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AwesomeTurtwig 04/19/20 6:23:17 PM #1: |
It's been dropping pretty steadily, because the number of new cases haven't been growing, mostly slightly downward trending.
So that's good. --- http://potders.com/sigs/1.gif My flash games: http://bit.ly/kO1BDd Rule free PotD: http://www.potders.com/forum/ ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Kyuubi4269 04/19/20 6:24:49 PM #2: |
The advantage of people going out recklessly is that you reak peak deaths early.
--- Doctor Foxx posted... The demonizing of soy has a lot to do with xenophobic ideas. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Lokarin 04/19/20 7:10:28 PM #3: |
Does that mean a doubling every 20 days?... or what
Ifso, then that's tremendously good and under the mendoza line of 1.055 new cases per day --- "Salt cures Everything!" My YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/user/Nirakolov/videos ... Copied to Clipboard!
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AwesomeTurtwig 04/19/20 7:36:23 PM #4: |
Lokarin posted...
Does that mean a doubling every 20 days?... or whatNo at 5% it would double in less than 20 days since it compounds if it stayed at 5%. But it's been dropping. --- http://potders.com/sigs/1.gif My flash games: http://bit.ly/kO1BDd Rule free PotD: http://www.potders.com/forum/ ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Lokarin 04/19/20 7:43:14 PM #5: |
Either way, 5% is about a third of the danger rate... so if things stay like this for 2 more weeks we can consider the disease beaten.
--- "Salt cures Everything!" My YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/user/Nirakolov/videos ... Copied to Clipboard!
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papercup 04/19/20 7:43:57 PM #6: |
But isn't the daily positive rate still near 20%, so doesn't that tell us we should be testing more than we are?
--- Nintendo Network ID: papercups 3DS FC: 4124 5916 9925 ... Copied to Clipboard!
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shadowsword87 04/19/20 7:45:01 PM #7: |
papercup posted...
But isn't the daily positive rate still near 20%, so doesn't that tell us we should be testing more than we are? I'm going to be honest, I have no idea what that number means and, likely, neither do you. --- ImmortalityV, "I would like to kiss Icoyar to be honest in a non gay way though" ... Copied to Clipboard!
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papercup 04/19/20 7:54:45 PM #8: |
shadowsword87 posted...
I'm going to be honest, I have no idea what that number means and, likely, neither do you. All it means is 1 in 5 tested every day is positive, but that number is consistent, so it's still spreading. --- Nintendo Network ID: papercups 3DS FC: 4124 5916 9925 ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Mead 04/19/20 7:56:44 PM #9: |
We have no idea what the numbers actually are because most of the country still isnt doing tests for the virus
--- Lemonheads ... Copied to Clipboard!
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shadowsword87 04/19/20 7:57:27 PM #10: |
Yeah we know that it's spreading from just the positive tests.
What it doesn't tell me if there should be an increased production or not. Are doctors asking for the test with everyone with a cough, pneumonia, or just every person who walks by? Would increasing the number of tests available help out? Is that even an issue? What is the ideal percentage of positive rates? That's what I don't know. --- ImmortalityV, "I would like to kiss Icoyar to be honest in a non gay way though" ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Judgmenl 04/19/20 7:58:15 PM #11: |
Yet the numbers here in Masscahusetts keep on going up.
--- You're a regular Jack Kerouac I'm a Senior Software Engineer. No I don't write TPS reports, this isn't Office Space. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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AwesomeTurtwig 04/19/20 8:07:49 PM #12: |
Judgmenl posted...
Yet the numbers here in Masscahusetts keep on going up.Well 5% isn't 0%. Also 5% is US total. MA is 8%. --- http://potders.com/sigs/1.gif My flash games: http://bit.ly/kO1BDd Rule free PotD: http://www.potders.com/forum/ ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Judgmenl 04/19/20 8:09:36 PM #13: |
It's also a weekend.
We have seen lower number of cases every weekend thus far. And the moment people start going back to work it's just going to get worse. --- You're a regular Jack Kerouac I'm a Senior Software Engineer. No I don't write TPS reports, this isn't Office Space. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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blu 04/19/20 8:16:24 PM #14: |
Lokarin posted...
Does that mean a doubling every 20 days?... or what A rough/quick way of estimating doubling periods is rule of 72. A 5% daily increase would mean a doubling rate of 14.4 days. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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zebatov 04/19/20 8:20:24 PM #15: |
Kyuubi4269 posted...
The advantage of people going out recklessly is that you reak peak deaths early.Except something like fifteen times more people died in the second wave of the Spanish flu. These arent peak. Peak happens when you think its safe. --- C was right. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Lokarin 04/19/20 9:04:34 PM #16: |
blu posted...
A rough/quick way of estimating doubling periods is rule of 72. A 5% daily increase would mean a doubling rate of 14.4 days. Ok, so still not under the 1.055 goal, but pretty close --- "Salt cures Everything!" My YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/user/Nirakolov/videos ... Copied to Clipboard!
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FrozenBananas 04/19/20 10:11:19 PM #17: |
AwesomeTurtwig posted...
It's been dropping pretty steadily, because the number of new cases haven't been growing, mostly slightly downward trending. I dont mean to be a jerk, but this might be because the US has stopped drive-thru testing, which clearly will make the numbers drop. that's not to say the other countries havent been lying about their numbers as well. Because they clearly have *cough cough* China *cough cough* --- machine-gun jubblies?! how did I miss those, baby?! ... Copied to Clipboard!
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FrozenBananas 04/19/20 10:12:37 PM #18: |
papercup posted...
All it means is 1 in 5 tested every day is positive, but that number is consistent, so it's still spreading. 2 weeks ago they were saying 30% of the negative test results were actually false negatives. The numbers dont mean shit --- machine-gun jubblies?! how did I miss those, baby?! ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Monopoman 04/19/20 10:30:06 PM #19: |
shadowsword87 posted...
Yeah we know that it's spreading from just the positive tests. From what I hear from my relative that is a nurse at a clinic, people can't request a test unless they are showing potential symptoms. There is not enough tests to let everyone that wants a test get one. Now I have no clue about testing stations put up to give out tests though, there you may be able to get a test no matter what. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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AwesomeTurtwig 04/19/20 10:51:48 PM #20: |
FrozenBananas posted...
I dont mean to be a jerk, but this might be because the US has stopped drive-thru testing, which clearly will make the numbers drop.That's a valid point, but I think someone needs to define how much testing is satisfactory. Like everyone says "we need to test more," which more testing is good. But no one is saying "well how much testing is enough?" The US has more testing done then UK, France, and a few other leading testing countries combined. Should we keep testing? Yes. But when do we stop or slow it down? --- http://potders.com/sigs/1.gif My flash games: http://bit.ly/kO1BDd Rule free PotD: http://www.potders.com/forum/ ... Copied to Clipboard!
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AwesomeTurtwig 04/19/20 10:52:42 PM #21: |
FrozenBananas posted...
2 weeks ago they were saying 30% of the negative test results were actually false negatives. The numbers dont mean shitIf you don't trust any numbers, why even test? --- http://potders.com/sigs/1.gif My flash games: http://bit.ly/kO1BDd Rule free PotD: http://www.potders.com/forum/ ... Copied to Clipboard!
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FrozenBananas 04/19/20 10:59:57 PM #22: |
AwesomeTurtwig posted...
If you don't trust any numbers, why even test? In not the one testing. Even the president wants to stop funding testing because 1. Its coming back with terribly inconsistent results, and 2. He hates the fact that its raising the US numbers, while every other country is covering up their own numbers. So he says fuck it --- machine-gun jubblies?! how did I miss those, baby?! ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Monopoman 04/19/20 11:16:56 PM #23: |
FrozenBananas posted...
In not the one testing. Even the president wants to stop funding testing because 1. Its coming back with terribly inconsistent results, and 2. He hates the fact that its raising the US numbers, while every other country is covering up their own numbers. So he says fuck it Trumps #1 goal in life is to make himself look like he is doing the best thing possible at all times, and making sure he gets blamed for nothing. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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AwesomeTurtwig 04/20/20 12:22:06 AM #24: |
Also I don't know why you are putting "president" in quotes. He is in fact the president.
--- http://potders.com/sigs/1.gif My flash games: http://bit.ly/kO1BDd Rule free PotD: http://www.potders.com/forum/ ... Copied to Clipboard!
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shadowsword87 04/20/20 1:20:01 AM #25: |
Monopoman posted...
From what I hear from my relative that is a nurse at a clinic, people can't request a test unless they are showing potential symptoms. There is not enough tests to let everyone that wants a test get one. I mean, that's also standard operating procedure. There's hypochondriacs who I'm willing to bet are freaking out right now, and people who are becoming hypochondriacs. --- ImmortalityV, "I would like to kiss Icoyar to be honest in a non gay way though" ... Copied to Clipboard!
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JixHedgehog 04/20/20 1:27:30 AM #26: |
Hawaii here I come
--- Not changing my sig until Nintendo announces the Switch XL 1/12/2017 ... Copied to Clipboard!
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captpackrat 04/20/20 12:31:10 PM #27: |
It's accelerating here in Nebraska.
--- Minutus cantorum, minutus balorum, Minutus carborata descendum pantorum. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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