Board 8 > ~Character Battle X Spread Betting~ Day 14 feat. Tifa (-40), Mega Man X (-50)

(+) Yeah! (+)

Welcome to Spread Betting 2018! You can signup now or anytime during the contest. Regardless, you will be given $1000 to bet on matches as you see fit. If at any time you fall below $1000, you can bet up to $1000 but beware you can enter the negatives. The user with the most money at the end will be crowned the winner and receive a game of their choice (within reason) courtesy of your host (unless I win, then the prize will go to the runner-up).

WHAT IS SPREAD BETTING?
Basically this works like sports betting with spreads, if you're familiar with that. Here's an example line:

Dante (-40) vs Cuphead (Dante over Cuphead with 70%)

If you bet on Dante, he would have to beat Cuphead by 40%, meaning he'd have to get at least 70% of the vote (70-30 = 40). If you bet on Cuphead (+40) he needs to score at least 30.01% of the vote (69.99 - 30.01 = 39.98) to keep the difference in percentage, or spread, within 40.

PARLAYS
New for this contest is 4-match days, so I am introducing a parlays! For those unfamiliar, you can earn more by combining your bets, but if even just one is wrong you lose the whole thing. The parlay odds are:

2-Match Parlay: 3 to 1 ($100 bet = $300 profit)
3-Match Parlay: 7 to 1 ($100 bet = $700 profit)
4-Match Parlay: 15 to 1 ($100 bet = $1500 profit)

RULES
-You can bet up to your total current bank (or up to $1000 if you are under $1000) each day (not each match). This means one MAX bet per day.
-Newcomers start with $1000
-You can choose any combination of parlays and single bets you want. However, you can only bet on each match once, either as a single bet or as part of a parlay
-I will accept "if" bets (If Dante covers, $1000 on Vivi. If not, $500 on Vivi, etc.) in case the match is close. This only applies for bets made on the next days matches
-If you bet MAX, the bet will be calculated based on the results of the previous days matches. For example, if youre at $0 with $1000 riding on a 3-match parlay, your MAX bet will be $8000 if the bet is successful and $1000 if its not.
-If you fall below $1000, you can bet up to $1000 for the day. However, if you lose it will go into your debt which will be subtracted from your total at the end.
-Betting closes as soon as the matches start
-Please label your bets (Single Bet, Two-Match Parlay, etc.)
-Don't be a jerk
-Feel free to ask any questions!

Today's Matches
(3) Tifa Lockheart (-40) vs. (14) Geno (Tifa over Geno with 70%)
(6) GlaDOS vs. (11) Mewtwo (-22) (Mewtwo over GlaDOS with 61%)
(7) King Dedede vs. (10) Revolver Ocelot (-8) (Ocelot over Dedede with 54%)
(2) Mega Man X (-50) vs. (15) Isabelle (Mega Man X over Isabelle with 75%)
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Max on Ocelot
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If Edgeworth covers (parlay was successful):

$3,600 on Geno

If he doesnt:
$1,000 on {3match parlay: Geno, Mewtwo, Ocelot}
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Max on Tifa, Ocelot and MMX (parlay)

$1000 on parlay of Geno, Mewtwo, Dedede, and Mega Man X
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$100,000 on Geno

Almost to millionaire status...

(But with a Direct happening same day and every single match potentially involving Smash in some way, we could see the spreads get really wonky during the second half of the match)
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MAX on Ocelot
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LEADERBOARD

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1KN8zlFAZb-VzLCLZfynjaVN3epi7bE88g85LfL8MG8g/edit?usp=sharing
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MZero11 posted...

LEADERBOARD

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1KN8zlFAZb-VzLCLZfynjaVN3epi7bE88g85LfL8MG8g/edit?usp=sharing

Looks like the field is going to be getting a bit close to me if everything holds. I'll up the ante then, even if this costs me the million milestone.

$100,000 on the SMASH parlay of Geno, Mewtwo, Dedede, and Isabelle.
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25% parlay on GlaDOS and Mega Man X
25% on Tifa (-40)

For now....
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My debt seems much too high. Didn't I wipe it out with nailing the 4x parlay a few days back with Metal Sonic's day?
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Lopen posted...

My debt seems much too high. Didn't I wipe it out with nailing the 4x parlay a few days back with Metal Sonic's day?

Debt stays with you until the end when it deducts out of the final total.
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Oh. So I had more betting money than I thought when I maxed yesterday. Oops.

Well looks like I'm likely to hit another quad today so no huge harm done.
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50% on a two-way parlay on Geno and GlaDOS.

30% on Tifa
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Max Parlay, Tifa and Mewtwo.

Forgot to bet yesterday, but those would have been some tough picks for me so that may be a good thing lol.
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$10,000 parlay on Mewtwo, Dedede, and Mega Man X
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HALF two-match parlay on Ocelot and Tifa.
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For now Max on Geno

MAX Parlay on Mewtwo/Dedede/Isabelle

Half on Tifa/Glados/X parlay
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30% on Mewtwo
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MAX on a 4-match parlay on Tifa, Mewtwo, Ocelot, and Isabelle
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HALF on Mewtwo/MMX parlay
HALF on Dedede
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50%

3-Match Parlay

Mewtwo
Revolver Ocelot
Mega Man X

parlay

$30,000 on Mewtwo and MMX
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Need to pull myself back here.
MAX on 3 way parlay Tifa, Mega Man X, and Dedede

Change:

25% parlay on Mewtwo and Mega Man X
25% on Tifa (-40)
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Quarter on (3) Tifa Lockheart (-40)
Quarter on (11) Mewtwo (-22)
Quarter on (10) Revolver Ocelot (-8)
Quarter on (15) Isabelle (+50)
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CHANGE:

$3000 on parlay of Tifa + Mewtwo
$3000 on parlay of Dedede + Mega Man X
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Half parlay on Tifa, Ocelot,
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MAX on GlaDOS
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pirate109 posted...

parlay

$30,000 on Mewtwo and MMX

change

3-match parlay

$30,000 on Tifa, Mewtwo and MMX
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Parlay $500 on Dedede and Mega Man X

playing safe for the moment.
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CHANGE:

$25,000 parlay on Mewtwo, Dedede, and Mega Man X
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Alright I'm far enough above 1000 now that I'm going to switch to percentages, same format though.

10% on Geno
35% on Mewtwo
10% on King Dedede
25% on Mega Man X
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Half on Mewtwo
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CHANGE
MAX 3-match parlay on Geno, Mewtwo, and Ocelot

max on Tifa

max parlay on Tifa Glados
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