Current Events > Majority of Americans wrongly believe US is in recession

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Kimberly
05/22/24 2:32:08 PM
#51:


Antifar posted...
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/article/2024/may/22/poll-economy-recession-biden

For low and middle class people who lived through the recession in the 2000's, it feels exactly the same. So while we're not technically in a recession, I completely understand why people say otherwise.

Which is why this finding from the poll Herbert did for the Guardian...

Something both Republicans and Democrats agree on: they dont know who to trust when it comes to learning about the economy. In both September and May, a majority of respondents more than 60% indicated skepticism over economic news.

...is entirely unsurprising to me.

Of course people are skeptical over the economic news. Most people are drowning just like they were in other recessive periods, but all anyone can point to is stuff like the DOW hitting 40,000 for the first time ever.

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emblem-man
05/22/24 2:32:28 PM
#52:


Blbmbr666 posted...
People saying the economy is good by quoting stock prices just conveniently ignoring companies having massive layoffs and price gouging to do it. Also that housing is just unaffordable now to the majority of Americans.

Yeah that's totally normal, there aren't any implications to the overall state of the economy on that. Number is green that means good!

There are 170,000,000 workers in the US.

Since 2000, the normal amount of layoffs in a month is 1.5-2 million. We are not seeing unusual amounts of layoffs

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/a/forum/2/2f9d7c10.jpg

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Guns_of_Verdun
05/22/24 2:32:35 PM
#53:


PraetorXyn posted...
We may as well be for regular people. The rich getting richer might day otherwise but fuck them.


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Kradek
05/22/24 2:32:57 PM
#54:


Smashingpmkns posted...
Economists: "there isn't a recession. You're just as broke as you were 5 years ago and things are marked up 200%"

Cool.

Those things are marked up due to greedflation/shrinkflation and that's why it's not a recession even if what you're saying is true.

Insatiable corporate greed is very rarely not the answer for why a corporation/large company does something. If they think they can get away with fucking over the consumer they will.

Kimberly posted...
Of course people are skeptical over the economic news. Most people are drowning just like they were in other recessive periods, but all anyone can point to is stuff like the DOW hitting 40,000 for the first time ever.

Earlier I posted a source from the EPI outlining how nominal wage growth has actually increased at a rate outpacing inflation and we've never had such strongly consistent employment numbers/added jobs since like Carter's term. I think the real issue is people don't want to research and just accept whatever their vibe is on something as fact.

I would never point to the stock market as a reason for justifying how we're not in a recession cause there's actual things I can point to.

Once again, people clearly don't remember 2008 very well (not directly at you personally).

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Tyranthraxus
05/22/24 2:50:04 PM
#56:


foreverzero212 posted...
And theyre trying to increase transactions because transactions have slowed/stagnated with current price increases. Ty for agreeing.

This is literally the exact opposite of what you said.

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ScazarMeltex
05/22/24 2:57:21 PM
#57:


CyborgSage00x0 posted...
This is the point where people usually blame Dems on bad messaging.

But Biden made the economy a big part of his SotU address. He's given interviews blasting Greedflation, and he and the Dems tried to tackle price gouging. Never mind putting the rich on blast.

At this point, people are just stupid. Even "groceries prices up brrrrr" has already been addressed by Biden and the Dems. But if this narrowminded attitude is all it takes to doom and gloom, then we may just be fucked as a society.

As far as I can tell, it's just inflation/greedflation.

Unemployment is at record lows. Wages have been on the rise (albeit not fast enough, but this has been a problem for decades). Unions are getting stronger for the first time in decades. The stock market is quite strong, not that that means anything. And inflation has dramatically shrunk. The cost of eating out and other things has starkly increased, but again, this is companies using inflation as a cover to raise prices. Nothing to do with any government.
It doesn't help that the legacy media is constantly pushing stories and editorials saying that the economy is bad. Which is what happens when you let Corporations with a profit motive control the narrative. They have a vested interest in Trump winning and giving them even more tax breaks.

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foreverzero212
05/22/24 3:02:17 PM
#58:


If random headlines are powerful enough to cause a mass psychosis that forces people into hallucinations about how much food theyre buying and what sort of house they can afford, even among those that touch grass too often to pay attention to such headlines

Is it not equally possible to convince a handful of people that live comfortably and spend a lot of their time online that things have never been better by presenting mountains of data that interact too complexly for simple adjustments to say whatever theyd like it to and form broad conclusions on it?

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foreverzero212
05/22/24 3:11:21 PM
#59:


Tyranthraxus posted...
This is literally the exact opposite of what you said.
I said Target is currently increasing prices to decrease transactions??

No, I stated an example of Target pulling the lever of lowering prices to increase transactions. Why? Because obviously they werent happy with the current rate of how things are selling. You disagreed saying theyre only decreasing prices to increase transactions. Like yes ty for restating my post.

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Chadawah
05/22/24 3:18:11 PM
#60:


Will people stop going to the doctor so clinics and hospitals will drop some prices?

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Tyranthraxus
05/22/24 3:20:54 PM
#61:


foreverzero212 posted...
I said Target is currently increasing prices to decrease transactions??

This is what you said.

foreverzero212 posted...
Target, McDonalds, and car companies are lowering prices out of the goodness of their heart and not because things arent selling like they were.


foreverzero212 posted...
And theyre trying to increase transactions because transactions have slowed/stagnated with current price increases. Ty for agreeing.

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Heineken14
05/22/24 3:23:15 PM
#62:


CyborgSage00x0 posted...
This is the point where people usually blame Dems on bad messaging.

It's so annoyingly stupid too. The same people who say that will immediately come in and shit all over anything good that goes on. It's like, no, the democrats aren't bad at messaging, it's that people don't allow democrats to message on anything because it's never good enough for them.

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foreverzero212
05/22/24 3:41:06 PM
#63:


Tyranthraxus posted...
This is what you said.
So when someone sees

Were not in a recession

And disagrees with that by saying

So companies are lowering prices out of the goodness of their heart and not because some things are bad?

You take the response as literal, that I really thought corporations are lowering prices out of the goodness of their heart. And ignored my disagreement with the premise later that post.

Im pretty stunned by this ngl lol

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LonelyStoner
05/22/24 3:43:31 PM
#64:


I mean, we literally are, regardless of what the government or a tabloid says. Housing, food, and gas are way too expensive for a 1st world that could claim they werent in a recession.

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luigi33
05/22/24 3:44:21 PM
#65:


It feels like a recession. Record profits for the rich is not a good forecast for how healthy the economy is.

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Tyranthraxus
05/22/24 3:46:18 PM
#66:


foreverzero212 posted...
So when someone sees

Were not in a recession

And disagrees with that by saying

So companies are lowering prices out of the goodness of their heart and not because some things are bad?

You take the response as literal, that I really thought corporations are lowering prices out of the goodness of their heart. And ignored my disagreement with the premise later that post.

Im pretty stunned by this ngl lol

I don't care about your recession comments. You were claiming sales slowed down. They haven't. Not for McDonald's anyway, which beat their expected EPS for the entire last FY and Q1FY this year. There's another earnings report coming soon for Q2 but it's expected to be beaten again.

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foreverzero212
05/22/24 4:02:01 PM
#67:


Tyranthraxus posted...
I don't care about your recession comments. You were claiming sales slowed down. They haven't. Not for McDonald's anyway, which beat their expected EPS for the entire last FY and Q1FY this year. There's another earnings report coming soon for Q2 but it's expected to be beaten again.
EPS does not stand for Etransactions Poccuring Satrateswewantthemto. They beat how much money they were expected to make per share, usually a lowball consensus number to come out with a beat. The stock has been on a downward slope since the start of the year.

They ran into a wall of price increases so theyre lowering them to increase transactions. If things are as they have been, they wouldnt shift strategies.

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HornyLevel
05/22/24 4:13:11 PM
#68:


This sounds like pointless semantics. Like getting mad at someone calling a PlayStation a Nintendo. When your weekly $50 grocery now costs $125 and the $1k apartments are all now going for $1.6k-$2k, it really doesn't matter if there's a recession going on or if it's the greatest economy ever. Trying to gaslight over this reality is probably a bad strategy.

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emblem-man
05/22/24 4:28:44 PM
#69:


LonelyStoner posted...
I mean, we literally are, regardless of what the government or a tabloid says. Housing, food, and gas are way too expensive for a 1st world that could claim they werent in a recession.
We literally are not. That's not what a recession means.

HornyLevel posted...
When your weekly $50 grocery now costs $125
What the fuck are you guys buying

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emblem-man
05/22/24 4:30:28 PM
#70:


luigi33 posted...
It feels like a recession. Record profits for the rich is not a good forecast for how healthy the economy is.
A recession feels like 09 with high unemployment and layoffs
That is not what we have

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ClayGuida
05/22/24 4:37:23 PM
#71:


luigi33 posted...
It feels like a recession. Record profits for the rich is not a good forecast for how healthy the economy is.
What does a recession feel like?

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R_Jackal
05/22/24 4:41:53 PM
#72:


Recession is code for "we're unhappy because we have to pay too much". We're not in a recession, but rising costs coupled with wage stagnation, and if there isn't wage stagnation just more rising costs, is really making people tired of the capitalism treadmill of bullshit lately.

People have lost any sense of accomplishment they get is the problem, honestly.
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emblem-man
05/22/24 4:43:27 PM
#74:


R_Jackal posted...
Recession is code for "we're unhappy because we have to pay too much". We're not in a recession, but rising costs coupled with wage stagnation, and if there isn't wage stagnation just more rising costs, is really making people tired of the capitalism treadmill of bullshit lately.

People have lost any sense of accomplishment they get is the problem, honestly.
Aka, the vibes feel bad.

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DarthAragorn
05/22/24 4:48:10 PM
#75:


It's not a recession, but the American economy is absolute dogshit so does it really matter what you call it? Not really.

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Krojen
05/22/24 4:53:32 PM
#76:


emblem-man posted...
What the fuck are you guys buying
Not to pile on with anecdotes, but since you asked.

The handful of groceries I get from the regional grocery chain were $50~ in 2019 and now its $110~ so that sounds right.

My veggie Tropichop went from 4.99 in 2019 to 12.99 now.

Car insurance is up 5x~ as yall know. I own now, but the place I rented is 2.3x what it was 2019.

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ClayGuida
05/22/24 4:54:40 PM
#77:


Krojen posted...
Not to pile on with anecdotes, but since you asked.

The handful of groceries I get from the regional grocery chain were $50~ in 2019 and now its $110~ so that sounds right.

My veggie Tropichop went from 4.99 in 2019 to 12.99 now.

Car insurance is up 5x~ as yall know. I own now, but the place I rented is 2.3x what it was 2019.
You should shop around if your car insurance went up 500%.

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emblem-man
05/22/24 4:58:44 PM
#78:


Krojen posted...
The handful of groceries I get from the regional grocery chain were $50~ in 2019 and now its $110~ so that sounds right.

For the same type of groceries?
God damn man.

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Krojen
05/22/24 4:59:27 PM
#79:


ClayGuida posted...
You should shop around if your car insurance went up 500%.
1 month left on the cycle I gotta get on it. The big guys are roughly the same price but some savings for switching.

The big hit was Costco insurance leaving FL.

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Voidgolem
05/22/24 5:00:10 PM
#80:


Oh the economy is doing fantastic. It's just also wildly disconnected from actual experience on the ground and has been for quite some time now.

Took folks long enough to notice

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Heineken14
05/22/24 5:01:07 PM
#81:


Voidgolem posted...
Oh the economy is doing fantastic. It's just also wildly disconnected from actual experience on the ground and has been for quite some time now.

Took folks long enough to notice

People always start noticing the nuance when democrats are in office.

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ClayGuida
05/22/24 5:01:57 PM
#82:


Cycle? How long are your cycles? The moment they wanted to jack my rates up, I went from Geico to USAA. I'll have no qualms dropping USAA the moment they try upping it.

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Voidgolem
05/22/24 5:04:30 PM
#83:


Heineken14 posted...
People always start noticing the nuance when democrats are in office.

True. But like it goes back like a decade and I don't think it's a political-line thing that's caused that disconnect.

Had people screaming "the economy!" when stuff was affordable too and it made just as little sense then as it does now

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R_Jackal
05/22/24 5:04:38 PM
#84:


emblem-man posted...
Aka, the vibes feel bad.
Yup, but it feels a lot better to just say we're in recession because that feels more technical. Gives the warm fuzzies.
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Krojen
05/22/24 5:09:38 PM
#85:


emblem-man posted...
For the same type of groceries?
God damn man.
I mostly eat bulk rice and beans from Costco so Ive escaped big noticeable changes.

But I go with the wife to pick up her same old packs of chicken, veggies, yogurt, frozen dinners. From 50-110. The Amys brand frozen dinners specifically are trippin now.

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Krojen
05/22/24 5:13:15 PM
#86:


ClayGuida posted...
Cycle? How long are your cycles? The moment they wanted to jack my rates up, I went from Geico to USAA. I'll have no qualms dropping USAA the moment they try upping it.
I pay by 6mo. I desperately tried getting USAA but the fam didnt serve long enough smh

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David1988
05/22/24 5:15:21 PM
#87:


That says more about how the government chooses to crunch numbers more than American peoples misestimation of how bad the economy is for the average person. They can change the parameters of the unemployment statistic is measured for instance so it looks prettier than it actually is, and I believe they actually did that during the Regan administration. Im sure many other metrics are tinkered with for the numbers to look pretty, its like a company that does funny things with their balance sheet to impress shareholders.

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emblem-man
05/22/24 5:19:24 PM
#88:


It's weird because people are NOT acting as if we're in a slump.

Its interesting that the local economy in every state is better than the national economy. More people think they're doing fine, but that the country is doing bad. At some level, you can't have both.
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/a/forum/f/fcc5d649.jpg
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/a/forum/b/b18db5c0.jpg

People are eating out more than ever, traveling more, etc.

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emblem-man
05/22/24 5:22:50 PM
#89:


David1988 posted...
That says more about how the government chooses to crunch numbers more than American peoples misestimation of how bad the economy is for the average person. They can change the parameters of the unemployment statistic is measured for instance so it looks prettier than it actually is, and I believe they actually did that during the Regan administration. Im sure many other metrics are tinkered with for the numbers to look pretty, its like a company that does funny things with their balance sheet to impress shareholders.
No,.their methodology is clearly spelt out and people actually look at these things. It's not some big conspiracy.

Krojen posted...
I mostly eat bulk rice and beans from Costco so Ive escaped big noticeable changes.
Same here. Most non junk and non frozen foods have not increased in price much. The real price increase has been in frozen meals and packaged snacks, and like...I just wait to buy that shit on sale as much as I can.

I acknowledge i might be way to frugal with grocery shopping though. I do most of the shopping but my wife at times will follow me, see something she wants, comment how it's so expensive, and then put it in the cart instead of putting it back. Couldn't be me man.

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R_Jackal
05/22/24 5:24:54 PM
#90:


emblem-man posted...
It's weird because people are NOT acting as if we're in a slump.

Its interesting that the local economy in every state is better than the national economy. More people think they're doing fine, but that the country is doing bad. At some level, you can't have both.
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/a/forum/f/fcc5d649.jpg
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/a/forum/b/b18db5c0.jpg

People are eating out more than ever, traveling more, etc.
You answered your own question.

People are eating out more, traveling more, buying more, and going "FUCK WHY DON'T I HAVE MONEY FOR GROCERIES AND BILLS" because a lot of people in the US have never had to budget between recreation and necessities because recreation was straight up impossible for a lot before hand.

Things are pretty good right now. We don't know how to do good.
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CrimsonGear80
05/22/24 5:27:19 PM
#91:


the billionaire republican fat-cats in charge of these corporations raise the prices when there is a government that wants to tax them to pay their fair share. basically holding consumers "hostage". once a government is in power that gives them tax breaks watch prices suddenly go down again...

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TheGoldenEel
05/22/24 5:34:31 PM
#92:


emblem-man posted...
Same here. Most non junk and non frozen foods have not increased in price much. The real price increase has been in frozen meals and packaged snacks, and like...I just wait to buy that shit on sale as much as I can.

This is not true at all. We mostly buy meat, veggies, eggs/dairy, and staples, and that has all gone way up

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TendoDRM
05/22/24 5:39:43 PM
#93:


Krojen posted...
I pay by 6mo. I desperately tried getting USAA but the fam didnt serve long enough smh

I may be wrong, but I don't think you're locked into insurance like you are, say, a phone plan. If you switch insurance they should refund you the prorated amount.

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Krojen
05/22/24 5:46:30 PM
#94:


emblem-man posted...
Same here. Most non junk and non frozen foods have not increased in price much. The real price increase has been in frozen meals and packaged snacks, and like...I just wait to buy that shit on sale as much as I can.

I acknowledge i might be way to frugal with grocery shopping though. I do most of the shopping but my wife at times will follow me, see something she wants, comment how it's so expensive, and then put it in the cart instead of putting it back. Couldn't be me man.
Sounds like were living the same sitcom lol. Amys are an inelastic good. Doesnt matter that they were 2 for 5 a few years ago, if theyre 7.99 now thats the price we pay. Tho her other staples have gone up more than a paycheck for sure.

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SSj4Wingzero
05/22/24 5:49:10 PM
#95:


We might not be in a recession, but I think the average American is starting to realize that "we're not in a recession because companies are making more money than ever" does not translate to good quality of life.

For decades we've chugged along while letting serious structural problems fester. It's just that things that were smaller problems (monopolies and oligopolies controlling every industry and driving up prices) in the 90s became worse and worse, and our government, rather than implementing real progressive taxation to balance out the economy, has basically bought into supply-side economics bullshit even though it's been proven to *NOT WORK* in every single country it's ever been implemented. And while yes, this is probably more of a Republican problem, you do have enough Democrats who have bought into this crap to the point where it's not leaving Washington anytime soon, and that's a problem.

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CobraGT
05/22/24 5:51:23 PM
#96:


Easy. We have a world finance capital economy. The economy is strong for people in the 0.1%

As for lower echelon capitalists and working people

Wages are the smallest amount that you can pay and fill the job
Prices are the largest amount you can be charged and still sell

But when 0.1% is buying price is lowest amount you can pay and get the material.

Finance capitalists work on a world scale.

I doubt their pets get a toy more that needed to assure their affection.

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emblem-man
05/22/24 5:51:25 PM
#97:


TheGoldenEel posted...
This is not true at all. We mostly buy meat, veggies, eggs/dairy, and staples, and that has all gone way up

I agree for eggs as I do buy that a lot and that one was noticeable, but in the sense that it used to be really cheap at $1.5 but now costs an additional $1-2 a week
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/a/forum/4/4f28e732.jpg

I haven't been buying much meat regularly the last like 5-7 years or so, but I recall always paying $1-$2 a pound for chicken legs/things bone in, and that's what I still see today. If you're buying beef, it's probably gone up way more.
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/a/forum/f/fdd35607.jpg

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/a/forum/f/fab73220.jpg

To clarify, I'm not saying things haven't increased for people, but for my groceries the increases I've seen are for items that I don't regularly buy.

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Krojen
05/22/24 5:51:27 PM
#98:


TendoDRM posted...
I may be wrong, but I don't think you're locked into insurance like you are, say, a phone plan. If you switch insurance they should refund you the prorated amount.
I just assumed itd take fees and tedious phone calls to get the rest refunded but youre probably right. I shouldnt wait around just because I already paid it.

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PowerMan5000000
05/22/24 5:56:24 PM
#99:


Ive been in compulsive saving mode since COVID, just waiting for that recession.

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Whiterun_Guard_
05/22/24 5:57:37 PM
#100:


Is Biden going to do anything to combat greedflation?

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LinkDaLunatic
05/22/24 6:01:01 PM
#101:


"Over 50% of your citizens are below the poverty line, and those just above it are struggling financially amid soaring costs of goods, cost of living, rent, and more. Are we in a recession?"
"LOL FUCK NO, the top 1% are chilling, and who cares about the rest of you losers??? Do your boots even HAVE straps??????"

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ellis123
05/22/24 6:01:30 PM
#102:


emblem-man posted...
To clarify, I'm not saying things haven't increased for people, but for my groceries the increases I've seen are for items that I don't regularly buy.
The important price increases are for the "poor person" foods. Stuff like brisket and soup bones have gone from being something that you could quite literally walk up to the butcher and get for free/nearly free to being something that you had to actually spend real money on. Po boys were free sandwiches that were just handed out, etc.

The middle class literally having more people and thus there is just literally more people to factor into some statistics doesn't really tell the whole story at all.

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