Board 8 > Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1293

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_SecretSquirrel
10/31/18 8:20:36 PM
#454:


NowItsAngeTime posted...
Not gonna lie after how Nintendo and MGS looked the first half of Division 1, I was afraid of Dedede > Ocelot and said so on the Show

Kinda crazy how it might actually happen

Well, good job on avoiding the curse there.
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xp1337
10/31/18 8:20:56 PM
#455:


HaRRicH posted...
xp1337 posted...
KamikazePotato posted...
I will laugh if Ocelot makes a night comeback only for the Smash Direct-infused Day Vote to bury him

plot twist the direct announces ocelot


Further plot twist: Ocrlot still loses.

too many twists for smash, this isn't a mgs direct
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pjbasis
10/31/18 8:21:00 PM
#456:


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NowItsAngeTime
10/31/18 8:21:23 PM
#457:


mnkboy907 posted...
Is it possible Isabelle actually got a Smash deboost? Not that she'd be strong regardless, but a lot of people were annoyed by her inclusion and that could set her up for some anti-voting.


I just think it's a mixture of

* This kinda weird quasi-Nintendo SFF with Nintendo and Mega Man characters
* Animal Crossing being a pretty weak game here
* Isabelle being from only from the latest games, meaning she wouldn't even have Tom Nook/Mr. Resetti nostalgia from the Gamecube/DS
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KamikazePotato
10/31/18 8:21:38 PM
#458:


NowItsAngeTime posted...
KamikazePotato posted...
So, Mewtwo is looking great today. Will not argue against that. Before we jump to conclusions, however, I would like to remind people of this match:

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/7265-division-4-round-1-bowser-vs-gordon


Wasn't Glados a bit more naturally stronger than Gordon?

GlaDOS was a good amount stronger than Gordon, but Gordon still got 22%, and if you think GlaDOS dropped anywhere near as much as him, this result isn't unexpected.
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_SecretSquirrel
10/31/18 8:21:43 PM
#459:


mnkboy907 posted...
Is it possible Isabelle actually got a Smash deboost? Not that she'd be strong regardless, but a lot of people were annoyed by her inclusion and that could set her up for some anti-voting.

I'm sure Isabelle increased just by having more of this site actually know about her. New Leaf looked like hot garbage in the Games Contest until Undertale made it look less like garbage.
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davidponte
10/31/18 8:21:48 PM
#460:


Geno > Isabelle, right?
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Lopen
10/31/18 8:22:22 PM
#461:


Yeah think Ocelot has this one. This should be Dedede's most favorable point and he still can't extend his lead.

Still though the people who said Dedede didn't have a chance because of that stupid 2008 match were dumb as hell.
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pjbasis
10/31/18 8:22:24 PM
#462:


davidponte posted...
Geno > Isabelle, right?


absofuckinglutely
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LusterSoldier
10/31/18 8:23:08 PM
#463:


The Owner of FF9 posted...
If characters got full-body pics, Quiet would win the whole damn thing.


Larger pictures would help a lot of characters, but we really can't have larger pictures when there's 4 matches per day. When we start 2 matches per day in round 4, I expect larger pictures which will allow more of a character's design to be featured in the picture.
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xp1337
10/31/18 8:24:05 PM
#464:


"6 updates. More than enough to lead anything that moves."
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Bolto4
10/31/18 8:24:34 PM
#465:


God damn it Ocelot, is everything that has a splash of Nintendo almost a mid carder in these things now? lol

Though given how frontloaded the Nintendo voting is, Ocelot can still pull this out but wow, shaking my head at this so much
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WitcherGeralt
10/31/18 8:24:56 PM
#466:


What game is Isabelle from?
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LusterSoldier
10/31/18 8:25:27 PM
#467:


Monster update for Dedede there.
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ZenOfThunder
10/31/18 8:25:40 PM
#468:


WitcherGeralt posted...
What game is Isabelle from?


Resident Evil Gaiden

...

sorry
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Mewtwo59
10/31/18 8:25:58 PM
#469:


Bolto4 posted...
God damn it Ocelot, is everything that has a splash of Nintendo almost a mid carder in these things now? lol

Though given how frontloaded the Nintendo voting is, Ocelot can still pull this out but wow, shaking my head at this so much


Isabelle says hi.
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mnkboy907
10/31/18 8:26:01 PM
#470:


WitcherGeralt posted...
What game is Isabelle from?

Debuted in Animal Crossing: New Leaf, as the mayor's (aka your) secretary.
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The Owner of FF9
10/31/18 8:26:01 PM
#471:


Prediction percentages:

Luigi: 89.61
Frog: 77.29
Master Chief: 87.74
Tails: 33.15

Tails' prediction rate is the second lowest so far, after Captain Toad's (30.55%).
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The Owner of FF9
10/31/18 8:28:08 PM
#472:


LusterSoldier posted...
The Owner of FF9 posted...
If characters got full-body pics, Quiet would win the whole damn thing.


Larger pictures would help a lot of characters, but we really can't have larger pictures when there's 4 matches per day. When we start 2 matches per day in round 4, I expect larger pictures which will allow more of a character's design to be featured in the picture.

Oh I know. I was reacting to "Aqua is a more visually appealing design than Quiet is."
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Advokaiser
10/31/18 8:33:40 PM
#473:


King Dedede winning?! I mean, I love Kirby, but I can't believe Shulk, of ALL characters, would be THE ONLY Smash character to underperform this contest.

If it wasn't for Simon's (kind of agonic) victory, I'd be feeling like wanting to cry.
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OFool
10/31/18 8:34:01 PM
#474:


Dede getting some good updates here.

Half an hour in, looks like he is set to hold this.
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Bolto4
10/31/18 8:34:39 PM
#475:


Mewtwo59 posted...
Bolto4 posted...
God damn it Ocelot, is everything that has a splash of Nintendo almost a mid carder in these things now? lol

Though given how frontloaded the Nintendo voting is, Ocelot can still pull this out but wow, shaking my head at this so much


Isabelle says hi.


Well that is nullified because Isabelle is against another very strong Nintendo opponent, Nintendo is more or less often just majorly overperforming against anything not Nintendo this contest, so perhaps the rewording should be, Nintendo basically looks like a almost mid carder vs any non Nintendo opponent
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BetrayedTangy
10/31/18 8:35:26 PM
#476:


I wouldnt say Shulk underperformed he's made a huge improvement since 2013. Old Shulk probably wouldnt break 25%
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_SecretSquirrel
10/31/18 8:36:20 PM
#477:


I keep seeing the small icon of Mewtwo on the poll page, and it looks like he's taking a selfie. It looks so wrong.
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Ranticoot
10/31/18 8:38:52 PM
#478:


Shulk went from losing 59-41 to Ratchet to losing 62-38 against Sub-Zero

He pretty obviously did improve a ton but he's still kinda weak
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pjbasis
10/31/18 8:39:15 PM
#479:


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Averia
10/31/18 8:40:44 PM
#480:


Both Mewtwo and Tifa are looking good, those matches aren't helpful !
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Janus5k
10/31/18 8:41:35 PM
#481:


Not surprised Triple D is winning when double Ds are doing just fine
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OrangeCrush980
10/31/18 8:44:25 PM
#482:


Today's 4 matches have revealed a fraud: Revolver Ocelot.
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pjbasis
10/31/18 8:47:07 PM
#483:


The trends still favor Ocelot right? Nintendo has fallen off after the first hour every time?
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MoogleKupo141
10/31/18 8:48:05 PM
#484:


Ocelot's not a fraud, y'all just underestimated Dedede. He's Dededecent.

the King K. Rool trailer probably boosted him

how could you not love that guy
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Advokaiser
10/31/18 8:51:33 PM
#485:


BetrayedTangy posted...
I wouldnt say Shulk underperformed he's made a huge improvement since 2013. Old Shulk probably wouldnt break 25%


Ranticoot posted...
Shulk went from losing 59-41 to Ratchet to losing 62-38 against Sub-Zero

He pretty obviously did improve a ton but he's still kinda weak


Eh, I guess putting it on perspective it kind of makes sense. I just thought he would be way more popular/stronger.

Oh, I forgot about Isabelle failing to break 20%. That may be a soft (and weird) consolation (not because of her, but because of possible underperformances).
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LusterSoldier
10/31/18 8:54:48 PM
#486:


pjbasis posted...
The trends still favor Ocelot right? Nintendo has fallen off after the first hour every time?


The earlier start time has resulted in the early night vote (9:00 PM to 2:00 AM) acting as an extended Power Hour and Magus didn't fall off a cliff until we got past 1:00 AM. I would expect Ocelot to make a comeback during the deep night vote, but he can't allow Dedede to build up a huge lead before then. Also, there's the Smash Direct tomorrow morning in which Ocelot should perform better during the Direct, but that may be counteracted by what happens after the Direct ends.
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The Owner of FF9
10/31/18 9:09:13 PM
#487:


pjbasis posted...
Tifa looking dang sexy with that 70%

also with that classic art. no Dissidia bullshit
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LordoftheMorons
10/31/18 9:20:34 PM
#488:


Dedede? Seriously?

Also not feeling great about Tifa winning the 8-pack based on this performance.
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MoogleKupo141
10/31/18 9:24:31 PM
#489:


I'm not sure what this says about the division. Tifa looks pretty good. X looks good. Luigi looked good. Mewtwo maybe looks good?

I have Luigi > X > Tifa > Mewtwo in my bracket and don't have any idea how to feel about it.
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_SecretSquirrel
10/31/18 9:27:10 PM
#490:


MoogleKupo141 posted...
I'm not sure what this says about the division. Tifa looks pretty good. X looks good. Luigi looked good. Mewtwo maybe looks good?

I have Luigi > X > Tifa > Mewtwo in my bracket and don't have any idea how to feel about it.

As someone whos riding the Mewtwo train, I think Id like on the X train about now, but unless Mewtwo collapses overnight, I think I like him against Tifa.
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LordoftheMorons
10/31/18 9:30:29 PM
#491:


I have Luigi > Tifa > X and Mewtwo. Feeling decent about Luigi, but Id definitely prefer to have 65 on GlaDOS than 70 on Geno.
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LordoftheMorons
10/31/18 9:32:04 PM
#492:


Third Ocelot cut in a row...!
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Haste_2
10/31/18 9:34:02 PM
#493:


Nobody should be surprised about Isabelle only having 20%. Mega Man always SFFs weak Nintendo characters.
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MoogleKupo141
10/31/18 9:34:20 PM
#494:


I'm not sure about that after how bad Gordon looked and how Smash hyped everyone is.

I feel like GlaDOS may have moved down enough and Geno may have moved up enough for these results to be in Tifa's favor.

or maybe Mewtwo will end up 60 - 40ing her. I don't know anything anymore.
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Advokaiser
10/31/18 9:54:15 PM
#495:


As someone who has Tifa > Luigi > Mewtwo > X, I think the correct order should be Luigi > Tifa > X > Mewtwo.

It's way too early to jump into conclusions, though. Luigi has the Nintendo boost and X is crushing a newly announced Smash character, yet Tifa has a really weak pic (her nose looks really weird and it's face-only) and GlaDOS is pretty strong.
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_SecretSquirrel
10/31/18 9:56:14 PM
#496:


Tifa has FFVII art. I think she looks good, even if TJF is limited.
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HaRRicH
10/31/18 9:58:25 PM
#497:


I'm going with X > Luigi > Mewtwo > Tifa.
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_SecretSquirrel
10/31/18 10:00:35 PM
#498:


The X factor for Mewtwo vs Tifa is that Mewtwo should start well, and that could be an asset for Mewtwo, as it was for Simon and appears to be for Dedede.
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_SecretSquirrel
10/31/18 10:01:00 PM
#499:


X gon give it to you.
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abdou
10/31/18 10:01:26 PM
#500:


Tifa>Cloud
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