Board 8 > Character Battle X Contest Analysis Crew - Part 2

(+) Yeah! (+)

I quit
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yeah I wouldn't be surprised if Yuna finished with at least a doubling

I think it's still kind of a bad showing if she only doubles Godot though because he should be really weak
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i made this in case kefka lost

oh well
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interesting updates. I did not see Bomberman being the closest matchup coming!
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ZenOfThunder posted...

i made this in case kefka lost

oh well

Unable to display image. It has either been moved or deleted for violating the Terms of Use.
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turns out L-Block had the board vote...!

glad to see Peach still sucks even as the rest of Nintendo dominates
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Hell yeah Alucard

Kinda like Kiryu to win here too. Bomberman probably had BRACKETS out the ass
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Lopen posted...

Hell yeah Alucard

Kinda like Kiryu to win here too. Bomberman probably had BRACKETS out the ass

I voted for KAZZY-CHAN here

Who the fuck likes bomberman, c'mon gamefaqs!
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I think Bomberman's in the clear

looks like the Tekken guy had a bracket surge
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Maybe Kiryu actually had BRACKETS
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Lopenflaked
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CelesMyUserName posted...

ZenOfThunder posted...

i made this in case kefka lost

oh well

Unable to display image. It has either been moved or deleted for violating the Terms of Use.

whoops, fixed it

thank you!
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ZenOfThunder posted...

what the fuck

i have kefka but even if he does win it won't be by 59% goddamn

its too early to close the book on this one but I cant not quote this post
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vWjrsqyWv0M&ab_channel=Tsambaista
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Yuna looks pretty good. she's gonna fly past 70%. I'm not sure if I'd take her performance or Sora's
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Yeah, she's been getting 75% updates since 20 minutes in.
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I love catching up on this topic at work

ZenOfThunder 5 hours ago#58
what the fuck

i have kefka but even if he does win it won't be by 59% goddamn

Kefka 64.43%
L-Block - Tetris L-Block 35.57%
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The Mana Sword posted...

Also, I haven't really been looking at trend charts for the matches so far, but are trends basically dead after the first hour or so? Seems like the percentages barely move once they've settled after the initial rush.

transcience posted...

yeah, I think thats the impact of mobile. theres also the fact that the site is 25+ so the idea of an after school vote doesnt really exist anymore.

Even with mobile allowing people to vote during work/school, it's still possible for people to vote on both mobile and their home computer. This is technically legal as 2 different IP addresses would be voting in the match.

The After School Vote has been dead for like 5 years now, but I've been trying to find a successor to the dead ASV. The logical step up from this will be the After Work Vote. The concept of the After Work Vote was born out of a poll in 2012 when an option that had a strong ASV started to slow down after 5:30 PM. The limited evidence suggesting the existence of the After Work Vote shows that it begins at 5:30 PM, which lines up with the typical 9-5 work day for full-time workers. The After Work Vote will generally apply to full-time workers, as part-time workers are less likely to have a consistent work schedule on the days where they have to work. Part-time workers are also more likely to work fewer than 8 hours in a day, making it easier to vote in the poll from home before going to work.
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i hope you take into account the very important "vote from work" vote
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RoseChevalier posted...

i hope you take into account the very important "vote from work" vote

This would be called the During Work Vote (replacing the old During School Vote) if sufficient evidence is discovered that can conclusively prove that the During Work Vote exists.

In one poll where I could see evidence of the After Work Vote, one of the options received a midday spike around 12:00 PM and lasting for about 2 hours. This could be caused by people voting during their lunch break.
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luster I gotta ask, on all these things you have broken down to the exact hour, what time zones are you accounting for?

how does a 2 hour lunch break window match the two major population corridors of the US being 4 hours apart?
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RoseChevalier posted...

luster I gotta ask, on all these things you have broken down to the exact hour, what time zones are you accounting for?

how does a 2 hour lunch break window match the two major population corridors of the US being 4 hours apart?

I'm mostly accounting for the Eastern time zone, because it's the biggest time zone by population in the US. The 2 hour lunch break window accounts for the Eastern and Central time zones.
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the central time zone is also more populous than the pacific time zone (which is 3 hours separated from the eastern time zone, not 4)

transcience posted...

ZenOfThunder posted...

what the fuck

i have kefka but even if he does win it won't be by 59% goddamn

its too early to close the book on this one but I cant not quote this post

Yes clearly I was referring to how Kelfa would break 60% yessir yup
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there's a chance you could end up being wrong about that too lawl
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tennisboy213 posted...

the central time zone is also more populous than the pacific time zone (which is 3 hours separated from the eastern time zone, not 4)

whoa is this true

...oh! texas exists!
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Kefka to end with exactly 59% book it
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yeah Kefka probably ends at like 58 if nothing odd happens. the bracket vote is so strongly against jokes. wait til we see the breakdown tomorrow in the stats.
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it's a far cry from when L-Block had pretty much the greatest board vote ever in the 2007 finals

literally tripling Cloud at the freeze
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board hates jokes yet votes for the clown
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yeah I was thinking that too Leon. how times have changed
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transience posted...

yeah Kefka probably ends at like 58 if nothing odd happens. the bracket vote is so strongly against jokes. wait til we see the breakdown tomorrow in the stats.

The board vote is not at all synonymous with the registered user results. Tidus had the board vote against DK, but the registered voters favored DK by a 4 point margin over the anonymous voters. It would make sense that the board vote is doesn't always match the registered user results since the board vote makes up only a very small percentage of the total registered user votes.
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LeonhartFour posted...

it's a far cry from when L-Block had pretty much the greatest board vote ever in the 2007 finals

literally tripling Cloud at the freeze

Oh, geez... I was just looking at the updates and it took almost three hours for Cloud to not be doubled by L-Block.
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so who's the strongest character we take Kefka to beat now?

he's pretty much equaling Charizard's performance against L-Block in 2010
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cloud
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Kefka/Yuna is an interesting conversation. I have no idea
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Charizard was on roids in 2010

Kefka is also an asshole and probably loses to bomberman or something
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I think Kefka beats Yuna easily if it comes to that. Yuna's probably no stronger than Tidus, and I wouldn't pick Tidus to beat Kefka these days (as much as it pains me).
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i'm hesitant to put stock in kefka, i think his strength fluctuates wildly based on his opponent and mood
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Eh, I don't think so. Kefka hasn't put up a dud since 2008. He was solid all throughout 2010 and 2013. He had awful pics up 'til then, and he's been doing fine now that he's got decent pics to choose from.
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yeah, I took Kefka thinking that he could top Yuna -- but the question was if he could get there. I don't think much of the FF10 guys. fortunately Auron has an easy path except for.. Vincent? who knows there.
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that said, I think Yuna is clearly better than Tidus. I'd take DK over Kefka.
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Yeah, I think Auron's got the easiest division aside from Sephiroth. The only thing that can really trip him up is if Vincent suddenly becomes good again or if Geralt turns out to be really, really strong.
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transience posted...

that said, I think Yuna is clearly better than Tidus. I'd take DK over Kefka.

Eh, I wouldn't. I'm definitely not taking Tidus over L-Block!

Either way, I don't think I've seen a clear performance from Yuna that tells me definitively she's a cut above Tidus. Rikku, maybe. I think she might actually be the second strongest FFX character.

But of course, she missed the cut this year.
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eh, you're still thinking of L-Block as linear. it's an L! I think Wario beats L-Block too.
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LeonhartFour posted...

Yeah, I think Auron's got the easiest division aside from Sephiroth. The only thing that can really trip him up is if Vincent suddenly becomes good again or if Geralt turns out to be really, really strong.

something something gonna have a bad time
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Eh, I think it's a bit more linear in 1-on-1 than it is in multiways. There's more room for variance and wackiness with multiple characters in the poll.

As a result, I also think L-Block is weaker in 1-on-1s, too. It didn't look great in 2010 either. Of course, it's possible that it's just bottomed out and nobody cares anymore because 2007 was just too long ago now.
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The Mana Sword posted...

LeonhartFour posted...

Yeah, I think Auron's got the easiest division aside from Sephiroth. The only thing that can really trip him up is if Vincent suddenly becomes good again or if Geralt turns out to be really, really strong.

something something gonna have a bad time

I almost added a caveat for rallies, but I've never been that worried about a Sans rally, honestly.
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Kefka would stomp Yuna real bad. Zack beat Yuna and then Kefka beat Zack, and stuff isn't always transitive but it's a pretty easy comparison to make.

He would handle DK with ease too. Kefka's performances have been way, way stronger than he's been in the past. His performance in 2013 was like...Zelda (the character) numbers.

L-Block would beat Wario. I legitimately think that more people care about and have an emotional attachment to L-Block than they do Wario.
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LusterSoldier posted...

Even with mobile allowing people to vote during work/school, it's still possible for people to vote on both mobile and their home computer. This is technically legal as 2 different IP addresses would be voting in the match.

Is this really "legal"... Can we do that without getting disqualified...
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