Current Events > POLLING: Biden must win OHIO and FLORIDA

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Cornhuskers
10/15/20 4:04:20 PM
#1:


If you have family, friends, or business associates in OH or FL get them to #VOTE.

The latest Cook Political, Sobatos, Qunnipiac, and a few other pollls show the following:
Biden slightly ahead or tied in OH and FL.

Ohio has 18 electoral votes.
Florida has 29 electoral votes.

Biden ahead atleast 10 points in:
The "Solid Democrat states" including CA, OR, WA and the Northeast. These all contribute another 223.

That's 270 votes.

And that is without PA, MI, or WI.

In this scenario, Trump gets 267 votes.

Don't let me down CE, if you have anyone in OHIO or FLORIDA get them out to Vote.
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Antifar
10/15/20 4:06:35 PM
#2:


Biden could very easily win without either of those states, tho
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kin to all that throbs
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KiwiTerraRizing
10/15/20 4:07:13 PM
#3:


Thats simply not true

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Trucking Legend Don Schneider!
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Cornhuskers
10/15/20 4:16:10 PM
#4:


Antifar posted...
Biden could very easily win without either of those states, tho

You need 270 to win. That's why it is https://www.270towin.com

.
If Biden picks up #1: Pennsylvania and #2 (any of these three), he wins without Florida:
Wisconsin, Michigan, Iowa.

These are the states I included in the 270 electoral votes:
WA, OR, CA, CO, NM, MN, IL, (OH), VA, MD, DE, NJ, NY, VT, MA, CT, RI, partial ME, (FL).

This is a very conservative map (NO Iowa, NO NC, AZ, or NV). Hillary won NV in 2016

.
Stop ARGUING and G.O.T.V. to win.

.
Disco Donny Discarded to Deadly Dogs, found Deep and Delirious with Drugs. Dug out, send to rehab on November 4th.

#DRUGS ARE BAD
#VOTE
#DEFEAT TRUMP
#MAH
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Zanzenburger
10/15/20 4:16:10 PM
#5:


I am driving a party of 6 people when early voting opens in our county in Florida on Monday. Gonna be fun and we gonna get dinner afterwards.

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Tyranthraxus
10/15/20 4:17:46 PM
#6:


Antifar posted...
Biden could very easily win without either of those states, tho

No he needs at least two of: Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania

If he can't get 2 of those he's fucked.

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Giant_Aspirin
10/15/20 4:18:48 PM
#7:


live in Ohio

dropped off my ballot along with my brother's day. chalk up 2 for Biden

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Antifar
10/15/20 4:19:11 PM
#8:


Tyranthraxus posted...
No he needs at least two of: Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania

If he can't get 2 of those he's fucked.

Every state Clinton won +MI, WI, and PA would be enough. Arizona and NC are also more likely to be won than Ohio, at least based on polling.
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bevan306
10/15/20 4:20:35 PM
#9:


those are must win for trump, not biden

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Giant_Aspirin
10/15/20 4:21:21 PM
#10:


Tyranthraxus posted...
No he needs at least two of: Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania

If he can't get 2 of those he's fucked.

check out 538's snake. the first state on Biden's side is Wisconsin, which he has by 7 points. according to that, if he wins any of: PA, FL, AZ, NC, OH, GA he will take 270.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/


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Tyranthraxus
10/15/20 4:22:07 PM
#11:


Antifar posted...
Every state Clinton won +MI, WI, and PA would be enough. Arizona and NC are also more likely to be won than Ohio, at least based on polling.

Ohio is a photo finish every year I wouldn't ever count ohio out but not really something you can depend on.

If he wins fucking georgia tho I'm going to bed early lmao

---
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Xenozoa425
10/15/20 4:23:09 PM
#12:


Biden isn't gonna get either of those states.

Just accept reality.

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Cornhuskers
10/15/20 4:26:08 PM
#13:


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QpHa8B0KvUk
106,976 views / Jul 24, 2018

Please G0d, help us that we don't get shafted by shifty poll workers, hanging chads, and a brother who happens to be the Governor of Florida.
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Endgame
10/15/20 4:27:18 PM
#14:


I live in Florida.

Biden is NOT winning Florida.

Florida only went blue for Obama because McCain and Romney "weren't conservative enough". But they absolutely LOVE Trump here.
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Boombam99
10/15/20 4:27:51 PM
#15:


Biden doesnt have to win either state, especially Ohio. In fact, I predict Ohio will be red and Biden will still win big anyway. Literally the only thing that needs to change are Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, where polling shows Biden significantly ahead in all three.

Of course it would still be nice if he won those two though
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NightingaleMD
10/15/20 4:28:34 PM
#16:


my trump vote for ohio already in, no need to remind me

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Pit doc
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Humble_Novice
10/15/20 4:29:42 PM
#17:


If Biden wins either Texas or Florida, then Trump's goose is cooked.
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RchHomieQuanChi
10/15/20 4:31:28 PM
#18:


You also can't forget the possibility that he takes Texas with the increased voter turnout

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Shadowplay
10/15/20 4:40:31 PM
#19:


Endgame posted...
I live in Florida.

Biden is NOT winning Florida.

Florida only went blue for Obama because McCain and Romney "weren't conservative enough". But they absolutely LOVE Trump here.
Yes, your anecdotal evidence is better than 538's sophisticated models.

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Cornhuskers
10/15/20 5:00:56 PM
#20:


Endgame posted...
I live in Florida.

Biden is NOT winning Florida.

Florida only went blue for Obama because McCain and Romney "weren't conservative enough". But they absolutely LOVE Trump here.

That is FULL of BULL.
Go check out Sabato's Crystal Ball and check out TheHill on Youtube and their website. Florida is in play.
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