Board 8 > Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1297

(+) Yeah! (+)

Nanis23 posted...

Well the 3-way played a big part in it, so no idea how it would work on a 1vs1 format

It would work exactly like the Battle Challenge Steiner is hosting, as that's what we had before that.
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Red by the hour:
20:00 | 51.88%
21:00 | 51.41%
22:00 | 50.18%
23:00 | 51.10%
00:00 | 51.04%
01:00 | 51.98%
02:00 | 54.11%
03:00 | 49.08%
04:00 | 50.48%
05:00 | 49.32%

Sora needs to cut 2.79 votes per update to tie
Based on the last hour, Red wins by 328 votes

468 is not a impossible lead to beat
But the question is - why would he? are their trends really that different that they would cause something like that to happen?
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I'd say it's quite unlikely. Sora's best hope is probably that he's quite close to Red in the US and Pokemon is quite frontloaded. Sora also seemed to have his best hours early though, so the difference is minimal at best.
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Best hour so far for Red.

06:00 | 54.79%

The US is waking up and Red is doing a lot better. It's over.
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There goes bracket
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I won't be needing this anymore *rips bracket in half*

So Sora>Red really is a common pick? hmm, weird
I thought it was clear Red victory and this is coming from someone that doesn't believe in Pokemon this contest
Although I do regret having Big Boss>Red next round, but this is only because of his poor performance this round
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Nanis23 posted...

So Sora>Red really is a common pick? hmm, weird
I thought it was clear Red victory and this is coming from someone that doesn't believe in Pokemon this contest
Although I do regret having Big Boss>Red next round, but this is only because of his poor performance this round

Now that Kingdom Hearts 3 is actually going to come out, people hoped that it would garner at least some hype and make Sora great again.

Pokefear in full effect
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oh hey, my instinctive two-minute bracket made it onto the leaderboard! first time this contest I think. thanks Wario!

shame I have Sora > Red, oops. at least I made it on there for a day!
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How do we know Smash Pokemon Trainer is Red anyway
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man, wtf is up with this "everyone hates ash" shit? i don't remember that at all from my childhood. gary was the character everyone hated.
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Its cause Gary was here and ash is a loser
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Mr Lasastryke posted...

man, wtf is up with this "everyone hates ash" shit? i don't remember that at all from my childhood. gary was the character everyone hated.

Dunno I liked Ash.

Shame they turned Ash into Ashley for the pikachu / Eevee yellow remakes on the switch
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The name Ash had always been short for Ashley. Didn't you watch Army of Darkness?
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Sora just had a 70% update should I be worried
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Hopefully
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CRAAAAAAAASH

I think this is a drop for Big Boss based off Revolver allowing King Dedede to nearly beat him and Quiet stinking up the place against Aqua. Not ruling out this idea of late 90s-mascots boosting, but it's confusing to see Crash's trilogy-remaster be more effective than Ridley's inclusion in Smash going from big meme to big hype in the midst of all this other Smash-dominance we're seeing.

Maybe pic-factor too, I just thought Big Boss had enough games now where his MGS3-look wasn't as necessary anymore.

EDIT: Yes, I realize Crash > Ridley in the stats is happening now no matter what and neither a Big Boss drop nor pic-factor really changes that. I just don't have confidence this is the same Big Boss we've seen in the past.
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Mr Lasastryke posted...

man, wtf is up with this "everyone hates ash" shit? i don't remember that at all from my childhood. gary was the character everyone hated.

*points to sig*

Enjoy the read.
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HaRRicH posted...

Maybe pic-factor too, I just thought Big Boss had enough games now where his MGS3-look wasn't as necessary anymore.

I mean looking like Solid Snake is never a bad thing
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Mr Lasastryke posted...

man, wtf is up with this "everyone hates ash" shit? i don't remember that at all from my childhood. gary was the character everyone hated.

Must be how after all these years he's still a bit whiny and worse, Ash's a choker of the worst regard (the only tournament he's ever won was the Orange Islands one!).

And Zen made the greatest thing regarding that cringey\hilarious topic of the whiner who snapped seeing KOS-MOS beating Ellie:

https://media.discordapp.net/attachments/497169201946165248/509208560861708314/kos-mos.gif
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Sora stop giving me false hope
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Came back from work, checked results.

You know what I find funny? I always thought that I had Red>Sora in my bracket. But apparently I picked the other one even though it was almost sure that Red would win! Damn!
Crash is legit! Icon boost confirmed!
Yuna I thought she would keep it up closer. Eh.
Kefka is legit! Maybe.
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igordebraga posted...

Must be how after all these years he's still a bit whiny

i doubt most of the people who watched the anime when they were children (because everyone did) and stopped watching when they grew up have much of a problem with ash, though.

perhaps die hard fans of the anime who are still watching hate him now, but it seems wrong to extrapolate that to "everyone."
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Man, this could turn out to be a nail biter after all.

This is the poll Im most concerned about today!
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if we've ever needed the Kingdom Hearts day vote to return it's now
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600 votes looks steep
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if only we still had an ASV!
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LeonhartFour posted...

if we've ever needed the Kingdom Hearts day vote to return it's now

I'm going to hold off and vote red later on in the match if it gets closer.
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Wreath posted...

LeonhartFour posted...

if we've ever needed the Kingdom Hearts day vote to return it's now

I'm going to hold off and vote red later on in the match if it gets closer.

congratulations...?
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So the kiddies come home meme should be back?
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LeonhartFour posted...

Wreath posted...

LeonhartFour posted...

if we've ever needed the Kingdom Hearts day vote to return it's now

I'm going to hold off and vote red later on in the match if it gets closer.

congratulations...?

Thanks?

Do you guys really see sora making up the 600 votes in less than 8 hours?
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Trying to be hopeful but a 600 vote comeback seems impossible without at least some sort of KH messaging effort.
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Which was the favorite to win in the Guru between Sora and Red?
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Safer_777 posted...

Which was the favorite to win in the Guru between Sora and Red?

Sora by a big margin
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ugh if I see sora over 49% he's gonna make me want to believe again
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pjbasis posted...

ugh if I see sora over 49% he's gonna make me want to believe again

Save yourself the anguish
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Sora just cut 110 votes in a hour
Uh..what is going on
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Nanis23 posted...

Sora just cut 110 votes in a hour
Uh..what is going on

UK vote winding down?
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Zen is a .gif champion this year.
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There are currently 78 updates left.
Sora needs to cut 7.154 votes per update to win.
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I know, without a doubt...!
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I doubt Sora will manage.
A 500 vote barrier is not beatable without rallies nowaday.
This has been the same for every close match so far, at least.

Just wait until the kiddies wake up

A second time
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Just wait until the kiddies get on their phones at recess
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What is happening
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Wrong way Sora
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