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Sonixs 10/24/24 8:38:16 PM #1: |
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/pennsylvania/ The guy hasn't led since Biden dropped out and then magically two weeks before the election, people change their minds. Very interesting. It's almost like the GOP is pumping out fake polls to feed the stolen narrative. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Diceheist 10/24/24 8:40:58 PM #2: |
Sonixs posted... It's almost like the GOP is pumping out fake polls to feed the stolen narrative. They are, but pollsters previously showing Harris leading are also flipping. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Irony 10/24/24 8:42:29 PM #3: |
Sure Jan --- See profile pic ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Neoconkers 10/24/24 8:47:55 PM #4: |
0.3%. it's a dead heat. day by day polling means nothing. --- RIP Benny Harvey, gone but not forgotten. We miss you, big man. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Vyrulisse 10/24/24 8:48:39 PM #5: |
We need to face the reality that this could go either way. Basically ignore polls and do your part in voting, that's all you can really do and control. --- http://i.imgur.com/6VeX04D.jpg https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k0pOIVkGkds ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Cemith 10/24/24 8:49:08 PM #6: |
Vyrulisse posted... We need to face the reality that this could go either way. This. Nothing we can do about it more than vote --- https://i.ibb.co/2vRbyC0/Rosa-6.png "Friends don't let friends watch The Big Bang Theory" - mogar002 ... Copied to Clipboard!
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SauI_Goodman 10/24/24 8:49:36 PM #7: |
If it'll make you feel better stay off the internet and turn off the TV for 2 weeks. Complaining isn't going to do anything. Wait it out like the rest of us. --- Italian, French, German. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Sorozone 10/24/24 8:51:07 PM #8: |
One of those polls is a model sponsored by Republicans. The Emerson poll has 26% of the respondents done via online. So useless data. --- https://m.twitch.tv/sorozone/profile ... Copied to Clipboard!
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creativerealms 10/24/24 8:56:15 PM #9: |
Not suddenly. This is going to be close and we won't know who wins until the end. We can be bundles of Nerves and fear for the worse but really that will only cause self harm. --- "Intelligence has no place in Politics" Londo, (Babylon Five) Star Trek Prodigy is top tier Star Trek. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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lilORANG 10/24/24 9:01:08 PM #10: |
Polls are pointless at this point. Voting has started --- Science and Algorithms ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Cemith 10/24/24 9:02:07 PM #11: |
creativerealms posted... Not suddenly. This is going to be close and we won't know who wins until the end. We can be bundles of Nerves and fear for the worse but really that will only cause self harm. Forget the "end" we'll be lucky to know by the end of the month. --- https://i.ibb.co/2vRbyC0/Rosa-6.png "Friends don't let friends watch The Big Bang Theory" - mogar002 ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Diceheist 10/24/24 9:03:52 PM #12: |
But for the record the Quantus Insights poll is junk, they're openly stuffing the averages for Trump: https://newrepublic.com/article/187425/gop-polls-rigging-averages-trump ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Takuya_Lee 10/24/24 9:04:05 PM #13: |
I'm not buying it. Polls are unreliable at best --- Narutaki was right. This is all Decade's fault. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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CastletonSnob1 10/24/24 9:04:15 PM #14: |
Is there any chance we'll know the winner by the end of the week of November 5? ... Copied to Clipboard!
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ReiRei89 10/24/24 9:07:21 PM #15: |
TC is crying without doing any research as to why 538 flipped. Look at the last couple polls taken. That answers your question as to why. Stop dooming and educate yourself on pollsters. Also 538 removes old polls every couple weeks. What happened is that high quality polls showing Harris up were removed from the model so the trash polls now skew the model even more. Also two PA Bellwether polls came out today showing that Harris is still the vast favorite. Those bellwether counties almost always flip the way the State flips. But once again I'll stress that doomers, such as TC, need to chill out and do some actual reading on polls as well as pollsters before freaking the fuck out over bullshit. --- FGO US:973,940,202 JP:410,404,215 Resident Europa fangirl ... Copied to Clipboard!
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CTsChoco 10/24/24 9:08:35 PM #16: |
CastletonSnob1 posted... Is there any chance we'll know the winner by the end of the week of November 5?Depends which combo of swing states gets called early. Though inevitably we'll still be waiting while Trump slides into the Supreme Court. --- Officially lurking full-time. If you see me, it's a rarity. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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darkace77450 10/24/24 9:12:00 PM #17: |
Speaking of Pennsylvania, Politico is painting a bad picture. Hopefully it's just clickbait. https://www.politico.com/news/2024/10/16/kamala-harris-pennsylvania-campaign-drama-00183844 ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Necronmon 10/24/24 9:12:58 PM #18: |
If it ends up that she should have picked Shapiro as her VP All along...that's going to haunt her and most of the nation for a while. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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ReiRei89 10/24/24 9:15:00 PM #19: |
darkace77450 posted... Speaking of Pennsylvania, Politico is painting a bad picture. Hopefully it's just clickbait.
So let's say it is true, they're still saying they're most likely going to win PA despite the supposed drama. So once again dooming over bullshit. --- FGO US:973,940,202 JP:410,404,215 Resident Europa fangirl ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Goldice 10/24/24 9:18:06 PM #21: |
darkace77450 posted... Speaking of Pennsylvania, Politico is painting a bad picture. Hopefully it's just clickbait. I mean this happens every year among winning and losing campaigns, especially when it's close. Trump's campaign in 2016 thought they were fd. Biden's in 2020 had a lot of second guessing. There's a lot of people, a lot of cash and a lot of egos, opinions and chaos --- New England Patriots: Super Bowl XXXVI, XXXVIII, XXXIX, XLIX, LI, LIII Champions ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Goldice 10/24/24 9:19:37 PM #22: |
Also there is no functional difference between Harris +0.7 and trump +0.7 --- New England Patriots: Super Bowl XXXVI, XXXVIII, XXXIX, XLIX, LI, LIII Champions ... Copied to Clipboard!
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BunkerBoy 10/24/24 9:22:57 PM #23: |
So much dooming ... Copied to Clipboard!
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ssb_yunglink2 10/24/24 9:26:48 PM #24: |
There is just simply no way to know who is going to win this election until the votes are counted. Looking at every single poll as they come out is a recipe for making yourself go insane --- Hee Ho ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Left4Doge 10/24/24 9:27:17 PM #25: |
Early voting so far has me really positive --- Formerly Alpha218 - Crypto is a scam and this name isn't a reference to it https://discord.gg/vzpsef2tJc - Join us for games || https://bit.ly/39z7PHA - YouTube ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Storm_Shadow 10/24/24 9:32:06 PM #26: |
I'm a bit optimistic about the Presidency and the House, and am hopeful about the Senate, but I'm still buying ammunition and MREs. What? I grew up in the sticks. --- If you treat people as equals, they start to think they ARE your equals. http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/1005-warhammer-40k ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Zikten 10/24/24 9:33:43 PM #27: |
I blame Elon Musk and his million dollar giveaway ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Justin2Krelian 10/24/24 9:41:03 PM #28: |
ReiRei89 posted... TC is crying without doing any research as to why 538 flipped. Look at the last couple polls taken. That answers your question as to why. Stop dooming and educate yourself on pollsters. Also 538 removes old polls every couple weeks. What happened is that high quality polls showing Harris up were removed from the model so the trash polls now skew the model even more. Uhh... did you see the last line of TC's post? --- -J2K Currently Streaming: Evil, The Penguin, From, Heels ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Sonixs 10/24/24 9:50:24 PM #29: |
ReiRei89 posted... TC is crying without doing any research as to why 538 flipped. Look at the last couple polls taken. That answers your question as to why. Stop dooming and educate yourself on pollsters. Also 538 removes old polls every couple weeks. What happened is that high quality polls showing Harris up were removed from the model so the trash polls now skew the model even more. Maybe read what I posted again before writing up that TED talk of a post. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Miquella 10/24/24 9:51:56 PM #30: |
Who cares about fake polls, vote! --- I am Lord Miquella. Google me, *****! ... Copied to Clipboard!
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BlackScythe0 10/24/24 9:56:40 PM #31: |
If I remember right isn't Trafalgar Group one of the ones they specifically cite as being a fake pollster working to inflate conservative results? Because that was the highest Trump poll recently. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Ooooooranges 10/24/24 10:02:02 PM #32: |
I really think this Cheney strategy has backfired really badly. Just because there may be a few people left that may be won over by this strategy doesn't mean it's not potentially poison to other potential undecideds. Her poll numbers have gone to hell with this. It's just unimaginable levels of stupidity. --- http://images.tsn.ca/images/stories/2011/10/10/pujols_85507.jpg ... Copied to Clipboard!
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BlackScythe0 10/24/24 10:03:38 PM #33: |
Ooooooranges posted... I really think this Cheney strategy has backfired really badly. Just because there may be a few people left that may be won over by this strategy doesn't mean it's not potentially poison to other potential undecideds. Her poll numbers have gone to hell with this. It's just unimaginable levels of stupidity. Can't tell if serious. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Charismic_Zach_Gowen 10/24/24 10:04:45 PM #34: |
BlackScythe0 posted... Can't tell if serious. Oranges is a diehard Trumper --- In Brady We Trust. I've finally realized the secret to making a successful Mearn topic. Make it about CZG - Mearn ... Copied to Clipboard!
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TheSuperSilver 10/24/24 10:06:37 PM #35: |
I kind of feel Kamala should've kept her "joyful warriors" vibe and built her nest around abortion rights. Talk about that in the morning, afternoon, night and late night. --- When it is obvious that the goals cannot be reached, don't adjust the goals, adjust the action steps. - Confucius ... Copied to Clipboard!
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LeTigre 10/24/24 10:22:07 PM #36: |
Guys Harris is winning in landslide. just look at the polls! no, not those polls. The other polls! actually polls are useless but shes sooooo ahead you guys. --- The world's a mess and yr my only cure (formerly BrohammedAli) ... Copied to Clipboard!
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Charismic_Zach_Gowen 10/24/24 10:26:05 PM #37: |
LeTigre posted... Guys Harris is winning in landslide. You'd imagine after 20+ years you would mature and become less insufferable but yet here we are. --- In Brady We Trust. I've finally realized the secret to making a successful Mearn topic. Make it about CZG - Mearn ... Copied to Clipboard!
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PballDepot 10/24/24 10:30:59 PM #39: |
TheSuperSilver posted... I kind of feel Kamala should've kept her "joyful warriors" vibe and built her nest around abortion rights. Yup. It's not like there's a precedence of Dems doing well when they use right wing rhetoric so it's quite puzzling why she changed her messaging so radically. --- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bxVhRWBGOZ0 ... Copied to Clipboard!
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luigi33 10/24/24 10:34:22 PM #40: |
Lmao, these fake ass right-wing polls are literally right wing copium. --- RTX 3070, Ryzen 7 5700x,16GB DDR4, 700WGold PSU Switch FC: SW-3966-2111-8902, Proud Steam Deck Owner ... Copied to Clipboard!
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voldothegr8 10/24/24 10:50:13 PM #41: |
Vyrulisse posted... We need to face the reality that this could go either way. --- THE Ohio State: 5-1 | Las Vegas Raiders: 2-4 ... Copied to Clipboard!
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projectpat72988 10/24/24 10:56:20 PM #42: |
Anyone know if Real Clear Politics site has any bias or is legit? They compile polls. After such heavy Harris momentum it now seems to have shifted in the opposite direction. Not sure what to make of this stuff. Weren't the polls pretty accurate last time? Biden had a decent lead and won the election. I recall in 2016 Bing and Google had great little poll and prediction sections. Considering they both had Clinton at like 95% chance of winning I guess they scrapped them for the future? I can't find them. Looking at real clear polls shows Trump ahead in every single BG state? Some are incredibly small leads though. Not sure why they consider some of those stats BG states though. I mean. Harris is shown to be ahead in 3 of them but they're states she is going to win regardless. Trump surely isn't winning Minnesota and Harris isn't winning Ohio.... ... Copied to Clipboard!
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LightSnake 10/24/24 11:00:17 PM #43: |
projectpat72988 posted... Anyone know if Real Clear Politics site has any bias or is legit? They compile polls. After such heavy Harris momentum it now seems to have shifted in the opposite direction. Not sure what to make of this stuff. Weren't the polls pretty accurate last time? Biden had a decent lead and won the election. RCP is pretty bad. They factor in a number of right wing garbage polls --- Ring the bells that still can ring/Forget your perfect offering/There is a crack in everything/That's how the light gets in."- RIP, Leonard Cohen ... Copied to Clipboard!
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CRON 10/24/24 11:00:25 PM #44: |
projectpat72988 posted... Anyone know if Real Clear Politics site has any bias or is legit?They have a center-right bias. --- Thanks for reading! ... Copied to Clipboard!
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BunkerBoy 10/24/24 11:00:59 PM #45: |
projectpat72988 posted... Real Clear Politics site has any bias or is legit?They're biased as hell, just look at their articles ... Copied to Clipboard!
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projectpat72988 10/24/24 11:04:30 PM #46: |
BunkerBoy posted... They're biased as hell, just look at their articles They have some weirdly titled articles but it looked like it went both ways. lmao today's are for sure right leaning....if you could say leaning... Is there a better place that compiles polls with graphs like they do? ... Copied to Clipboard!
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ssjevot 10/24/24 11:05:48 PM #47: |
I wouldn't use a site like RCP because polls can't really be used well outside of a model (models adjust for bias and a number of other factors). Just use a model like 538, Economist, Silver Bullet, etc. They all pretty much agree it's 50/50. --- Favorite Games: BlazBlue: Central Fiction, Street Fighter III: Third Strike, Bayonetta, Bloodborne thats a username you habe - chuckyhacksss ... Copied to Clipboard!
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LonelyStoner 10/24/24 11:09:41 PM #48: |
No he isnt lmao --- He's all alone through the day and night. ... Copied to Clipboard!
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GrandConjuraton 10/24/24 11:13:14 PM #49: |
Why is this country so full of stupid people? It's incredibly depressing, ._. --- Travel now; where they can't let you down, where you can't fail them now. https://imgur.com/o21DN7r ... Copied to Clipboard!
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luigi33 10/24/24 11:15:05 PM #50: |
Here comes the doomers again lmao. --- RTX 3070, Ryzen 7 5700x,16GB DDR4, 700WGold PSU Switch FC: SW-3966-2111-8902, Proud Steam Deck Owner ... Copied to Clipboard!
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