Board 8 > Politics Containment Topic 334: save_us.pa

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red sox 777
11/03/20 7:56:44 PM
#353:


I wouldn't worry too much about Trump holding Ohio. Hillary had a big lead early on too. A lot of votes from Cleveland and Columbus are already in the count.

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#354
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KamikazePotato
11/03/20 7:57:02 PM
#355:


The Georgia and NC needles are worthless. Not even 10% for either one yet.

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CaptainOfCrush
11/03/20 7:57:03 PM
#356:


Ohio's looking good because a large chunk of that reported tally is coming from Columbus and Cleveland. This seems like a reversal of past elections, where the rural areas report in first while the big cities lag behind.

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Suprak the Stud
11/03/20 7:58:15 PM
#357:


KamikazePotato posted...
https://twitter.com/MaxKennerly/status/1323787384631234560

True, except Florida was considered more safe than every single one of those states EXCEPT Arizona and Pennsylvania. You'd have no reason to assume he'd win any of those states to the left unless he's doing much worse with Hispanic voters (particularly Cuban here, true) and much better with white voters.

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red sox 777
11/03/20 7:58:58 PM
#358:


To the extent that states are counting mail-in votes early or late, we're going to see big shifts in either direction tonight. Don't panic about the results until you've identified the trend.

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DoomTheGyarados
11/03/20 7:59:16 PM
#359:


Florida will head to a recount, because of course it will

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KamikazePotato
11/03/20 7:59:43 PM
#360:


Suprak the Stud posted...
True, except Florida was considered more safe than every single one of those states EXCEPT Arizona and Pennsylvania. You'd have no reason to assume he'd win any of those states to the left unless he's doing much worse with Hispanic voters (particularly Cuban here, true) and much better with white voters.
Well,

https://twitter.com/RobertMartinLT/status/1323789713887666176

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Lolo_Guru
11/03/20 7:59:43 PM
#361:


DoomTheGyarados posted...
Florida will head to a recount, because of course it will

100%
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CaptainOfCrush
11/03/20 8:00:41 PM
#362:


"Doing much worse with Hispanic voters" isn't exactly a ringing endorsement for winning Arizona, though if you want to get a little more edgy with this, white Hispanics like Cubanos are probably much more likely to support Trump than the Mexican-Americans in AZ.

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pyresword
11/03/20 8:00:57 PM
#363:


I think Ohio's results are mostly early voting right now. At least Franklin County (Columbus) anyway based on this update on NYT:

Absentee and early vote results are rolling into Franklin County, the most populous in Ohio. As expected, Biden holds a wide lead over Trump. Well watch the in-person count.


That being said the current results in Franklin County have +180k for Biden whereas Hilary only won Franklin county by 150k votes. So unless Trump is expected to win the in-person vote this might still be good for Biden?
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_stingers_
11/03/20 8:01:28 PM
#364:


KamikazePotato posted...
https://twitter.com/MaxKennerly/status/1323787384631234560
are wisconson and michigan guaranteed for biden now? i thought hillary lost them last time

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KamikazePotato
11/03/20 8:01:41 PM
#365:


I have a Cuban extended family. Cubans specifically break hard for anything anti-socialism due to Castro. I wouldn't group all Hispanics together.

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Suprak the Stud
11/03/20 8:02:05 PM
#366:


Trump will do much better with in-peson, yes.

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pyresword
11/03/20 8:04:12 PM
#367:


I mean I fully expect to do Trump to do better with in-person votes than he does with early votes, but I wouldn't say it's obvious (to me, at least) that Trump would get >50% of the in-person vote.
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LordoftheMorons
11/03/20 8:04:18 PM
#368:


Yeah the Florida play was specifically fearmongering about communism, which won't be nearly as effective with other Hispanic groups. Trump still very well might (probably will) beat his 2016 numbers with them, but not by nearly as much as with Cubans.

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Lightning Strikes
11/03/20 8:04:56 PM
#369:


KamikazePotato posted...
I have a Cuban extended family. Cubans specifically break hard for anything anti-socialism due to Castro. I wouldn't group all Hispanics together.

Reminder that literally every time the far right have seized power its been predicated on manipulating fear of socialism.

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ChaosTonyV4
11/03/20 8:07:12 PM
#370:


I live on the Gulf Coast of the Panhandle.

People just started shooting fireworks.

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#371
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#372
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Suprak the Stud
11/03/20 8:08:05 PM
#373:


ChaosTonyV4 posted...
I live on the Gulf Coast of the Panhandle.

People just started shooting fireworks.

Panhandle vote too stronk

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Moops?
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ChaosTonyV4
11/03/20 8:08:07 PM
#374:


UltimaterializerX posted...
Socialism should 100% be rejected whenever possible because it has DESTROYED any country it's been implemented. I include right wing corporate American socialism in this, for the record.

Bolivia says sup

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LordoftheMorons
11/03/20 8:08:09 PM
#375:


https://twitter.com/JMilesColeman/status/1323792383813865475

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CaptainOfCrush
11/03/20 8:08:36 PM
#376:


UltimaterializerX posted...
I include right wing corporate American socialism in this, for the record.
lmao

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Suprak the Stud
11/03/20 8:08:52 PM
#377:


That's all early vote in Ohio. You'd expect a big blue headstart there.

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Moops?
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LordoftheMorons
11/03/20 8:09:20 PM
#378:


Actual socialism isn't good... but lmao at the notion of Joe Biden being a socialist

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Lightning Strikes
11/03/20 8:09:36 PM
#379:


Socialism is a gigantic tent which is the whole point. You cant burn the whole thing, and besides, Biden doesnt fit anywhere in it, nor did, say, the SPD for instance.

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#380
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DoomTheGyarados
11/03/20 8:10:16 PM
#381:


Uhh Biden is murdering him and Cincy isn't reporting yet.

Come on Ohio, you can do it.

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Mr Lasastryke
11/03/20 8:10:32 PM
#382:


LordoftheMorons posted...
Actual socialism isn't good...

there's more important things to discuss now but goddamn, this is your worst take since "america is the greatest country on earth."

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LordoftheMorons
11/03/20 8:10:44 PM
#383:


https://twitter.com/grace_panetta/status/1323781991335141376

We already knew this because her opponent was intimidated out of the race, but still... disgusting

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Suprak the Stud
11/03/20 8:10:58 PM
#384:


UltimaterializerX posted...
Yeah but I have the 2016 map open. If you compare the numbers, Biden is blowing Hillary's numbers away.

Wait until all in person votes are counted. You're comparing total votes then to primarily early votes now. Not a 1:1.

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Moops?
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DoomTheGyarados
11/03/20 8:11:13 PM
#385:


no one in america is a soclist <_<

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#386
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KamikazePotato
11/03/20 8:13:19 PM
#387:


By the way Biden is winning Texas with 1/3 votes in so far

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hockeydude15
11/03/20 8:14:14 PM
#388:


Yea Florida might be the outlier here with Cuban-Americans siding really hard for Trump when it wasn't expected. That not translating to any other state and Biden doing better than 2016 in pretty much every other demographic throughout the rest of the state makes me feel better.

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LordoftheMorons
11/03/20 8:14:16 PM
#389:


https://twitter.com/ditzkoff/status/1323795484369162241

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red sox 777
11/03/20 8:14:19 PM
#390:


Calm down people, wait a while longer on Ohio. This is probably the mail vote.

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neonreaper
11/03/20 8:15:37 PM
#391:


hmmm does Trump break 300 again?

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Suprak the Stud
11/03/20 8:16:21 PM
#392:


The polls would need to be really off for Biden to win Ohio and lose Florida, fwiw. I think a lot of this Ohio vote is early vote so it is premature to say anything.

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Moops?
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#393
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#394
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red sox 777
11/03/20 8:20:04 PM
#395:


Hillary was crushing it in Ohio early last time too, and lost by 8%. It's like the reverse of Virginia. And with Pennsylvania, 80% of the votes in so far are from Pittsburgh and Philadelphia.

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fuming
11/03/20 8:20:56 PM
#396:


I'm predicting that the winner is the person who has the most votes once they count all of the votes, for sure.
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_stingers_
11/03/20 8:21:24 PM
#397:


what is the best site to use? cnn isnt loading for me anymore

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LordoftheMorons
11/03/20 8:21:41 PM
#398:


fuming posted...
I'm predicting that the winner is the person who has the most votes once they count all of the votes, for sure.
That was not true in 2016!

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Hbthebattle
11/03/20 8:21:58 PM
#399:


fuming posted...
I'm predicting that the winner is the person who has the most votes once they count all of the votes, for sure.
That wasnt true in 2016!

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KamikazePotato
11/03/20 8:23:22 PM
#400:


https://www.yahoo.com/elections
https://results.decisiondeskhq.com/
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/results-texas.html

I keep all three up at once. For the NYTimes, I just switch out the state name in the URL and click the X button in my browser to stop the ad before it loads.

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KamikazePotato
11/03/20 8:23:54 PM
#401:


Also, guys, Biden is doing really well in Texas with half votes cast.

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CaptainOfCrush
11/03/20 8:24:28 PM
#402:


btw has Trump been tweeting today? Or more specifically, in the last couple of hours?

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