Poll of the Day > 2024 United States Presidential Election Predictions?

(+) Yeah! (+)

I predict:

Dozen or more Republicans running.

Only three get any real following: Donald Trump, Ted Cruz, and Ron DeSantis.

Ron DeSantis will get the nomination.

Trump will throw a fit.

November 2024: Ron DeSantis will be elected the next President of the United States.

November 2028: The Democrat will win.

November 2032: The Republican will probably win.

The entire time: People will say "it is very rare for an incumbant president to lose". These people will be proven wrong every time for the next few cycles.

THEGODDAMNBATMA posted...

I predict:

Dozen or more Republicans running.

Only three get any real following: Donald Trump, Ted Cruz, and Ron DeSantis.

Ron DeSantis will get the nomination.

Trump will throw a fit.

November 2024: Ron DeSantis will be elected the next President of the United States.

November 2028: The Democrat will win.

November 2032: The Republican will probably win.

The entire time: People will say "it is very rare for an incumbant president to lose". These people will be proven wrong every time for the next few cycles.

Were you the guy that kept making predictions that were wrong?

BlackScythe0 posted...

Were you the guy that kept making predictions that were wrong?

I have literally never been wrong.

THEGODDAMNBATMA posted...

2024 United States Presidential Election Predictions?

Two candidates will run. A majority of Americans will dislike both of them.

One will proceed to win, and things will get worse, because the system is broken, most politicians are completely out of touch, and most current issues aren't things that are in the government's power to fix anyway.

And regardless of what happens, people on the Internet will complain.

Republican party - waiting to see if Trump runs again before any big campaign spending and announcements starts

Democrats - Joe and Kamala are out, they don't want Bernie or Lizzy, the 2 philanthropists probably aren't going to try again since it's not about Trump, Yang and Gabbard have defected and Hill-Dawg would get clobbered

I was concerned for a bit that the Republicans didnt have a face for a potential new leader (DeSantis clearly has proven himself to be up to the task), but that's kind of reversed itself now.. there's currently no one on the Dems side yet who can do damage control and come out with a win

It's too soon to call anything. afaik, nobody has declared and a lot of it depends on whether Biden seeks a second term (or Kamala tries to run for president if he doesn't).

Honestly, there's some chance Biden won't live out his whole term. Trying to predict anything right now is silly. Eight years ago, it looked like Jeb Bush would be the GOP candidate for the 2016 election and Hillary was widely predicted to beat him to win the presidency.

ParanoidObsessive posted...

One will proceed to win, and things will get worse, because the system is broken, most politicians are completely out of touch, and most current issues aren't things that are in the government's power to fix anyway.

That is true. A really bad candidate will win the 2024 Election. After that, each candidate and winner will be worse than the one before, and things will get worse. Things will always get worse, never better. If they get better, then it's too good to be true and will suddenly get much worse than they've ever been.

My prediction.

Trump will run as the primary Republican candidate. The GOP will opt for some candidate firmly in their camp instead. Whoever it is really won't matter. They will run this person against Trump. One of two things will happen. Either Trump will win or Trump will not win (obviously). However, in both scenario's, Trump won't win. They will either find a way to disqualify him or engage in shenanigans behind the scene to make it so he 'lost'. Even if he does, legit, lose it won't really change what will happen next. Trump will go rogue and try to form his own MAGA party and it will cripple the Republican base. If the right is lucky either DeSantis and/or Musk will openly champion the party and, maybe, DeSantis will take a VP position.

Meanwhile the GOP itself will opt for someone who is 'safe' and the candidate they pick really won't matter. The vote among the right won't be about candidates, policies, or anything of the sort. It will be about how much the people on the right trust the old GOP vs. if they feel the party no longer represents their best interests.

On the left you will see a lot of the moderates leaving the party and distancing themselves from both the far left and Biden due to economic issues and other things (I expect the laptop to come up again and again). It doesn't really matter if Biden runs again or not. Mainly because the focus here is on the party as opposed to the individual.

This will lead to what is, basically, a three-way show-down. Only the Republican and Democrat nominee will officially be acknowledged; but Trump will still be in the background gathering up votes. Come election night it will basically be a three-way smackdown.

Somehow, despite the massive disapproval of both major parties, a growing dislike of government, and the rise of a new third party, the Libertarian Party will **** it up and still massively fail.

I pretty much just made all that up on a whim. TBH, I think the only PEOPLE that actually matter here are Trump and DeSantis (and Musk to a lesser degree) and even then it's mainly in regards to how people feel about the GOP and if they feel the Republican Party is salvageable for modern right-wing politics or if they should start a new party instead. While a similar question will be faced on the left they don't have a central rallying figure for that ATM. IMO, pretty much everyone who isn't deep into one of the two parties feels generally abandoned by them ATM. I don't know if this will lead to the rise of a third party or not; but I DO feel like this will be basically the 'real' question of the 2024 election. Does either party actually represent it's base anymore? That's going to, likely, be the single deciding thing in this election.

Personally, I fully support at least a baseline of universal healthcare. That's my major issue. We need to work towards dealing with climate change (especially by punishing a lot of the polluting companies instead of berating the common people), deal with the fact that we have a LOT of people who are being effectively abandoned by society to rot, address the crippling student debt issues, avoid getting into more conflicts (might not be possible, but we should try to avoid it), and similar things. We should also keep an eye out on the places trying UBI to see if it actually works; but that won't be an issue this election.

THEGODDAMNBATMA posted...

The entire time: People will say "it is very rare for an incumbant president to lose".

It is unusual for the incumbent to lose. There are other elections aside from US presidential elections to learn this lesson from.