Board 8 > Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1297

(+) Yeah! (+)

Division 3 is still the division of death

~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
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~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis, and others)*~
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~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~
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~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim*~
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http://thengamer.com/xstats

~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~
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~*Character Contest Histories*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the Match Pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Leonhart4's Trend Charts*~
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~*Daily Vote Trends - An Explanation for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Daily_Vote_Trends

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages
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LeonhartFour posted...

Division 3 is still the division of death

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These results suck
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So who's looking like the favorite to win the division now?

Red? Alucard?? Kefka???
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I vote for Alucard because it would wreck everyone elses brackets
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I'd say Red
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I support Alucard or Kefka to win the division now.
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Team Rocket Elite posted...

Red and Sora were supposed to be similar in strength in 2010, right? It would be one thing if KH3 hype seemed to matter but if anything it's Smash hype that's taking over.

Red was weak in 2010. Red in 2013 a decent bit stronger than Sora.
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I got the 500th post in the last one by pure accident

hype

I fully expect Red to take the division now.
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Yeah, Red went 50/50 with Ocelot and only got 38-39% on MMX in 2010. Sora wasn't super great in 2010 or 2013, but I think 45% on Bowser is a bit better than that.
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big boss struggling with crash genuinely hurts me
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I have Sora winning the division. This is a disaster.

Only thing that can half redeem it is Kefka making a crazy run and beating everyone.

Alucard is looking extremely good right now. After all we've seen this contest, the Peaxh result is probably really good too.
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My bracket says Sora > Kefka, so that means it's probably gonna be Red > Alucard.
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Pokemon Trainer Red (2013c) has a strength of 35.52 against Base Link.
Sora (2013c) has a strength of 33.55 against Base Link.
Pokemon Trainer Red52.77%28,476
Sora47.23%25,484
Pokemon Trainer Red wins with 52.77% of the vote!

KH3 hype so worthless
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KH3 Hype is a fraud.

I feel like people are just tired of waiting for KH3 at this point.

Opinions might shift after the game comes out if it's actually really good, but I think this is just voter fatigue.
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ZeldaTPLink posted...

KH3 Hype is a fraud.

I didn't think this site could shift even further into Nintendo dominance, but here we are.

Link is gonna 65-35 everyone he faces.
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"KH3 hype will be huge" when it's like the 10th KH game since 2 came out
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So if Crash and Spyro are so good now that Ganondorf is somehow redeemed a bit - just why is Chun-Li suddenly really strong?

Also I still think FFX is just a little weaker, Peach being better and Alucard being a lot better. SotN looked really good in 2015 too, it adds up.
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Crash and Spyro are legit now this is great
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is alucard overperforming here, btw? did the anime help him?
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we have a cut!

good job Sora
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sora cut

Sora with that false hope cut
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I let myself be talked out of Red winning the div.

Never again.

I also believe my VPN service is being used to stuff votes, much like it was for Tidus vs DK

Yesterday's X-Stats!

Zero 50.00%
Knuckles the Echidna 43.85%
Zidane Tribal 37.89%
Primrose 25.82%

Wario 50.00%
Master Hand 39.03%
Monika 35.44%
Noctis Lucis Caelum 33.14%

Yoshi 50.00%
Velvet Crowe 29.37%
Shantae 25.73%
James Sunderland 22.89%

Pikachu 50.00%
Kratos 36.59%
Scorpion 33.59%
John Marston 19.63%
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Cuts like that are almost always aberrations.

*reverse jinx reverse jinx reverse jinx*
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Crash has to be benefiting from the must-vote-in-every-match factor pretty heavily
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What the heck, Alucard has 60%?
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I would love for sora and crash to bounce back and win this.
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Also fun with numbers!

If Zero = Yoshi = Pikachu:

Knuckles beats Kratos with 58.28%
Zidane beats Scorpion with 55.67%
James Sunderland beats John Marston with 57.12%
Shantae beats Primrose with 50.17%
Scorpion beats Velvet with 56.28%
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Janus5k posted...

What the heck, Alucard has 60%?

my guess is smash + anime + SotN re-release on PS4

this seems abnormal and i don't even read the analysis topics
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Yeah, this is the best Alucard has looked in a few contests.

'90s character boost
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LeonhartFour posted...

Yeah, this is the best Alucard has looked in a few contests.

'90s character boost

Has he ever looked better?
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The best part of Round 2 so far is that I feel a lot less dumb for banking on all those FF protagonists.
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What was the registered vs unregistered vote for the Sora and Red matches?
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The_Ctes posted...

LeonhartFour posted...

Yeah, this is the best Alucard has looked in a few contests.

'90s character boost

Has he ever looked better?

Maybe in the first few years.

He hadn't really been the same since Sora 55/45'd him in 2005, but these are all good showings.
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LordoftheMorons posted...

Crash has to be benefiting from the must-vote-in-every-match factor pretty heavily

Yeah, seems like the "Pac-Man apathy factor" is legit here.

If we have something similar for games, do we call it the "Tetris apathy factor"? Pac-Man is to characters as Tetris is to games in these contests.
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LeonhartFour posted...

Yeah, this is the best Alucard has looked in a few contests.

'90s character boost

He's an 80's character! By 9 days.
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Holy shit at this Alucard result

Castlevania requiem/Netflix/Smash hype
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Knock it off, Kefka.
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Well, as one of the three Kefka backers in the Guru, this isn't bad, but I am getting a little worried about Alucard.
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Also yo that Netflix Castlevania show is gooooooood. Best VG adaptation ever. Watch it. Alucard is in it.

Also also, I think people are overthinking things regarding stuff like pics and needing to vote in every match - Crash has a reason to boost tremendously. Every boost is entirely explainable.
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VTTJKufp_-Y" data-time="
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wish I would have stuck to my first instinct of Alucard > Kefka in my bracket

paulg235 posted...

I'm just happy Crash is at least making a match out of this when no one was expecting Big Boss to struggle.

No one expected Big Boss to struggle because people thought that Ridley was stronger than Crash. After today's early results, you would get the impression that Ridley simply hasn't boosted at all from that Smash reveal while Crash has somehow gotten a huge boost over the past few years.

Crash being stronger than Ridley is the biggest mind blown event to come out of today's matches. I certainly wouldn't have picked Crash over Ridley before this contest or even back in 2013.
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Eh that netflix show was perfect until the last 2 episodes where they botched it.
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Now we're talking, Sora
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