Current Events > 538 posts election forecast, says Joe Biden has a 71% chance of winning

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Damn_Underscore 08/12/20 4:11:16 PM #1:	Who will win the 2020 presidential election Joe Biden Donald Trump Tie Who will win the 2020 presidential election - Results (40 votes) Joe Biden 62.5% (25 votes) 25 Donald Trump 20% (8 votes) 8 Tie 17.5% (7 votes) 7 https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/ "We simulate the election 40,000 times to see who wins most often. The sample of 100 outcomes below gives you a good idea of the range of scenarios our model thinks is possible." Does gamefaqs poll agree with this? --- Shenmue II = best game of all time Shenmue = 2nd best game of all time <cite>Damn_Underscore posted [p:943302663] in 538 posts ... [t:78908132]...</cite> <quote> Who will win the 2020 presidential election Joe Biden Donald Trump Tie Vote View Results Who will win the 2020 presidential election - Results (40 votes) Joe Biden 62.5% (25 votes) 25 Donald Trump 20% (8 votes) 8 Tie 17.5% (7 votes) 7 Show Voting Form https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/ "We simulate the election 40,000 times to see who wins most often. The sample of 100 outcomes below gives you a good idea of the range of scenarios our model thinks is possible." Does gamefaqs poll agree with this? </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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DarkBuster22904 08/12/20 4:13:03 PM #3:	Every single poll/projection forecasted a Hillary win in 2016. Simulations are fun, but mean very little. Personally I hope they both get disqualified. Never gonna happen, but that makes it no different than the rest of my hopes and dreams, so... --- Haven't had a good sig idea since 2006 <cite>DarkBuster22904 posted [p:943302722] in 538 posts ... [t:78908132]...</cite> <quote>Every single poll/projection forecasted a Hillary win in 2016. Simulations are fun, but mean very little. Personally I hope they both get disqualified. Never gonna happen, but that makes it no different than the rest of my hopes and dreams, so... </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
voldothegr8 08/12/20 4:13:19 PM #4:	https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/ --- Oda break tracker 2020- 5 (5) \| THE Ohio State: 13-1 \| Oakland Raiders: 7-9 <cite>voldothegr8 posted [p:943302734] in 538 posts ... [t:78908132]...</cite> <quote>https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Shotgunnova 08/12/20 4:14:37 PM #5:	--- Take me down from the ridge where the summer ends And watch the city spread out just like a jet's flame <cite>Shotgunnova posted [p:943302787] in 538 posts ... [t:78908132]...</cite> <quote> </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Coloradough 08/12/20 4:15:45 PM #6:	Meaningless --- Slaves, be subject to your masters with all reverence, even to those who are perverse - The Holy Bible <cite>Coloradough posted [p:943302832] in 538 posts ... [t:78908132]...</cite> <quote>Meaningless </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Zero_Destroyer 08/12/20 4:16:18 PM #7:	DarkBuster22904 posted... Every single poll/projection forecasted a Hillary win in 2016. Simulations are fun, but mean very little. Personally I hope they both get disqualified. Never gonna happen, but that makes it no different than the rest of my hopes and dreams, so... voldothegr8 posted... https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/ it's weird how the 538 explains this yet these posts still exist i guess if i call a 1 roll on a die and roll the 1, i'm a liar --- Enjoy movies and television? Check out my blog! I do reviews and analyses. http://fictionrantreview.wordpress.com/ (The Force Awakens spoiler review up!) <cite>Zero_Destroyer posted [p:943302855] in 538 posts ... [t:78908132]...</cite> <quote>DarkBuster22904 posted... </cite> <quote>Every single poll/projection forecasted a Hillary win in 2016. Simulations are fun, but mean very little. Personally I hope they both get disqualified. Never gonna happen, but that makes it no different than the rest of my hopes and dreams, so...</quote> voldothegr8 posted... </cite> <quote>https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/</quote> it's weird how the 538 explains this yet these posts still exist i guess if i call a 1 roll on a die and roll the 1, i'm a liar </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
RebelElite791 08/12/20 4:17:36 PM #8:	Who will win? Biden. Who will take/retain the presidency? I'm not confident. --- Einsprachigkeit ist heilbar https://imgur.com/MS5SvzN <cite>RebelElite791 posted [p:943302902] in 538 posts ... [t:78908132]...</cite> <quote>Who will win? Biden. Who will take/retain the presidency? I'm not confident. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Solar_Crimson 08/12/20 4:18:18 PM #9:	Thunder in Pokemon has a 70% accuracy, and seems to always miss when you need it the most. People cannot get complacent like with Hillary. The future of our country actually depends on getting Trump out of office. --- I often wonder if we are growing as a people... or in fact, regressing. <cite>Solar_Crimson posted [p:943302933] in 538 posts ... [t:78908132]...</cite> <quote>Thunder in Pokemon has a 70% accuracy, and seems to always miss when you need it the most. People cannot get complacent like with Hillary. The future of our country actually depends on getting Trump out of office. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Giant_Aspirin 08/12/20 4:19:20 PM #10:	Clinton was at 68% right before the election IIRC --- Playing: Doom Eternal; Rocket League; Streets of Rage 4 You see it your way, I'll see it mine and I'll be fine <cite>Giant_Aspirin posted [p:943302977] in 538 posts ... [t:78908132]...</cite> <quote>Clinton was at 68% right before the election IIRC </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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BlueTigerLion 08/12/20 4:21:22 PM #12:	It still isn't 100% so Trump unfortunately still has a chance. --- Hey now. <cite>BlueTigerLion posted [p:943303046] in 538 posts ... [t:78908132]...</cite> <quote>It still isn't 100% so Trump unfortunately still has a chance. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Tsukasa1891 08/12/20 4:22:59 PM #13:	Maybe Trump will lose the 2024 election, but I wont hold my breath on that. <cite>Tsukasa1891 posted [p:943303103] in 538 posts ... [t:78908132]...</cite> <quote>Maybe Trump will lose the 2024 election, but I wont hold my breath on that. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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RebelElite791 08/12/20 4:29:29 PM #15:	GregShmedley posted... What makes you say this? I'm not confident in our institutions and Congress to hold Trump to the fire if he refuses to leave office or claims election meddling/tries to invalidate the vote counts. --- Einsprachigkeit ist heilbar https://imgur.com/MS5SvzN <cite>RebelElite791 posted [p:943303394] in 538 posts ... [t:78908132]...</cite> <quote>GregShmedley posted... </cite> <quote>What makes you say this?</quote>I'm not confident in our institutions and Congress to hold Trump to the fire if he refuses to leave office or claims election meddling/tries to invalidate the vote counts. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Damn_Underscore 08/12/20 4:30:42 PM #16:	Yes if Biden wins Trump will say "You know what, I'm just going to remain president" and everyone will say "ok" --- Shenmue II = best game of all time Shenmue = 2nd best game of all time <cite>Damn_Underscore posted [p:943303463] in 538 posts ... [t:78908132]...</cite> <quote>Yes if Biden wins Trump will say "You know what, I'm just going to remain president" and everyone will say "ok" </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
DarkBuster22904 08/12/20 4:32:42 PM #17:	GregShmedley posted... What makes you say this? Idk about him, but I'd say its because I don't expect trump to take a loss gracefully. He's been laying the groundwork to have unfavorable results thrown out for months. His bashing/fight against mail in ballots, constant railing against rigged results and false reporting, he's doing it all for a reason. Whether you think his complaints are made in good faith or not, one thing that I can guarantee is that if he loses, he'll throw out every card he can to get the election stalled, contested, thrown out. Whether it'll succeed, whether it'll delay, or whether it'll just spark more (and worse) riots,I can't say. But Mark my words, if he loses, he WILL try something. --- Haven't had a good sig idea since 2006 <cite>DarkBuster22904 posted [p:943303551] in 538 posts ... [t:78908132]...</cite> <quote>GregShmedley posted... </cite> <quote>What makes you say this?</quote>Idk about him, but I'd say its because I don't expect trump to take a loss gracefully. He's been laying the groundwork to have unfavorable results thrown out for months. His bashing/fight against mail in ballots, constant railing against rigged results and false reporting, he's doing it all for a reason. Whether you think his complaints are made in good faith or not, one thing that I can guarantee is that if he loses, he'll throw out every card he can to get the election stalled, contested, thrown out. Whether it'll succeed, whether it'll delay, or whether it'll just spark more (and worse) riots,I can't say. But Mark my words, if he loses, he WILL try something. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Antifar 08/12/20 4:33:27 PM #18:	Real chance that Trump is leading the vote count in key states on election night and claims victory at that point. How do you see him and his supporters reacting if and when the mail in votes start getting counted and Biden takes the lead? --- kin to all that throbs <cite>Antifar posted [p:943303577] in 538 posts ... [t:78908132]...</cite> <quote>Real chance that Trump is leading the vote count in key states on election night and claims victory at that point. How do you see him and his supporters reacting if and when the mail in votes start getting counted and Biden takes the lead?</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Anime 08/12/20 4:34:29 PM #19:	only poll that matters is in November --- https://files.catbox.moe/8uft7z.jpg <cite>Anime posted [p:943303624] in 538 posts ... [t:78908132]...</cite> <quote>only poll that matters is in November </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
RebelElite791 08/12/20 4:35:04 PM #20:	Antifar posted... Real chance that Trump is leading the vote count in key states on election night and claims victory at that point. How do you see him and his supporters reacting if and when the mail in votes start getting counted and Biden takes the lead? Also, this. --- Einsprachigkeit ist heilbar https://imgur.com/MS5SvzN <cite>RebelElite791 posted [p:943303646] in 538 posts ... [t:78908132]...</cite> <quote>Antifar posted... </cite> <quote>Real chance that Trump is leading the vote count in key states on election night and claims victory at that point. How do you see him and his supporters reacting if and when the mail in votes start getting counted and Biden takes the lead?</quote>Also, this. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Alpha218 08/12/20 4:35:05 PM #21:	Zero_Destroyer posted... it's weird how the 538 explains this yet these posts still exist i guess if i call a 1 roll on a die and roll the 1, i'm a liar People that make those posts dont read the articles. They just want to push the narrative that negative polls on Trump mean nothing. Hillarys margin with Trump was smaller and the Comey bombshell (with air quotes because they also closed the case shortly after with 0 new evidence found) changed some minds like, right before the election --- I'm Commander Shepard, and this is my favorite user on the Citadel. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_q8t4QHypeQ <cite>Alpha218 posted [p:943303647] in 538 posts ... [t:78908132]...</cite> <quote>Zero_Destroyer posted... </cite> <quote>it's weird how the 538 explains this yet these posts still exist i guess if i call a 1 roll on a die and roll the 1, i'm a liar</quote>People that make those posts dont read the articles. They just want to push the narrative that negative polls on Trump mean nothing. Hillarys margin with Trump was smaller and the Comey bombshell (with air quotes because they also closed the case shortly after with 0 new evidence found) changed some minds like, right before the election </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Politics 08/12/20 4:35:29 PM #22:	Heres how Clinton can still win --- (= <cite>Politics posted [p:943303663] in 538 posts ... [t:78908132]...</cite> <quote>Heres how Clinton can still win </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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TendoDRM 08/12/20 4:37:12 PM #24:	CE's prediction is 68% right now, pretty close to 538's... --- Cel Damage! Tonight at 8:00! <cite>TendoDRM posted [p:943303739] in 538 posts ... [t:78908132]...</cite> <quote>CE's prediction is 68% right now, pretty close to 538's... </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
RebelElite791 08/12/20 4:38:42 PM #25:	GregShmedley posted... I agree 100%. I'll even go as far as to say there are sects of the military and law enforcement that would back him--and it wouldn't take defection, either. Even if the military didn't (and they've so far refused to heed his beck and call), the feds that were being deployed to Portland are fiercely loyal to him --- Einsprachigkeit ist heilbar https://imgur.com/MS5SvzN <cite>RebelElite791 posted [p:943303798] in 538 posts ... [t:78908132]...</cite> <quote>GregShmedley posted... </cite> <quote>I agree 100%. I'll even go as far as to say there are sects of the military and law enforcement that would back him--and it wouldn't take defection, either.</quote>Even if the military didn't (and they've so far refused to heed his beck and call), the feds that were being deployed to Portland are fiercely loyal to him </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Giant_Aspirin 08/12/20 4:38:57 PM #26:	RebelElite791 posted... I'm not confident in our institutions and Congress to hold Trump to the fire if he refuses to leave office or claims election meddling/tries to invalidate the vote counts. the Secret Service are loyal to the Constitution, not to any individual. the military doesn't think very highly of Trump. they won't revolt against the rest of the nation for him. --- Playing: Doom Eternal; Rocket League; Streets of Rage 4 You see it your way, I'll see it mine and I'll be fine <cite>Giant_Aspirin posted [p:943303809] in 538 posts ... [t:78908132]...</cite> <quote>RebelElite791 posted... </cite> <quote>I'm not confident in our institutions and Congress to hold Trump to the fire if he refuses to leave office or claims election meddling/tries to invalidate the vote counts.</quote> the Secret Service are loyal to the Constitution, not to any individual. the military doesn't think very highly of Trump. they won't revolt against the rest of the nation for him. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
RebelElite791 08/12/20 4:39:19 PM #27:	Giant_Aspirin posted... the Secret Service are loyal to the Constitution, not to any individual. Cute. --- Einsprachigkeit ist heilbar https://imgur.com/MS5SvzN <cite>RebelElite791 posted [p:943303819] in 538 posts ... [t:78908132]...</cite> <quote>Giant_Aspirin posted... </cite> <quote>the Secret Service are loyal to the Constitution, not to any individual.</quote>Cute. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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garan 08/12/20 4:47:45 PM #29:	Antifar posted... Real chance that Trump is leading the vote count in key states on election night and claims victory at that point. How do you see him and his supporters reacting if and when the mail in votes start getting counted and Biden takes the lead? I think there's a very good chance of this happening. As someone on the CBS nightly news said last week-- there's a good chance the results won't really be known for some time after the election, and that it all could come down to the Supreme Court like in 2000. We all know how terribly that turned out. <cite>garan posted [p:943304182] in 538 posts ... [t:78908132]...</cite> <quote>Antifar posted...</cite> <quote>Real chance that Trump is leading the vote count in key states on election night and claims victory at that point. How do you see him and his supporters reacting if and when the mail in votes start getting counted and Biden takes the lead?</quote> I think there's a very good chance of this happening. As someone on the CBS nightly news said last week-- there's a good chance the results won't really be known for some time after the election, and that it all could come down to the Supreme Court like in 2000. We all know how terribly that turned out.</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
RetsuZaiZen 08/12/20 4:48:26 PM #30:	Ugh. I can't be bothered with polls. --- Why do nerdsalways get caught up on the details? https://imgur.com/dntQM https://imgur.com/9gNcUGM https://imgur.com/bH8vq3f <cite>RetsuZaiZen posted [p:943304213] in 538 posts ... [t:78908132]...</cite> <quote>Ugh. I can't be bothered with polls. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
TheGoldenEel 08/12/20 4:50:13 PM #31:	DarkBuster22904 posted... Every single poll/projection forecasted a Hillary win in 2016 Well no, they just predicted that it was much more likely Hillary would win that trump won doesnt mean it wasnt unlikely --- The words of The Golden Eel have been revealed... Games: http://backloggery.com/wrldindstries302 \\ Music: http://www.last.fm/user/DrMorberg/ <cite>TheGoldenEel posted [p:943304294] in 538 posts ... [t:78908132]...</cite> <quote>DarkBuster22904 posted... </cite> <quote>Every single poll/projection forecasted a Hillary win in 2016</quote>Well no, they just predicted that it was much more likely Hillary would win that trump won doesnt mean it wasnt unlikely </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Damn_Underscore 08/12/20 6:09:17 PM #32:	bump --- Shenmue II = best game of all time Shenmue = 2nd best game of all time <cite>Damn_Underscore posted [p:943307332] in 538 posts ... [t:78908132]...</cite> <quote>bump </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
pick4six 08/12/20 6:14:07 PM #33:	Sad its that low, America is stupid --- Bitcoin! <cite>pick4six posted [p:943307517] in 538 posts ... [t:78908132]...</cite> <quote>Sad its that low, America is stupid </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Machete 08/12/20 6:15:22 PM #34:	DarkBuster22904 posted... Every single poll/projection forecasted a Hillary win in 2016. Simulations are fun, but mean very little. Personally I hope they both get disqualified. Never gonna happen, but that makes it no different than the rest of my hopes and dreams, so... This is a really bizarre thing to post in non-alternating-caps format... --- Who can @ Mention me? -Nobody- "the final thing that set the mods off was a picture of two lions having sex." -boxington <cite>Machete posted [p:943307563] in 538 posts ... [t:78908132]...</cite> <quote>DarkBuster22904 posted... </cite> <quote>Every single poll/projection forecasted a Hillary win in 2016. Simulations are fun, but mean very little. Personally I hope they both get disqualified. Never gonna happen, but that makes it no different than the rest of my hopes and dreams, so...</quote> This is a really bizarre thing to post in non-alternating-caps format... </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Poop2 08/12/20 6:22:52 PM #36:	Joe just needs to remind real americans of all the monumental failures Trump and republicans committed against them. <cite>Poop2 posted [p:943307869] in 538 posts ... [t:78908132]...</cite> <quote>Joe just needs to remind real americans of all the monumental failures Trump and republicans committed against them. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
DarkBuster22904 08/12/20 6:22:55 PM #37:	TheGoldenEel posted... Well no, they just predicted that it was much more likely Hillary would win that trump won doesnt mean it wasnt unlikely I mean, I get that. I understand that. Even so, that doesn't change the ultimate fact that these predictions are pointless. They predicted she was more likely to win. She lost. They predict Biden is more likely to win. Good for them, I guess? Like, I UNDERSTAND they aren't making a definitive "Biden will win" statement. Its a projection. But its a projection based on incomplete data, and in absence of influential factors, just like 2016 was. Thats why I call it a fun simulation. I just don't see any benefit in putting stock in it. I'm not coming at this from a stance of "lol this is dumb, trumps got this, guyz." I'm just sharing my "thoughts," like tc asked, and my thoughts are this projection is pointless, as our current reality demonstrates. --- Haven't had a good sig idea since 2006 <cite>DarkBuster22904 posted [p:943307873] in 538 posts ... [t:78908132]...</cite> <quote>TheGoldenEel posted... </cite> <quote>Well no, they just predicted that it was much more likely Hillary would win that trump won doesnt mean it wasnt unlikely</quote>I mean, I get that. I understand that. Even so, that doesn't change the ultimate fact that these predictions are pointless. They predicted she was more likely to win. She lost. They predict Biden is more likely to win. Good for them, I guess? Like, I UNDERSTAND they aren't making a definitive "Biden will win" statement. Its a projection. But its a projection based on incomplete data, and in absence of influential factors, just like 2016 was. Thats why I call it a fun simulation. I just don't see any benefit in putting stock in it. I'm not coming at this from a stance of "lol this is dumb, trumps got this, guyz." I'm just sharing my "thoughts," like tc asked, and my thoughts are this projection is pointless, as our current reality demonstrates. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
sondast 08/12/20 6:24:15 PM #38:	How far down does his chance go when hardly any absentee ballots get counted? --- Take a lesson from parakeets. If you're ever feeling lonely, just eat in front of a mirror. <cite>sondast posted [p:943307938] in 538 posts ... [t:78908132]...</cite> <quote>How far down does his chance go when hardly any absentee ballots get counted? </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Damn_Underscore 08/12/20 9:20:33 PM #39:	bump --- Shenmue II = best game of all time Shenmue = 2nd best game of all time <cite>Damn_Underscore posted [p:943314054] in 538 posts ... [t:78908132]...</cite> <quote>bump </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Damn_Underscore 08/13/20 9:09:15 PM #40:	Now he has a 72% chance --- Shenmue II = best game of all time Shenmue = 2nd best game of all time <cite>Damn_Underscore posted [p:943353756] in 538 posts ... [t:78908132]...</cite> <quote>Now he has a 72% chance </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
LethalAffinity 08/13/20 9:14:29 PM #41:	https://i.imgur.com/7mg7PPZ.png A tie is more plausible than some would think --- https://imgur.com/Sv19SP4 https://imgur.com/esZpDkI https://imgur.com/tdtzIvW https://imgur.com/E0O1koZ <cite>LethalAffinity posted [p:943353961] in 538 posts ... [t:78908132]...</cite> <quote>https://i.imgur.com/7mg7PPZ.png A tie is more plausible than some would think </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Dat_Cracka_Jax 08/13/20 9:18:27 PM #42:	Solar_Crimson posted... Thunder in Pokemon has a 70% accuracy, and seems to always miss when you need it the most. lol --- http://img826.imageshack.us/img826/8131/flame201010170949481638.jpg http://img705.imageshack.us/img705/5517/cateyes.gif Rams: 7-9 <cite>Dat_Cracka_Jax posted [p:943354085] in 538 posts ... [t:78908132]...</cite> <quote>Solar_Crimson posted... </cite> <quote>Thunder in Pokemon has a 70% accuracy, and seems to always miss when you need it the most.</quote> lol </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
ChewedMint 08/13/20 9:20:02 PM #43:	Coloradough posted... Meaningless This, Hillary was expected to win and how did that turn out? <cite>ChewedMint posted [p:943354137] in 538 posts ... [t:78908132]...</cite> <quote>Coloradough posted... </cite> <quote>Meaningless</quote>This, Hillary was expected to win and how did that turn out? </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
COVxy 08/13/20 9:23:42 PM #44:	DarkBuster22904 posted... Even so, that doesn't change the ultimate fact that these predictions are pointless. They predicted she was more likely to win. She lost. They predict Biden is more likely to win. Good for them, I guess? Like, I UNDERSTAND they aren't making a definitive "Biden will win" statement. Its a projection. But its a projection based on incomplete data, and in absence of influential factors, just like 2016 was. Thats why I call it a fun simulation. I just don't see any benefit in putting stock in it. From this, it is unclear what, if anything, you would put "stock" in. --- =E[(x-E[x])(y-E[y])] <cite>COVxy posted [p:943354263] in 538 posts ... [t:78908132]...</cite> <quote>DarkBuster22904 posted... </cite> <quote>Even so, that doesn't change the ultimate fact that these predictions are pointless. They predicted she was more likely to win. She lost. They predict Biden is more likely to win. Good for them, I guess? Like, I UNDERSTAND they aren't making a definitive "Biden will win" statement. Its a projection. But its a projection based on incomplete data, and in absence of influential factors, just like 2016 was. Thats why I call it a fun simulation. I just don't see any benefit in putting stock in it.</quote> From this, it is unclear what, if anything, you would put "stock" in. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Gruntling 08/13/20 9:26:39 PM #45:	I think Biden stands a better chance than Hillary, but I don't really put a lot of stock in polls anymore. --- *GRUNTLING* Since April 26th, 2003 <cite>Gruntling posted [p:943354366] in 538 posts ... [t:78908132]...</cite> <quote>I think Biden stands a better chance than Hillary, but I don't really put a lot of stock in polls anymore. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Damn_Underscore 08/14/20 2:20:35 PM #46:	Now it's 73% --- Shenmue II = best game of all time Shenmue = 2nd best game of all time <cite>Damn_Underscore posted [p:943379899] in 538 posts ... [t:78908132]...</cite> <quote>Now it's 73% </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
NightMarishPie 08/14/20 2:23:26 PM #47:	538 predicted the 2018 races with what, like 99% accuracy? 2016 was an outlier and to say otherwise is dishonest. I can't believe people still use that as a taking point. --- "Who dares, wins" 3DS FC: 1521 3697 7272 <cite>NightMarishPie posted [p:943380000] in 538 posts ... [t:78908132]...</cite> <quote>538 predicted the 2018 races with what, like 99% accuracy? 2016 was an outlier and to say otherwise is dishonest. I can't believe people still use that as a taking point. </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
Damn_Underscore 08/15/20 4:08:02 PM #48:	only 72% now --- Shenmue II = best game of all time Shenmue = 2nd best game of all time <cite>Damn_Underscore posted [p:943421230] in 538 posts ... [t:78908132]...</cite> <quote>only 72% now </quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Current Events > 538 posts election forecast, says Joe Biden has a 71% chance of winning (+) Yeah! (+)

Current Events > 538 posts election forecast, says Joe Biden has a 71% chance of winning