Current Events > Trump only up by 5 in Kansas.

(+) Yeah! (+)

https://kansasreflector.com/2024/10/28/survey-reveals-potential-tapering-of-kansas-gap-between-gop-democratic-presidential-candidates/

Trump is going to lose and he's going to win red states by not that much compared to other Republicans

That's... kind of big, isn't it?

Humble_Novice posted...

That's... kind of big, isn't it?

For you

Humble_Novice posted...

That's... kind of big, isn't it?

It means Kansas shifted to left by 10 points in 4 years.

Really doesn't help that republicans in the state are still pushing to ban abortion along with fighting against legalizing marijuana which has over 70% of the state's population in favor of.

Trump held a Nazi rally, even Kansas should be hard blue.

(I mean if America truly supported democracy)

Kansas protecting abortion rights should have been a red flag for the GOP

Nah. He's not.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zLrKJ1JTXvc

Harris is doing relatively well in states like Kansas, while Trump is doing better in New York. Would be very funny if the end result of Trump courting minority voters is that Harris wins thanks to a larger than normal share of the white vote.

Were_Wyrm posted...

Really doesn't help that republicans in the state are still pushing to ban abortion along with fighting against legalizing marijuana which has over 70% of the state's population in favor of.

Also going for Round 2 on the Mifepristone Ban by claiming and I shit you not "it could lead to reduced pregnancies which in turn could lead to a reduction in population which would impact our federal dollars received and possibly eventually a lost congressional seat"

We'll see plenty of states flip blue. They aren't conducting accurate polls.

I believe there will be an underpinning of not going back in some red areas. People who are just exhausted of all of this and want to go back to the days when the republican nominee was boring as shit, but not causing drama every day(and likely almost as genocidal - but again boring on the surface). I see more and more encouraging things every day just about on this issue.

argonautweakend posted...

I believe there will be an underpinning of not going back in some red areas. People who are just exhausted of all of this and want to go back to the days when the republican nominee was boring as shit, but not causing drama every day(and likely almost as genocidal - but again boring on the surface). I see more and more encouraging things every day just about on this issue.

The more articles I see, the more I think Harris has got this.

Touch posted...

For you

Twice as big as Trump though

I feel like as we get down into the last week it's been evident a lot of people(outside of the hardcore) are losing steam on the right. As a Harris supporter, her 1 or 2 terms would not be perfect. Far from it. But I won't be having to wonder what dumb fucking thing she'll say next i'll have to cover for.

I just feel like the waning enthusiasm is actually starting to show.

All of that, plus people who aren't saying shit to anybody and voting for Harris in the booth to again, get off the ride. I think she has this, but again people please vote. We're a week away. My state has officially got my ballot, so I've done my part.

This same Kansas pollster was actually perfect in 2020. They had Trump +14 against Biden.

Actual result: Trump +14

Pretty sure Trump is also polling very poorly in Alaska as well.

Sorozone posted...

It means Kansas shifted to left by 10 points in 4 years.

Iirc Kansas also voted Left for women's healthcare and access to abortion. Though that may have been Kentucky.

Humble_Novice posted...

That's... kind of big, isn't it?

Yeah but its almost within margin of error.

A sufficient october suprise and/or a much better dem/dem leaning turnout could conceivably flip the state.

Its quite unlikely still but no longer a total pipe dream.

Whats the matter with Kansas?

Cemith posted...

Iirc Kansas also voted Left for women's healthcare and access to abortion. Though that may have been Kentucky.

It was Kansas, but it was also a single ballot item during the primary. Once the GE came around the state elected an AG who campaigned on restricting and continuing to try and ban abortion. So you know, not many bright folks.

kaiolino posted...

Harris is doing relatively well in states like Kansas, while Trump is doing better in New York. Would be very funny if the end result of Trump courting minority voters is that Harris wins thanks to a larger than normal share of the white vote.

Trump is still going to lose NY by 20-25 points, minimum.

I wouldn't trust an online survey to account for all the old people in Kansas who vote republican every election.

ReiRei89 posted...

Pretty sure Trump is also polling very poorly in Alaska as well.

A former R+30 seat for a mayor or something in Alaska went to a Democrat. Something big is shaking up there.

FYI I have TC tagged as "conservative troll"

PeteyParker posted...

Also going for Round 2 on the Mifepristone Ban by claiming and I shit you not "it could lead to reduced pregnancies which in turn could lead to a reduction in population which would impact our federal dollars received and possibly eventually a lost congressional seat"

Was that the same dipshit that was complaining about a reduction in teen pregnancy too?

divot1338 posted...

Whats the matter with Kansas?

I know this is a reference to that stupid book, but from what I understand Kansas has a relatively high proportion of white college grads.

Tyranthraxus posted...

A former R+30 seat for a mayor or something in Alaska went to a Democrat. Something big is shaking up there.

You mean the at large rep seat that went to Peltola?

Doesnt Kansas have a Democratic governor? Or did, at least, for a while.

I don't believe for a single second that Trump is only up by 5 in Kansas

UnholyMudcrab posted...

I don't believe for a single second that Trump is only up by 5 in Kansas

I can. Their voters did vote for abortion rights and a Dem governor. I think we'll all be surprised by the numbers that come out election day.

Were_Wyrm posted...

Really doesn't help that republicans in the state are still pushing to ban abortion along with fighting against legalizing marijuana which has over 70% of the state's population in favor of.

You'd think at a certain point people would realize that the person they are voting for is not representing the things they want

hmnut7 posted...

Trump held a Nazi rally, even Kansas should be hard blue.

(I mean if America truly supported democracy)

We do support democracy and we think logically: Critically though? America does not think critically.

We fail to focus on what is relevant.

kaiolino posted...

I know this is a reference to that stupid book, but from what I understand Kansas has a relatively high proportion of white college grads.

Kansas's rural population is consistently decreasing while the north east of Kansas, which is the bluest part, both keeps growing and is becoming more and more blue.

Like the congressional rep for the third district (which covers the most populated part of the state) is a lesbian native American woman. Last election cycle, they GOP tried to do some pretty heavy redistricing to undercut the blue vote and yet Davids won by even more than the last election.

Don't get me wrong, the state is still ultimately outnumbered by the non-north eastern parts of the state which are pretty bright red, including Wichita, Kansas' biggest city but the GOP has had its support in the most populated and affluent part of the state heavily eroded.

Dat_Cracka_Jax posted...

You'd think at a certain point people would realize that the person they are voting for is not representing the things they want

Here's what you need to know about most Kansans

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KHJbSvidohg