Board 8 > Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1291

(+) Yeah! (+)

States update - number of times they've voted for the winner:

36-0

Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Illinois, Massachusetts, New Jersey, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas

35-1

Alabama, California, Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, Louisiana, Michigan, Mississippi, Virginia, Washington, West Virginia

34-2

Arkansas, Connecticut, Maryland, Missouri, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Oklahoma, South Carolina

33-3

Kansas, Minnesota, Nevada, South Dakota, Tennessee, Utah

32-4

Alaska, Delaware, Idaho, Montana, Rhode Island, Vermont, Wisconsin

31-5

Hawaii, Kentucky, Nebraska, Wyoming

30-6

New Mexico, Oregon

29-7

Maine

27-9

North Dakota
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Haste_2 posted...

I'm sure this has been talked about a lot, but man, my Shovel Knight pick got robbed! If I had known that the name "Toad" was right under the image I would have never picked SK! I picked Claire Redfield over the Ren banking on the name "Ren" being used. I sure hope Ren/Claire isn't close, because if it IS close, and the name "Joker" is used, I will have been screwed over twice from a different name under the pic.

Yeah I picked Claire too 100% off of the Ren name

But then again if the name is Joker and he wins then Persona 5, the best video game, gets a match win so that's nice too

Have you guys seen the heatmap for the Walugi match?

Waluigi seems to be winning everywhere significant but China and Russia (unless the colours are inverted).

What the....

OFool posted...

Have you guys seen the heatmap for the Walugi match?

Waluigi seems to be winning everywhere significant but China and Russia (unless the colours are inverted).

What the....

Colors are inverted for the heatmap. Aeris is winning everywhere except China and Russia (thought they are strangely neck and neck in Canada).
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OFool posted...

Have you guys seen the heatmap for the Walugi match?

Waluigi seems to be winning everywhere significant but China and Russia (unless the colours are inverted).

What the....

Waluigi is the blue, and Aerith is red. Waluigi is winning China and Russia, according to the map, with Aerith winning everywhere else.

Waluigi is winning a select few states in the USA, though!

Man, this is a terrible result for D.Va. I had her beating Fox.
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BlAcK TuRtLe posted...

Man, this is a terrible result for D.Va. I had her beating Fox.

Considering fox is like, the cutoff point for being a high midcarder, that was pretty optimistic tbqh

EDIT: As in, if you can beat fox clean, you're probably a high midcarder, not that he is one.
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_SecretSquirrel posted...

OFool posted...

Have you guys seen the heatmap for the Walugi match?

Waluigi seems to be winning everywhere significant but China and Russia (unless the colours are inverted).

What the....

Colors are inverted for the heatmap. Aeris is winning everywhere except China and Russia (thought they are strangely neck and neck in Canada).

Ah OK- why did they invert colours!

Confused me...

Maybe I'm hung up on past data too much, but there's usually no way I would take Waluigi to do this well on Fox (SFF aside). Aerith is in trouble next round.
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Toad is like the Nintendo fodder line, Aerith should be fine in the next round.
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You're right, sorry -- I meant Fox and forgot Toad was her next opponent.
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WarThaNemesis2 posted...

Could you imagine Leonhart losing a contest because he picked against Squall?

if Squall beats Samus in the Losers Bracket I'll live with the death of my bracket
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Squall - 87.98%
Garrus - 58.58%
The Boss - 55.20%
Zelda - 84.57%
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HaRRicH posted...

Maybe I'm hung up on past data too much, but there's usually no way I would take Waluigi to do this well on Fox (SFF aside). Aerith is in trouble next round.

I wouldn't be surprised if he did. Waluigi's strength is hard to gauge at this point.
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I heavily expected /v/ to rally Waluigi hard
Guess not even them care about GameFAQs anymore
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All time favorite Genesis series poll today:

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/7397-

Sonic winning this is no surprise here.
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Yesterday's charts:

Time | Squall | Hat | Votes | Demographic
EBV | 67.16% | 32.84% | 542 | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 70.95% | 29.05% | 3573 | (0:00-1:00)
ENV | 75.97% | 24.03% | 9310 | (1:00-6:00)
DNV | 77.16% | 22.84% | 3879 | (6:00-10:00)
TMV | 78.52% | 21.48% | 5730 | (10:00-16:00)
TDV | 75.36% | 24.64% | 6201 | (16:00-24:00)

Rise. To. Heaven.

Time | Garrus | Ramza | Votes | Demographic
EBV | 50.18% | 49.82% | 542 | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 49.62% | 50.38% | 3573 | (0:00-1:00)
ENV | 48.84% | 51.16% | 9305 | (1:00-6:00)
DNV | 52.95% | 47.05% | 3881 | (6:00-10:00)
TMV | 53.20% | 46.80% | 5733 | (10:00-16:00)
TDV | 50.04% | 49.96% | 6203 | (16:00-24:00)

Nice to see a match where the same character doesn't win every demographic!

Time | Metal | Boss | Votes | Demographic
EBV | 46.86% | 53.14% | 542 | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 44.53% | 55.47% | 3573 | (0:00-1:00)
ENV | 42.93% | 57.07% | 9309 | (1:00-6:00)
DNV | 41.44% | 58.56% | 3885 | (6:00-10:00)
TMV | 43.67% | 56.33% | 5729 | (10:00-16:00)
TDV | 44.82% | 55.18% | 6205 | (16:00-24:00)

Metal Gear still has a good night vote and a bad day vote. Good to see some things never change!

Time | Zelda | Ezio | Votes | Demographic
EBV | 76.20% | 23.80% | 542 | (0:00-0:05)
PHV | 77.02% | 22.98% | 3573 | (0:00-1:00)
ENV | 77.00% | 23.00% | 9313 | (1:00-6:00)
DNV | 73.62% | 26.38% | 3882 | (6:00-10:00)
TMV | 74.48% | 25.52% | 5732 | (10:00-16:00)
TDV | 73.71% | 26.29% | 6204 | (16:00-24:00)

Pretty typical Nintendo trends at this point. Zelda is very frontloaded and slowly falls the rest of the match once we get past the early night vote.
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If it stays this close then I think Captain Toad dodged a bullet by being called Toad in the poll.
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wqAYMZSOQao" data-time="
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RKNDfhLaHoI" data-time="
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U65poiVp0eo" data-time="
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Can anyone try a Waluigi rally on /v/ just to see how it goes?
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What's preventing you from making it?
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Anyone in general gaming forums is going to be swamped from people's RDR2 highlights. A rally isn't happening. Unless you think 4chan is going to peel themselves away from virtual horse shit to push a meme from last quarter.
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Nanis23 posted...

Can anyone try a Waluigi rally on /v/ just to see how it goes?

Nah I think I'd rather protect my bracket. You shouldn't have bought into the rally bullshit
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Nanis23 posted...

Can anyone try a Waluigi rally on /v/ just to see how it goes?

There was one, got washed out pretty quick

Let me try to find it in the archives
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KamikazePotato posted...

What's preventing you from making it?

Work.
If it were up to me I would make a general Waluigi topic, mentioning how he got robbed by the Grinch leak and yet everyone talks about Inceniroar and Steve not making it in and forget about Waluigi
Then a few posts later post the Gamefaqs link

Can someone do it
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UltimaterializerX posted...

4chan doesn't care about GameFAQs anymore anyway. They're too worried about defending Trump.

I wish I was joking.

Last time they cared was Vivi>Mario, 3 years ago
Might still be possible for the right target
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So I just woke up. Seems the results haven't changed at all.
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scaryice posted...

36-0

Arizona

whoo!
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In hindsight, I definitely should've picked D.Va over Aloy. Seems like a dumb decision now. Her and Overwatch were always going to have some more power than a protagonist from a good game.
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True that. I did the same too.
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Today was a relatively difficult day to get completely right. All four of these matches have some possibility for debate, though the character who probably should have been the favorite is currently winning each one. I would expect a lot of movement on the leaderboard once we get the results.

LordoftheMorons posted...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wqAYMZSOQao" data-time="

Leading the game off with this song was one of the smartest decisions in a game full of them.
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RyoCaliente posted...

In hindsight, I definitely should've picked D.Va over Aloy. Seems like a dumb decision now. Her and Overwatch were always going to have some more power than a protagonist from a good game.

Aloy made it closer than I thought it was going to be. She's not gonna make up 1400 votes but I expected a sizable blowout.

I'm OK with my Shovel Knight > Captain Toad pick, it's a 1 pointer and it turned out to be the closest of the 4 matches today. Most Gurus, and almost all of the casuals are going to be losing a point (or more) today.
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Aloy has cut 300 votes overnight. Too little, too late sadly.
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Aloy needs to cut 11.95 votes per update to come back.
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6 years of Captain school down the drain
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Shovel Knight losing made me a sad panda. That game is truly awesome, and the Captain Toad game is boring as fuck.
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Man, D.Va did not hold up well overnight. Ouch.
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Waluigi ends the streak of the last match being a Nintendo character tripling their opponent

Only he could do that
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UltimaterializerX posted...

TheCodeisBosco posted...

Man, D.Va did not hold up well overnight. Ouch.

I picked Aloy because Blizzard fans are legit known for if you rally me Im voting the other way, fuck off.

As a former WoW player, I can attest to this.
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I had Aerith winning this 8 pack and I have a reasonable amount of hope that can still happen.
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Im never taking Waluigi to win a match again unless hes facing turbo fodder. Sad Aerith gets to be one of the few FF characters advancing since she was one of the least good ones to make the field

I had Aeris winning this 8 pack and I now know that Fox is going to impale her.
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