge Three Houses for percentage.
--- Guinness Book of World Records is the name of the diary that belongs to Advokaiser, the winner of the Character Battle X guru contest. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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davidponte 04/15/20 6:50:27 AM #37: |
ctesjbuvf posted...
Also, GTAV is looking to challenge Three Houses for percentage. Maybe my GTA > Three Houses pick wasn't so bad after all. Other than Three Houses losing before it even gets to that point. --- The final Undisputed Champion in UCA history. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Yuri_LowelI 04/15/20 6:54:02 AM #38: |
GTa is getting annoying with these ridiculous % rise over the course of the day
part of me wants it to beat persona or red dead so it can get a deserved beating by Monado. Needs to be taught a lesson like Golden Sun did to its older brother. --- ... Copied to Clipboard!
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LordoftheMorons 04/15/20 6:55:25 AM #39: |
davidponte posted...
Maybe my GTA > Three Houses pick wasn't so bad after all. Other than Three Houses losing before it even gets to that point.I think Id take Ori over Cuphead. --- Congrats to Advokaiser for winning the CBX Guru Challenge! ... Copied to Clipboard!
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davidponte 04/15/20 6:56:46 AM #40: |
Yuri_LowelI posted...
GTa is getting annoying with these ridiculous % rise over the course of the day  --- The final Undisputed Champion in UCA history. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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davidponte 04/15/20 6:57:52 AM #41: |
LordoftheMorons posted...
I think Id take Ori over Cuphead. 12 hours ago people thought Cuphead was strong enough to beat GTA, and now it's so weak it can't even beat Ori? --- The final Undisputed Champion in UCA history. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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LordoftheMorons 04/15/20 6:59:36 AM #42: |
davidponte posted...
12 hours ago people thought Cuphead was strong enough to beat GTA, and now it's so weak it can't even beat Ori?I dont know about other people, but I certainly wouldnt have considered taking Cuphead over GTAV! --- Congrats to Advokaiser for winning the CBX Guru Challenge! ... Copied to Clipboard!
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LinkMarioSamus 04/15/20 7:04:58 AM #43: |
This GTA result is about what I expected. I know GTA has a tendency to tank in contests, but there's a world of difference between San Andreas losing to RPGs and the stronger GTAV losing to freaking Cuphead.
These GTAV results this contest would look underwhelming if we expected GTAV to be one of the big dogs of the contest like we probably would have without past contest results, but GTA's propensity to choke makes these results look not so bad. GTAV's performances are an embarrassment to its 1 seed, but I suppose we collectively expected even worse? --- "Nothing I could do!" -Darksydephil ... Copied to Clipboard!
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LordoftheMorons 04/15/20 7:11:00 AM #44: |
GTAV was strong in 2015! Compare these:
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/6139- https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/6169- --- Congrats to Advokaiser for winning the CBX Guru Challenge! ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Raka_Putra 04/15/20 7:12:56 AM #45: |
So this bode well for P4G right?
RDR >> Cuphead? --- Into the woods, but mind the past... Into the woods, but mind the future! ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Nanis23 04/15/20 7:28:06 AM #47: |
Yeah this is not looking good at all for P4
I expected more, much more from it --- wololo ... Copied to Clipboard!
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MetalmindStats 04/15/20 7:30:06 AM #48: |
LordoftheMorons posted...
GTAV was strong in 2015! Compare these:That's an inherently skewed comparison, because Super Mario RPG had built up a major bandwagon by the time it reached Resident Evil 4. --- "I believe in a universe that doesn't care, and people who do." You won the CBX Guru Contest, Advokaiser! Bully for you! ... Copied to Clipboard!
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LinkMarioSamus 04/15/20 7:31:50 AM #49: |
GTAV being fairly strong in '15 was my point precisely. However, plugging Cuphead's current result into the 2015 x-stats gives it 34% on Mario RPG. Cuphead probably does break 30%, but it probably doesn't do THAT well. So GTAV probably dropped a little in strength.
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ZeldaTPLink 04/15/20 7:33:16 AM #50: |
The beauty of Division 4 is that even if you get it wrong, there are so many possibilities for a division winner that it might not affect your bracket that much.
Like not many people have Xenoblade winning anyway. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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