Board 8 > Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1327

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LeonhartFour
03/02/20 9:29:34 AM
#151:


also someone needs to contact @creativename to make sure the poll tracker will be ready

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SwiftyDC
03/02/20 9:43:16 AM
#152:


LonerFAQs

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dilateDChemist
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Advokaiser
03/02/20 10:31:33 AM
#153:


WarThaNemesis2 posted...
Friends vs. Big Bang Theory, who ya got?

Considering TBBT was the best sitcom ever until the later seasons somehow made it a little cringeworthy, while Friends has infinite rewatch value, Friends's got this.

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LeonhartFour
03/02/20 10:44:27 AM
#154:


Advokaiser posted...
Considering TBBT was the best sitcom ever

huh

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swirIdude
03/02/20 10:47:08 AM
#155:


Advokaiser posted...
Considering TBBT was the best sitcom ever

Keep telling yourself that.

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Silencer S
03/02/20 11:01:06 AM
#156:


I'm not sure how things have changed in the past while (probably haven't followed a GameFAQs contest in over a decade) but I've always bet on the following trends:
  • Zelda games will win (BotW as the champ for this IMO, and well deserved one at that)
  • Outside of Zelda games, Mario games do really well. Nintendo in general is extremely strong but dudes like Donkey Kong struggle for some reason.
  • Final Fantasy / JRPGs are typically very strong too, though weaker than the big Nintendo games.
  • Legacy matters a lot. For example, I think Street Fighter, Diablo gets a lot of respect from the average GFAQer due to legacy and may overperform.
  • I think Big Budget AAA Western games/IPs will still do well, but underperform a bit. RDR2 for example I don't see making it out of the third round.


Should be a fun contest!

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Safer_777
03/02/20 3:46:24 PM
#157:


I was the first to tell of Netflix effect for the Wither. I demand to be respected.

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Advokaiser
03/02/20 7:20:40 PM
#158:


By the way, @KamikazePotato , will you do the honor of another prediction topic?

Not that I plan on basing my bracket on yours and tweak debated matches, like I've never done before...

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SwiftyDC
03/02/20 7:24:13 PM
#159:


Advokaiser posted...
By the way, @KamikazePotato , will you do the honor of another prediction topic?

Not that I plan on basing my bracket on yours and tweak debated matches, like I've never done before...

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/78438768

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dilateDChemist
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Yuri_LowelI
03/02/20 7:35:07 PM
#160:


Safer_777 posted...
I was the first to tell of Netflix effect for the Wither. I demand to be respected.

Witcher 3 is going to be Strong regardless


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Leonhart4
03/02/20 7:56:19 PM
#161:


Wow KP still stealing all the credit

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Advokaiser
03/02/20 8:23:46 PM
#162:


SwiftyDC posted...
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/78438768

Thanks. I couldn't find anything by myself, and now I see why.

Leonhart4 posted...
Wow KP still stealing all the credit

Sorry! He's just too accurate and I like his format. Been following him since GotD1, as well.

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KamikazePotato
03/02/20 8:28:54 PM
#163:


I appreciate your dedication to following someone who has only ever won money once in 15 years of contests!

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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
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SwiftyDC
03/03/20 10:13:56 AM
#164:


So, why was KH3 not included in the Best of 2019 poll?

I mean, I didn't like it, but I'm surprised it was snubbed all together.

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dilateDChemist
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Yuri_LowelI
03/03/20 10:27:46 AM
#165:


SwiftyDC posted...
So, why was KH3 not included in the Best of 2019 poll?

I mean, I didn't like it, but I'm surprised it was snubbed all together.

allen picks games on metacritic ratings.

it wouldnt have beaten re2 or fire emblem or even dqxi but it shoud have been in there purely to test strength.

kh3 isnt going far anyway.

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LeonhartFour
03/03/20 10:29:43 AM
#166:


I'm pretty sure there were games with lower Metacritic ratings in GOTY than KH3.

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Safer_777
03/03/20 11:01:55 AM
#167:


Tiebreaker help from the experts?

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NowItsAngeTime
03/03/20 11:09:00 AM
#168:


Team Rocket Elite posted...
@charmander6000 @NowItsAngeTime Any chance one of you two will be doing this?

I had no plans of doing it

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Yuri_LowelI
03/03/20 11:41:47 AM
#169:


LeonhartFour posted...
I'm pretty sure there were games with lower Metacritic ratings in GOTY than KH3.

Not for PS4 or Xbox there weren't. Which are the only two systems and categories it could have been up for. Also Exclusives sort of take priority with his selection.

But yeah Allen messed up not including KH3. Sometimes you have to not be robotic and go with common sense options. The PS4 options were abysmal.

And although I laughed at the exclusion of Skyward Sword. HAving thought about it I'm pretty disappointed its not in. Yes i dislike the game and think its one of the worst Zelda games...but in the context of this contest and how we analyse everything..it would be nice to see a ZElda game get beat by even most non Nintendo tier 1 games. Witcher 3, Skyrim even Persona 5 imo would have SS beat. But would be nice to see those matches.


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Not_Wylvane
03/03/20 3:51:02 PM
#170:


It would've been neat to see how weak Skyward Sword was, I guess, but I'm fine with it being replaced by some niche game with a few passionate fans that are just happy it made the bracket.

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linid0t
03/03/20 9:11:43 PM
#171:


KHIII vs MGSV who ya got
Battle of the disappointments

(Although I still enjoyed MGSV)

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LeonhartFour
03/03/20 10:13:46 PM
#172:


I almost think I'd lean toward MGSV because the feeling of disappointment isn't as fresh in people's minds.

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WarThaNemesis2
03/03/20 11:05:24 PM
#173:


MGSV is a game I'd pick to completely fall off a cliff as an anti-modern Konami vote.

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KamikazePotato
03/03/20 11:12:10 PM
#174:


https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/7069-whats-your-all-time-favorite-5-game

I don't take MGS5 over very much these days.

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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
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LeonhartFour
03/03/20 11:13:03 PM
#175:


you can take it over Street Fighter V!

(seriously guys do not pick it to beat Animal Crossing)

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PrinceOfKoopas
03/04/20 12:03:22 AM
#176:


KamikazePotato posted...
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/7069-whats-your-all-time-favorite-5-game

I don't take MGS5 over very much these days.

...Alright I'm gonna change my bracket to put Animal Crossing > Street Fighter V.

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scaryice
03/04/20 2:09:03 AM
#177:


Games by year of release:



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ctesjbuvf
03/04/20 4:18:02 AM
#178:


Nice. That's pretty evenly distributed, but it's still clear that some years were better than others. 2017 is a solid contender for best and 2011 for worst.

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LinkMarioSamus
03/04/20 10:05:02 AM
#179:


2011 had Skyrim and Portal 2 and Arkham City and...oh.

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Lightning Strikes
03/04/20 10:40:17 AM
#180:


You have to look at what the 2011 games are though:

Skyrim
Dark Souls
Arkham City
Portal 2
Deus Ex Human Revolution
Minecraft
Dead Space 2
Terraria
Ghost Trick

Add to that it being a year where a lot of the most notable snubs congregate (Skyward Sword, Uncharted 3, Mortal Kombat, Mario Kart 7, Super Mario 3D Land) and thats a good year right there. However, as with 2010 it certainly hurts from being at the very beginning of the indie boom. Those years only have one each (Minecraft doesnt count.).

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Lightning Strikes
03/04/20 11:09:34 AM
#181:


On the subject of snubs, here are the top ten best reviewed games of the decade that didnt make the contest, from Metacritic (averaging scores for identical multiplats):

Super Mario 3D World - 93
The Legend of Zelda: Skyward Sword - 93
Rock Band 3 - 93
Pac-Man Championship Edition DX- 92
Forza Horizon 4 - 92
God of War III - 92
Uncharted 3 - 92
Super Smash Bros. For Wii U - 92
Dark Souls II - 91
LittleBigPlanet 2 - 91

If you allowed remasters OoT3D tops it and Super Street Fighter IV makes the list.


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SwiftyDC
03/04/20 11:13:43 AM
#182:


Control got snubbed. But that game probably wouldn't do well here.

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dilateDChemist
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SwiftyDC
03/04/20 11:16:26 AM
#183:


Shadow of Modor too.

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dilateDChemist
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ZeldaTPLink
03/04/20 5:56:20 PM
#184:


I'm worried about no bop this year.

I thought of trying to do myself but I dunno how to run the script stuff people usually do.

At most I can ask people to post their picks in order and write a simple VBA program that spits the cookie, but that means y'all will have to write the picks, as opposed to using that script thingy that copypastes your picks from the bracket itself.
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MetalmindStats
03/04/20 6:52:18 PM
#185:


Bastion makes a tenth 2011 game.

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Yuri_LowelI
03/04/20 10:03:27 PM
#186:


ctesjbuvf posted...
Nice. That's pretty evenly distributed, but it's still clear that some years were better than others. 2017 is a solid contender for best and 2011 for worst.

2014 and 2016 are much MUCH worse than 2011. Especially when you consider their top hitters.

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Yuri_LowelI
03/04/20 10:07:28 PM
#187:


Lightning Strikes posted...
On the subject of snubs, here are the top ten best reviewed games of the decade that didnt make the contest, from Metacritic (averaging scores for identical multiplats):

Super Mario 3D World - 93
The Legend of Zelda: Skyward Sword - 93
Rock Band 3 - 93
Pac-Man Championship Edition DX- 92
Forza Horizon 4 - 92
God of War III - 92
Uncharted 3 - 92
Super Smash Bros. For Wii U - 92
Dark Souls II - 91
LittleBigPlanet 2 - 91

If you allowed remasters OoT3D tops it and Super Street Fighter IV makes the list.

Funny because Persona 4 Golden is a remaster. Yet it made it in

But that is an exception.

And MArio 3D land i agree with. We have DS1, BLoodborne, Sekiro and DS3. We don't need another FROM game. Smash most likely didn't get enough votes nor should it be in this contest because Smash Ultimate makes it obsolete.

Everything else bar SS is just not popular enough here.

Skyward Sword ommision leads me to believe that game didn't get the support

I'm kind of glad. This is ZEldaFAqs afterall. SS winning any close matches would have been awful because its a mediocre game tha would have gotten boosted by Zeldafaqs


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Leonhart4
03/04/20 10:10:58 PM
#188:


Persona 4 Golden is not a remaster. It is a port with a ton of new content.

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Yuri_LowelI
03/04/20 10:24:23 PM
#189:


Leonhart4 posted...
Persona 4 Golden is not a remaster. It is a port with a ton of new content.

Listen i love P4G ony one my fav games ever. But if were being honest...it shouldn't be eligible. Otherwise games like SOTC and Wind Waker have more of a reason to be included.

It sort of is a remaster. Because it got Widescreen support, updated visuals and new voices/music as well as new content. Its an enhanced port. Lets leave it at that.

Either way ports/remasters shouldn't be included

But i'm glad it is included. Because I didn't play P4 until GOlden.

Also i'm going through my bracket again and i'm tearing my hair out on P4/Red Dead

I mean P4 to me could be incredibly popular..it should be. But i don't know. I don't trust this site when it comes to non Nintendo games.

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LeonhartFour
03/04/20 10:29:43 PM
#190:


Yuri_LowelI posted...
Otherwise games like SOTC and Wind Waker have more of a reason to be included.

No, they don't. They don't have new content.

I mean, I didn't expect Allen to allow it or I'd have nominated it myself.

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Yuri_LowelI
03/04/20 10:57:55 PM
#191:


LeonhartFour posted...
No, they don't. They don't have new content.

I mean, I didn't expect Allen to allow it or I'd have nominated it myself.

I mean if SOTC had a new colossi or WW had an extra dungeon it would be eligible? because i don't think they would. and WWHD sort of does have new content. Or rather cut out crap content from original.

I think P4G got a shit ton of noms and Allen put it in there based off that.

WW HD probably didn't because people assumed its a remake of an old game.

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LeonhartFour
03/04/20 10:59:23 PM
#192:


Golden has more than one or two new things. It almost has an entirely separate game's worth of new content.

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Team Rocket Elite
03/04/20 11:42:11 PM
#193:


ZeldaTPLink posted...
I'm worried about no bop this year.

I thought of trying to do myself but I dunno how to run the script stuff people usually do.

At most I can ask people to post their picks in order and write a simple VBA program that spits the cookie, but that means y'all will have to write the picks, as opposed to using that script thingy that copypastes your picks from the bracket itself.


I decided to try and do it. No idea how many brackets I'll get but the topic is here:
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/78450828
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The_Ctes
03/05/20 4:22:27 AM
#194:


I suppose God of War III actually is from this decade. Wonder if some people didn't nominate it thinking it was from last decade.

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MereChristian
03/05/20 5:34:07 AM
#195:


I have a feeling Undertale will either lose in the first round or win the entire contest.
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shane15
03/05/20 5:42:03 AM
#196:


MereChristian posted...
I have a feeling Undertale will either lose in the first round or win the entire contest.

I have it winning 2 rounds but it could lose either of those matches.

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ZeldaTPLink
03/05/20 5:42:53 AM
#197:


Team Rocket Elite posted...
I decided to try and do it. No idea how many brackets I'll get but the topic is here:
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/78450828

Thank you!
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scaryice
03/05/20 9:32:24 AM
#198:


There's a site which has estimates of PSN player counts (http://gamstat.com). I went through and made a list of how every game in the contest fares. I doubt this will help with making picks, but it's fun to look at:

3,800,000 (1) Dark Souls
128,000,000 (1) Grand Theft Auto V
2,000,000 (1) Mass Effect 2
4,100,000 (1) Persona 5
17,600,000 (1) The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim
13,100,000 (1) The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt

13,200,000 (2) Bloodborne
2,500,000 (2) Dragon Quest XI: Echoes of an Elusive Age
19,900,000 (2) God of War
3,500,000 (2) NieR: Automata
25,000,000 (2) Red Dead Redemption 2
39,700,000 (2) The Last of Us

12,100,000 (3) Batman: Arkham City
5,400,000 (3) Fallout: New Vegas
11,900,000 (3) Monster Hunter: World
2,500,000 (3) Portal 2
4,500,000 (3) Resident Evil 2
840,000 (3) Undertale

510,000 (4) Hollow Knight
18,200,000 (4) Horizon Zero Dawn
12,000,000 (4) Metal Gear Solid V: The Phantom Pain
61,300,000 (4) Minecraft
20,600,000 (4) Red Dead Redemption
2,100,000 (4) Super Meat Boy
26,700,000 (4) Uncharted 4: A Thief's End

13,600,000 (5) Borderlands 2
2,000,000 (5) Final Fantasy XIV Online: A Realm Reborn
7,500,000 (5) Final Fantasy XV
23,000,000 (5) Marvel's Spider-Man
1,500,000 (5) Persona 4 Golden
5,100,000 (5) Sonic Mania
840,000 (5) Stardew Valley
1,700,000 (5) Yakuza 0

5,900,000 (6) BioShock Infinite
74,000 (6) Celeste
5,700,000 (6) Dark Souls III
5,300,000 (6) DOOM
4,300,000 (6) Kingdom Hearts III
13,300,000 (6) Overwatch
3,000,000 (6) Sekiro: Shadows Die Twice
410,000 (6) Shovel Knight

2,100,000 (7) Devil May Cry 5
2,900,000 (7) Diablo III
440,000 (7) Divinity: Original Sin II
5,700,000 (7) Dragon Age: Inquisition
1,800,000 (7) The Binding of Isaac: Rebirth
5,300,000 (7) The Walking Dead: A Telltale Games Series

15,300,000 (8) Assassin's Creed IV: Black Flag
14,400,000 (8) Fallout 4
2,600,000 (8) Mass Effect 3
30,300,000 (8) Rocket League

1,600,000 (9) Bayonetta
4,300,000 (9) Dragon Ball FighterZ
4,700,000 (9) Journey
5,000,000 (9) Life is Strange
59,000 (9) VVVVVV
2,800,000 (9) XCOM 2

260,000 (10) Bastion
2,300,000 (10) Deus Ex: Human Revolution
5,300,000 (10) Nioh
5,400,000 (10) Street Fighter V
200,000 (10) Zero Escape: Virtue's Last Reward

2,600,000 (11) Death Stranding
4,200,000 (11) Dishonored
2,800,000 (11) Dragon's Dogma
430,000 (11) INSIDE
1,600,000 (11) Ni no Kuni: Wrath of the White Witch
8,700,000 (11) Rayman Legends
4,400,000 (11) Terraria

270,000 (12) Bloodstained: Ritual of the Night
200,000 (12) Crypt of the NecroDancer
2,700,000 (12) Dead Space 2
17,700,000 (12) Destiny
1,500,000 (12) The Witness
1,500,000 (12) What Remains of Edith Finch
560,000 (12) Ys VIII: Lacrimosa of DANA

250,000 (13) Dead Cells
17,100,000 (13) Fortnite
9,900 (13) Return of the Obra Dinn
25,000 (13) Slay the Spire
960,000 (13) Tales of Berseria

630,000 (14) Danganronpa 2: Goodbye Despair
95,000 (14) Night in the Woods
10,000,000 (14) Tomb Raider

56,800,000 (15) Call of Duty: Black Ops
9,000,000 (15) Dying Light
5,800,000 (15) Mortal Kombat 11
2,600,000 (15) South Park: The Stick of Truth
120,000 (15) The Talos Principle

6,600,000 (16) Assassin's Creed Odyssey
10,800,000 (16) Heavy Rain
1,100,000 (16) Hotline Miami
8,000,000 (16) Resident Evil 7: biohazard
770,000 (16) Subnautica
5,600,000 (16) Tekken 7
1,100,000 (16) The Outer Worlds

Fornite only counts the single player. I know Diablo 3's reaper of souls version was counted separately (another 8 million). Borderlands/Skyrim VR versions not included here. Danganronpa 2's page appears to include the first game (because of the 1-2 reload version). Zero Escape Nonary Games version not included, and there may be a few other re-releases like that. Generally though, these are worldwide stats that include all versions.

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LeonhartFour
03/05/20 9:37:22 AM
#199:


Huh, those are some interesting numbers. I don't necessarily know what to make of them, but it was encouraging to see 5+ million for Sonic Mania!

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#200
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