Board 8 > Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1341

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LeonhartFour
04/12/20 9:19:50 PM
#1:


https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/1341-east-division-round-2-cloud-strife-vs-auron

At this point, we still had no clue what Cloud was capable of.

~*creativename's contest site*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analyses*~
https://board8.fandom.com/wiki/Main_Page

~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim*~
http://www.thengamer.com/
http://thengamer.com/xstats

~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~
https://board8.fandom.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame
https://board8.fandom.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame

~*Closest Wire-To-Wire Matches*~
https://board8.fandom.com/wiki/Closest_Wire-to-Wire_Matches

~*All-Time Guru List*~
https://board8.fandom.com/wiki/All_Time_Guru_Rankings

~*Most Surprising Results*~
https://board8.fandom.com/wiki/Most_Surprising_Results

~*Contest Histories*~
https://board8.fandom.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*All the Match Pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Daily Vote Trends - An Explanation for Dummies*~
https://board8.fandom.com/wiki/Daily_Vote_Trends

~*Leonhart4's Trend Charts*~
https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?hl=en&key=tOGmynfNIiNy5VukpEF-PdA&hl=en#gid=0

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's extrapolated percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA
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LeonhartFour
04/12/20 9:36:48 PM
#2:


Division 1 X-Stats!

The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild 50.00%
Halo: Reach 15.14%
The Outer Worlds 14.98%
Life is Strange 13.28%

Final Fantasy XV 50.00%
Hollow Knight 49.58%
Tales of Berseria 36.88%
What Remains of Edith Finch 25.35%

Monster Hunter: World 50.00%
Sekiro: Shadows Die Twice 44.20%
Bravely Default: Flying Fairy 42.05%
Ni no Kuni: Wrath of the White Witch 36.62%

Dragon Quest XI: Echoes of an Elusive Age 50.00%
Bastion 28.09%
The Walking Dead: A Telltale Games Series 26.83%
The Legend of Heroes: Trails in the Sky SC 19.33%

Fun with numbers!

If Edith Finch = Life Is Strange, BOTW beats FFXV with 73.81%

If Berseria = Outer Worlds, BOTW beats FFXV with 79.69%

FFXV needs to get at least 19.71% for Edith Finch to not be worth less than 10% on BOTW

If Monster Hunter = Dragon Quest XI:

Sekiro gets 78.13% on Trails, 69.65% on Walking Dead, and 68.22% on Bastion
Bravely Default gets 77.02% on Trails, 68.10% on Walking Dead, and 66.60% on Bastion
Ni no Kuni gets 73.61% on Trails, 63.37% on Walking Dead, and 61.65% on Bastion

Kinda like DQXI based on those numbers!
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KamikazePotato
04/12/20 9:38:14 PM
#3:


Berseria slightly redeemed! Still not great bit not as bad as people were making it out to be.

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plasmabeam
04/12/20 9:46:49 PM
#4:


RE7 was grossly underseeded.

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LeonhartFour
04/12/20 9:48:06 PM
#5:


KamikazePotato posted...
Berseria slightly redeemed! Still not great bit not as bad as people were making it out to be.


and unless BOTW really takes it to FFXV, Edith Finch probably won't be a bottom ten game in the X-Stats!
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squexa
04/12/20 10:10:16 PM
#6:


Meaning BotW will really take it to FFXV lol.

Edith Finch should be stronger than INSIDE and the Witness but not by much.

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LeonhartFour
04/12/20 10:57:33 PM
#7:


Eh, I think Edith Finch probably benefited from FFXV anti-votes, so it could be artificially inflated.
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Safer_777
04/13/20 7:21:56 AM
#8:


I touched the leaderboard at least! But man a core Nintendo franchise losing to Bloodborne? Now that I wouldn't expect it.

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_SecretSquirrel
04/13/20 7:29:43 AM
#9:


As touched upon in the previous Stats topic, we got a somewhat successful Bloodborne rally going on.

https://old.reddit.com/r/bloodborne/comments/g07usr/bloodborne_up_for_game_of_decade_at_gamefaqs/

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Sharinnegan
04/13/20 7:37:09 AM
#10:


wonder how much of a difference thats making
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Safer_777
04/13/20 7:37:53 AM
#11:


A little I guess but it helps.

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Leonhart4
04/13/20 7:48:43 AM
#12:


Bloodborne has now committed the unpardonable sin of totally unnecessary rallying

Take it down, RE2

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LusterSoldier
04/13/20 7:57:21 AM
#13:


The rally went up during the first 10 minutes of the match when it was still very close at the time. It just happened to catch fire hours later after it was no longer in trouble.
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ZeldaTPLink
04/13/20 7:57:39 AM
#14:


I'm seriously worried RE2 might fail to take it down now, if Bloodborne can actually pull a rally with 400 upvotes.
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squexa
04/13/20 8:03:13 AM
#15:


Oh boy Bloodborne could win this division.

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davidponte
04/13/20 8:21:03 AM
#16:


This potential rally goes against my bracket and I therefore hate it

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LeonhartFour
04/13/20 8:28:48 AM
#17:


The rally doesn't seem to be having a disproportional effect on any other match besides Borderlands/Horizon.
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Lightning Strikes
04/13/20 8:29:20 AM
#18:


If Bloodborne is obviously toast in a match, this size of rally wont save it. This match has a thousand votes on the last one, and it seems to have calmed down.

However, I definitely regret changing to RE2!

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LinkMarioSamus
04/13/20 8:31:11 AM
#19:


Oh Bloodborne has a rally! No wonder it's increasing in % so fast.

Honestly that's what I wanted to see out of a contest like this, considering how apathetic this site is to newer games in general. We all generally accept that Bloodborne would have this match anyway though right?

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Diegui
04/13/20 8:33:18 AM
#20:


Bloodborne needing to rally against fire emblem is pathetic. RE2 is winning next round
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ZeldaTPLink
04/13/20 8:34:47 AM
#21:


Lightning Strikes posted...
If Bloodborne is obviously toast in a match, this size of rally wont save it. This match has a thousand votes on the last one, and it seems to have calmed down.

However, I definitely regret changing to RE2!

Yeah I'm not sure if Bloodborne is obviously toast against RE2.
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ZeldaTPLink
04/13/20 8:35:10 AM
#22:


Diegui posted...
Bloodborne needing to rally against fire emblem is pathetic. RE2 is winning next round

It was already winning comfortably before the rally, though.
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swirIdude
04/13/20 8:35:53 AM
#23:


Now we'll have to make a bloodborne rally adjusted X-Stats.

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Advokaiser picked Cloud in Guru and rained on my bracket.
At least I finished 20th overall!
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Safer_777
04/13/20 8:38:48 AM
#24:


@SuperNiceDog Hey thanks. Yeah it was nice to be on top even for a single day.

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Sharinnegan
04/13/20 8:39:15 AM
#25:


this rally might be adding an extra 1% to BB's performance..lets not give it too much credit.
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Lightning Strikes
04/13/20 8:41:38 AM
#26:


LinkMarioSamus posted...
Oh Bloodborne has a rally! No wonder it's increasing in % so fast.

Honestly that's what I wanted to see out of a contest like this, considering how apathetic this site is to newer games in general. We all generally accept that Bloodborne would have this match anyway though right?

The rally is completely unnecessary. Bloodbornes lead is bigger than all the extra votes, and thats not even counting the ones that would go to Fire Emblem. Also the percentage gain has slowed - Bloodborne gained 0.1% in the last 40 minutes but was doing that in single updates earlier.


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ZeldaTPLink
04/13/20 8:45:32 AM
#27:


Not sure how much xstats still apply here but I'd still take Doom to beat FE:A, and that is good for RE2's chances.
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Lightning Strikes
04/13/20 8:51:54 AM
#28:


Now Bloodborne going a bit heavier.

Cant wait for GameFAQs to start hating Bloodborne lols

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Leonhart4
04/13/20 8:57:33 AM
#29:


Lightning Strikes posted...
Now Bloodborne going a bit heavier.

Cant wait for GameFAQs to start hating Bloodborne lols

Already there

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ZeldaTPLink
04/13/20 8:59:50 AM
#30:


Maybe this causes gameFAQs to hate the soulsborne fandom enough so that my TLOU pick works?

[hopes]
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ZeldaTPLink
04/13/20 9:13:47 AM
#31:


My fear is that not only this catches up, but it extends to the Dark Souls games. Like, that fandom tries to make an almost full Soulsborne semifinals.

Semifinals 1: Bloodborne vs Smash
Semifinals 2: Dark Souls vs Dark Souls 3

FInals: Bloodborn vs Dark Souls
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Lightning Strikes
04/13/20 9:20:49 AM
#32:


I mean Bloodborne went from gaining 0.2% an hour to 0.5% now back down to near 0.2%. This is worth an extra thousand votes for Bloodborne in the best case. Bloodborne would still need to get about 47-48% on RE2 naturally to make the difference in that match. And hey, if anybody is desperate r/residentevil is actually more active than r/bloodborne.

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ZeldaTPLink
04/13/20 9:25:47 AM
#33:


So compared to yesterday's matches, we are up about 1300 votes at this point of the day. They are probably most from Bloodborne, though it's possible some are just an extension of the natural increase in contest interest we saw yesterday.
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eaglesarebeasts
04/13/20 9:31:32 AM
#34:


Bloodborne may end up with a higher percentage then RE2

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shane15
04/13/20 9:56:02 AM
#35:


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HaRRicH
04/13/20 10:07:17 AM
#36:


Weird time for a rally to catch any traction. This could be repeatable, or, not -- not sure yet. That's an x-factor that could take what I thought was a real even-lookibg match next round into Bloodborne's match to lose.

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swirIdude
04/13/20 10:09:43 AM
#37:


The r/bloodborne rallier has said they will rally again for Bloodborne's next match, so expect a repeat.

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At least I finished 20th overall!
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FFDragon
04/13/20 10:11:03 AM
#38:


I now preemptively hate Bloodborne and all Bloodborne supporters.

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Sharinnegan
04/13/20 10:11:44 AM
#39:


well, i looked through he said something like "if you dont mind i'll do this again next match" but no one replied to his post.
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shane15
04/13/20 10:13:34 AM
#40:


Why is it always the shit games that get rallied? Monika winning that last character battle would've been great and kinda fitting.

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Sharinnegan
04/13/20 10:17:00 AM
#41:


aand Blodborne has just surpassed RE2's %

RE2 has been tanking a bit too. wonder if the rallied ppl are favoring Doom.
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#42
Post #42 was unavailable or deleted.
Lightning Strikes
04/13/20 10:21:39 AM
#43:


All I want is a crazy RE2 vs. Bloodborne even rally battle ala Tifa vs. Mega Man X. Make it happen. Maybe this time X will indeed give it to ya.

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#44
Post #44 was unavailable or deleted.
Sharinnegan
04/13/20 10:24:13 AM
#45:


which game gets the hentai rally edge in that scenario?
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LusterSoldier
04/13/20 10:25:59 AM
#46:


LeonhartFour posted...
The rally doesn't seem to be having a disproportional effect on any other match besides Borderlands/Horizon.


Horizon rising during the night vote and morning looks like natural trends at work based on the trends from the Aloy/D.Va match. Aloy outright won the morning vote over D.Va in that match.
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ZeldaTPLink
04/13/20 10:26:51 AM
#47:


Sharinnegan posted...
which game gets the hentai rally edge in that scenario?


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Mac Arrowny
04/13/20 10:27:29 AM
#48:


LeonhartFour posted...
If Berseria = Outer Worlds, BOTW beats FFXV with 79.69%


At this point I wouldn't be surprised to see Outer worlds over Berseria
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shane15
04/13/20 10:27:42 AM
#49:


RE2 has Ada so it wins the hentai vote.

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squexa
04/13/20 10:27:46 AM
#50:


Sharinnegan posted...
which game gets the hentai rally edge in that scenario?

It's Claire vs the Doll basically.

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