Board 8 > Politics Containment Topic 333: Biden out The Storm [2020 Edition]

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LordoftheMorons
10/31/20 7:38:53 PM
#151:


https://twitter.com/yashar/status/1322681229632708608?s=21

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UshiromiyaEva
10/31/20 7:39:08 PM
#152:


I have about 5 early voting places within half an hour here, which is no surprise even given the horrible situation for early voting elsewhere in this state because Cobb is so white.

However, we also broke blue 2 years ago, so might be a miscalculation on the Rs part.

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HeroDelTiempo17
10/31/20 7:41:44 PM
#153:


Yeah even if TX had accessible mail-in voting (it doesn't, you need an excuse), I would not use it due to all the fuckery around it at state and federal levels. Luckily we have robust early voting, and also had the luxury to plan optimally. So we deliberately went the second week to avoid crowds, and went to the largest possible poll location. Which, by the way, was the city's basketball arena, which was only an option because several NBA teams went on strike after the Jacob Blake/Rittenhouse shootings! Thanks LeBron!!!

It's just so fucking ridiculous it had to come to any of this

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xp1337
10/31/20 8:24:30 PM
#154:


Might have missed this being posted already but a protest was about to march to the polls to vote in NC when police started tear gassing them: https://twitter.com/SeeMiaRoll/status/1322587247439478784

Also, as to the whole attempted vehicular manslaughter voter intimidation shit in Texas... this image... this image really sums up 2020. A fucking hearse with Trump decals was part of it: https://twitter.com/BFriedmanDC/status/1322536616154583040

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LordoftheMorons
10/31/20 8:43:43 PM
#155:


Happening again, this time in PA

https://twitter.com/DJJudd/status/1322690607039598593

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UshiromiyaEva
10/31/20 8:46:58 PM
#156:


The absolute worst place for him to have let this happen, wow.

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ACAB
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Xeybozn
10/31/20 8:50:03 PM
#157:


LordoftheMorons posted...
Happening again, this time in PA

https://twitter.com/DJJudd/status/1322690607039598593

I bet a lot of his supporters there love this. Like, if this how Trump treats his friends, imagine how much worse he must be treating their enemies.
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red sox 777
10/31/20 8:50:57 PM
#158:


Trump is inviting our national rivals to Mar a Lago and serving them well-done steak with ketchup.

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Mr Lasastryke
10/31/20 8:53:05 PM
#159:


maybe this will finally make trump's hopelessly adoring fans realize that the guy doesn't give a shit about anyone but himself

oh who am i kidding

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LordoftheMorons
10/31/20 8:58:25 PM
#160:


https://twitter.com/ddale8/status/1322703389084557314

Fucking fascist

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red sox 777
10/31/20 9:01:01 PM
#161:


Mr Lasastryke posted...
maybe this will finally make trump's hopelessly adoring fans realize that the guy doesn't give a shit about anyone but himself

oh who am i kidding

He said during the speech we are very lucky to have him as President. The crowd chanted back "We love you."

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Mr Lasastryke
10/31/20 9:01:07 PM
#162:


surely trump will apologize for leaving tons of his supporters in the freezing cold, right?

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1322702737029558272

...oh.

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xp1337
10/31/20 9:01:20 PM
#163:


nate silver talking directly to me right now

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1322703185434337283

(Context: The Des Moines Register released an Iowa poll like an hour ago that was probably Trump's best poll anywhere in the whole cycle. My anxiety and depression surging even though it is probably an outlier.)

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Suprak the Stud
10/31/20 10:10:05 PM
#164:


I know its probably just an outlier.

But 2016 PTSD is real and I have had a bad feeling for like a week and a half. Tuesday cant come soon enough.

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LordoftheMorons
10/31/20 10:11:27 PM
#165:


I believe the polls but there's no way in hell I'd board a plane that had a 10% chance of crashing!

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UshiromiyaEva
10/31/20 10:15:21 PM
#166:


538 dropper Biden down to 89 by adding a 1-in-100 chance of a tie.

Is there actually a situation with the current battlegrounds states on the plate that could actually end in an electoral college tie?

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LordoftheMorons
10/31/20 10:19:53 PM
#167:


JFC

https://twitter.com/steve_vladeck/status/1322703211959099397


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Xeybozn
10/31/20 10:20:19 PM
#168:


UshiromiyaEva posted...
Is there actually a situation with the current battlegrounds states on the plate that could actually end in an electoral college tie?

A few ways, yeah. The most likely is Democrats win every state that went for Hillary plus MI/WI/AZ, with Trump taking everything else.

Better question: Is there any chance Trump doesn't win the House vote if there's a tie?
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LordoftheMorons
10/31/20 10:21:12 PM
#169:


UshiromiyaEva posted...
538 dropper Biden down to 89 by adding a 1-in-100 chance of a tie.

Is there actually a situation with the current battlegrounds states on the plate that could actually end in an electoral college tie?
Yes, Clinton states + WI + MI + AZ (though it can be averted by adding NE2 or ME2)

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Not_an_Owl
10/31/20 10:21:45 PM
#170:


Xeybozn posted...
Better question: Is there any chance Trump doesn't win the House vote if there's a tie?
Considering Democrats are near-locks to win the House, I doubt he wins there!

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LordoftheMorons
10/31/20 10:22:31 PM
#171:


Xeybozn posted...
Better question: Is there any chance Trump doesn't win the House vote if there's a tie?
I think the Dems currently have 23 of the state delegations? From what I've read there's a chance they could take one or two more, but I don't know how likely that is conditional on the presidential race being 269-269.

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LordoftheMorons
10/31/20 10:23:42 PM
#172:


Not_an_Owl posted...
Considering Democrats are near-locks to win the House, I doubt he wins there!
No he most likely does, because the tiebreak rule is the amazingly stupid method of being decided by the House EXCEPT with each state delegation getting one vote

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Not_an_Owl
10/31/20 10:24:34 PM
#173:


LordoftheMorons posted...
No he most likely does, because the tiebreak rule is the amazingly stupid method of being decided by the House EXCEPT with each state delegation getting one vote
God damn, the people who wrote the Constitution were idiots.

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Xeybozn
10/31/20 10:24:48 PM
#174:


LordoftheMorons posted...

I think the Dems currently have 23 of the state delegations? From what I've read there's a chance they could take one or two more, but I don't know how likely that is conditional on the presidential race being 269-269.

If they're underperforming that badly in the presidential race, I doubt they're increasing their state delegation count.
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Hbthebattle
10/31/20 10:25:14 PM
#175:


LordoftheMorons posted...
No he most likely does, because the tiebreak rule is the amazingly stupid method of being decided by the House EXCEPT with each state delegation getting one vote
why the fuck are there so many provisions in the constitution designed to benefit miniscule states

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red sox 777
10/31/20 10:28:01 PM
#176:


Hbthebattle posted...
why the fuck are there so many provisions in the constitution designed to benefit miniscule states

Because the Articles of Confederation granted them even more power. The small states compromised down to the powers they have. If the big states didn't like it, they could have walked away from the negotiation and we'd have a bunch of independent countries today instead of the USA.

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LordoftheMorons
10/31/20 10:31:17 PM
#177:


https://twitter.com/JesseLehrich/status/1322725323713187841

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Paratroopa1
10/31/20 10:35:08 PM
#178:


Hbthebattle posted...
why the fuck are there so many provisions in the constitution designed to benefit miniscule states
Slavery
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red sox 777
10/31/20 10:44:49 PM
#179:


Paratroopa1 posted...
Slavery

This just isn't true. At the time of the ratification of the constitution, we had:

Slave States (6)

Georgia
South Carolina
North Carolina
Virginia
Maryland
Delaware

Free States (7)

Pennsylvania
New Jersey
New York
Connecticut
Rhode Island
Massachusetts
New Hampshire

The free states had a majority under 1 vote per state delegation, and two of the small states were in their number.

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UshiromiyaEva
10/31/20 10:44:57 PM
#180:


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Xeybozn
10/31/20 10:49:59 PM
#181:


Paratroopa1 posted...

Slavery

No, the small state advantages were a compromise to get small states to agree to join the union. Otherwise they probably would have chosen to reject the Constitution rather than be ruled over by the larger states.

Also, fun fact: The founders originally thought that most presidential elections would be decided by Congress. They figured nobody would get a majority in the Electoral College most of the time.
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DoomTheGyarados
10/31/20 10:52:11 PM
#182:


Biden looking pretty lucid

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DoomTheGyarados
10/31/20 10:53:03 PM
#183:


Xeybozn posted...
No, the small state advantages were a compromise to get small states to agree to join the union. Otherwise they probably would have chosen to reject the Constitution rather than be ruled over by the larger states.

Also, fun fact: The founders originally thought that most presidential elections would be decided by Congress. They figured nobody would get a majority in the Electoral College most of the time.

"Yeah, with so many different candidates running we'll choose the best for compromise."

"two party system"

"no wait"

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UshiromiyaEva
10/31/20 10:55:44 PM
#184:


Lol I didn't even see the original hair video when I linked that.

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ACAB
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StealThisSheen
10/31/20 10:57:12 PM
#185:


UshiromiyaEva posted...
https://twitter.com/atrupar/status/1322684046728663040?s=19

That's how a president should sound

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UshiromiyaEva
10/31/20 10:58:55 PM
#186:


Wish I could show that to the me of 6 months ago.

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ACAB
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UshiromiyaEva
10/31/20 11:00:36 PM
#187:


Most important moment of the election.

https://twitter.com/ClutchPointsApp/status/1322703749647798273?s=09

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ACAB
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HeroDelTiempo17
10/31/20 11:07:05 PM
#188:


Xeybozn posted...
No, the small state advantages were a compromise to get small states to agree to join the union. Otherwise they probably would have chosen to reject the Constitution rather than be ruled over by the larger states.

Also, fun fact: The founders originally thought that most presidential elections would be decided by Congress. They figured nobody would get a majority in the Electoral College most of the time.

Yeah, but the biggest factor on "large" vs "small" states wasn't necessarily the raw difference in number of people, it was that in some states, a large proportion of people living there were unable to vote. Because, you know,

Paratroopa1 posted...
Slavery


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UshiromiyaEva
10/31/20 11:07:15 PM
#189:


Just saw we have a MAGA board??

Holy shit that place is fucking WILD.


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#190
Post #190 was unavailable or deleted.
LordoftheMorons
10/31/20 11:14:11 PM
#191:


Scott Atlas is now, in addition to advocating complete surrender to the coronavirus, appearing on RT:

https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1322736378476601344

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red sox 777
10/31/20 11:15:45 PM
#192:


LordoftheMorons posted...
Scott Atlas is now, in addition to advocating complete surrender to the coronavirus, appearing on RT:

https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1322736378476601344

That's propaganda? Isn't it true? We've had troops virtually everywhere.

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LordoftheMorons
10/31/20 11:35:02 PM
#193:


red sox 777 posted...
That's propaganda? Isn't it true? We've had troops virtually everywhere.
It's literally completely unrelated to covid

Of course, given how unqualified Atlas is to speak about covid maybe American military history is actually something he has more expertise in!

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charmander6000
11/01/20 12:15:54 AM
#194:


UltimaterializerX posted...
As the guy who called Trump before almost anyone else, I can promise you he has no possible chance of winning outside SCOTUS bailing him out.

I live in NJ. I know my area of the country very well. There is a 0% chance Trump wins Pennsylvania, and without that state he has no path. Its over.

Not exactly, while Pennsylvania appears to be his most likely option based on polls all he needs is a miss-poll in one of Michigan/Minnesota/Wisconsin to win. Though if it's the latter two he needs both Maine 2 and Nebraska 2 to go his way to reach 270.

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KamikazePotato
11/01/20 12:17:27 AM
#195:




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red sox 777
11/01/20 12:23:52 AM
#196:


It's really hard without Pennsylvania. It's hard to see Trump winning one of Minnesota/Wisconsin/Michigan without also winning Pennsylvania. I could see Nevada as that should be relatively uncorrelated with PA, but that only brings him to 268, one vote short of 269 and the House voting him through. Where to get that last vote? Nothing looks promising at all. Probably the best shot without the Midwest bloc is New Hampshire, but the polling there in October has looked really bad.

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LordoftheMorons
11/01/20 12:25:05 AM
#197:


538 gives Trump a 1% chance conditional on losing PA

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LordoftheMorons
11/01/20 12:32:24 AM
#198:


https://twitter.com/mjs_dc/status/1322680088530505728?s=21

Not surprised that this piece of shit who wants to steal TX by throwing out 117k votes is a conspiracy theorist too!

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red sox 777
11/01/20 12:32:55 AM
#199:


LordoftheMorons posted...
538 gives Trump a 1% chance conditional on losing PA

Incidentally, is 538 correctly treating a 269-269 tie as a win from Trump?

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LordoftheMorons
11/01/20 12:35:33 AM
#200:


red sox 777 posted...
Incidentally, is 538 correctly treating a 269-269 tie as a win from Trump?
No, they just treat it as a tie

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