Current Events > Fat fuck fucks up fat prize >_>

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NeonOctopus
12/13/20 10:49:13 AM
#1:


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Skype
12/13/20 10:50:52 AM
#2:


Sorry to hear you messed up like this.

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What the heck
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a-c-a-b
12/13/20 10:53:40 AM
#3:


Deal or No Deal was the stupidest game show ever.
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NeonOctopus
12/13/20 3:07:53 PM
#4:


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kingdrake2
12/13/20 3:09:32 PM
#5:


a-c-a-b posted...
Deal or No Deal was the stupidest game show ever.


yes. but that guy made an even stupider decision over greed lmao.
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Damn_Underscore
12/13/20 3:13:11 PM
#6:


wtf the brother was like "remember this was the worst month for our family our family needs this"

and then he's like "I'm saying no deal"

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Master_Bass
12/13/20 3:18:41 PM
#7:


Lmao, I like how that one lady refused to acknowledge that $1 was a possibility.

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MabusIncarnate
12/13/20 3:21:54 PM
#8:


What a dumbass.. idk how that show lasted so long. Its literal luck and nothing else from start to finish.

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NeonOctopus
12/13/20 3:24:25 PM
#9:


Master_Bass posted...
Lmao, I like how that one lady refused to acknowledge that $1 was a possibility.
lol yeah! "You're either walking about with 400k or 1 million!" What a dumbass >_>

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sLaCkEr408___RJ
12/13/20 3:25:37 PM
#10:


tldr what's the timestamp
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Damn_Underscore
12/13/20 3:27:09 PM
#11:


sLaCkEr408___RJ posted...
tldr what's the timestamp

It's funny that this is a nearly 5 minute video for something that should take 5 seconds

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Noumas
12/13/20 3:31:13 PM
#12:


Its kinda depressing what a snapshot this portrays of America. The average joe contests are all morbidly obese, uncomfortably hideous to look at. The model on TV holding the case however is gorgeous eye candy. Really says something there
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PoundGarden
12/13/20 3:31:20 PM
#13:


a-c-a-b posted...
Deal or No Deal was the stupidest game show ever.

Have you heard of a thing called The Masked Singer?

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spanky1
12/13/20 3:32:03 PM
#14:


Should have listened to his mama.

Those other family members sounded like insufferable people.
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Lost_All_Senses
12/13/20 3:33:00 PM
#15:


NeonOctopus posted...
lol yeah! "You're either walking about with 400k or 1 million!" What a dumbass >_>

It's a very complex game with a lot of moving parts....*fart*

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Damn_Underscore
12/13/20 3:33:16 PM
#16:


spanky1 posted...
Should have listened to his mama.

Those other family members sounded like insufferable people.

Exactly.

She was also the only one who wasn't fat >_>

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SquirtleSkwad
12/13/20 3:33:58 PM
#17:


I would have to be put on suicide watch after something like this.

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Dat_Cracka_Jax
12/13/20 3:34:27 PM
#18:


Can you imagine someone saying you can have 400k guaranteed or a 1 in 26 chance at $1m and not taking 400k in hand?

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Damn_Underscore
12/13/20 3:36:06 PM
#19:


Also this is like a Monty Hall Problem situation

There are 26 cases I think which means there was a 25/26 or 96% chance he didn't have the $1 million case

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gunplagirl
12/13/20 3:38:36 PM
#20:


MabusIncarnate posted...
What a dumbass.. idk how that show lasted so long. Its literal luck and nothing else from start to finish.
Actually, it's not luck, it's all statistics that factors greed into it.

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NeonOctopus
12/13/20 3:38:44 PM
#21:


Damn_Underscore posted...
Also this is like a Monty Hall Problem situation

There are 26 cases I think which means there was a 25/26 or 96% chance he didn't have the $1 million case
ehhhh idk if it applies in this format, cuz he's not opting out for a guaranteed prize like in Let's Make a Deal. He's just opening random cases. At the end of the video, he had just as much chance of this case being 1 mil than not being 1 mil. He could've opened the 1 mil case early and then just had 2 sucky prizes at the end instead >_>

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lilORANG
12/13/20 3:39:55 PM
#22:


Why was mom proud of him for going on the objectively worst game show?
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Damn_Underscore
12/13/20 3:40:08 PM
#23:


At the beginning he chose 1 of 26 cases randomly so there was 25/26 chance it wasn't $1 million

Then 24 other cases are taken away but the original odds still apply.

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TomNook20
12/13/20 3:40:18 PM
#24:


Dat_Cracka_Jax posted...
Can you imagine someone saying you can have 400k guaranteed or a 1 in 26 chance at $1m and not taking 400k in hand?
At that point it's a 1 in 2 chance so the expected value is higher to decline the the offer. Almost every offer given is less than the expected value of what's left on the table.

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SquirtleSkwad
12/13/20 3:41:54 PM
#25:


For people saying it's all luck:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iBdjqtR2iK4

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spanky1
12/13/20 3:41:58 PM
#26:


Prediction:

This gonna be a huge giant argument topic over statistics.
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gunplagirl
12/13/20 3:43:57 PM
#27:


TomNook20 posted...
At that point it's a 1 in 2 chance so the expected value is higher to decline the the offer. Almost every offer given is less than the expected value of what's left on the table.
No. I'm too lazy to statistics talk but at all times your chances are 1/26 of having the million dollars until such a time as it gets removed from the board. And Monty hall problem, he'd actually have had a 2/26 chance if he had swapped.

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NeonOctopus
12/13/20 3:44:19 PM
#28:


SquirtleSkwad posted...
For people saying it's all luck:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iBdjqtR2iK4

NeonOctopus posted...
ehhhh idk if it applies in this format, cuz he's not opting out for a guaranteed prize like in Let's Make a Deal. He's just opening random cases. At the end of the video, he had just as much chance of this case being 1 mil than not being 1 mil. He could've opened the 1 mil case early and then just had 2 sucky prizes at the end instead >_>


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lilORANG
12/13/20 3:46:52 PM
#29:


SquirtleSkwad posted...
For people saying it's all luck:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iBdjqtR2iK4


1) Deal or No Deal isn't the Monty Hall problem

2) is that seriously an unedited scene in a movie? Seems an overly long and unnecessary way to establish that the kid can count cards.
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SquirtleSkwad
12/13/20 3:51:19 PM
#30:


lilORANG posted...
1) Deal or No Deal isn't the Monty Hall problem

2) is that seriously an unedited scene in a movie? Seems an overly long and unnecessary way to establish that the kid can count cards.
1) I haven't taken statistics yet.
2) Yes it is, but it's established well before this point that the guy is a math wiz.

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Damn_Underscore
12/13/20 3:52:07 PM
#31:


Yeah I guess there aren't explicit wins or losses in this game and more importantly the other cases are being taken away randomly so it's different from Monty Hall and not 25/26.

However, there are a lot more amounts under $416k than there are amounts over $416k so the odds are definitely not in his favor.

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MabusIncarnate
12/13/20 3:59:24 PM
#32:


Oh I understand the odds and the statistics, I was more meaning it's just randomly picking numbers is the entirely luck basis of it. Once dollar amounts start getting eliminated there is a strategy to your approach and greed and risk factor in.

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IXI_Fission_IXI
12/13/20 4:05:39 PM
#33:


Imagine thinking any of this is real and not understanding that the producers give this guy a guaranteed payout to make the decision that is the most entertaining.

Sheep.
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