Board 8 > Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1361

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ctesjbuvf
05/13/20 12:32:14 PM
#403:


MechanicalWall posted...
SotC went 60-40 with RDR in 2015, which is just about how well Smash Ultimate does on it through XBC as proxy.

There's a chance nothing in this bracket beats it but Zelda and Witcher.

There is at least one bandwagon in that line though, possibly two.

That's before considering if the first RDR boosted from 2 releasing.

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#404
Post #404 was unavailable or deleted.
charmander6000
05/13/20 12:34:58 PM
#405:


squexa posted...
Some BotW projections:

Projecting through a constant SMG2, BotW is worth ~45% on 2015 FFVII
Projecting through a constant MGSV, BotW is worth ~48% on 2015 ALttP

Using a constant Skyrim, BotW is worth 46.35% on 2015 Ocarina of Time.
Using a constant TLOU, BotW is worth 46.00% on 2015 Ocarina of Time.

>_>

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VeryInsane
05/13/20 12:41:59 PM
#406:


Assuming constant Skyrim, what would Witcher 3 get on old Witcher 3?

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charmander6000
05/13/20 12:55:57 PM
#407:


VeryInsane posted...
Assuming constant Skyrim, what would Witcher 3 get on old Witcher 3?

35.35%

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HaRRicH
05/13/20 1:14:19 PM
#408:


I'm not putting in the time for calculations, but if anybody else wants to here are the games we had this contest that were also in BGE3:

Undertale
Mass Effect
The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim
The Last of Us
Persona 4 (not Golden)
Super Mario Galaxy 2
Life is Strange
Animal Crossing: New Leaf
Batman: Arkham City
Mass Effect 2
Fallout: New Vegas
The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt
Xenoblade Chronicles
Portal 2
Dark Souls
Fire Emblem: Awakening
Mario Kart 8
Pokemon Gold/Silver (not Heart/Soul)
Red Dead Redemption
BioShock Infinite
Bloodborne
Metal Gear Solid V: The Phantom Pain
Monster Hunter 4 Ultimate
Borderlands 2
Minecraft
Bayonetta 2
Journey
Sid Meiers Civilization V
Binding of Isaac: Rebirth
Destiny
The Walking Dead
Hearthstone: Heroes of Warcraft

Without doing a calculation, I'm taking LoZ:BotW > LoZ:MM with 52%.

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BlAcK TuRtLe
05/13/20 1:54:57 PM
#409:


SotC probably falls between Witcher and Skyrim, meaning I only take Zelda/Smash/Witcher over it

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creativename
05/13/20 2:23:17 PM
#410:


Just saw this by @_SecretSquirrel

You've been keeping track of the user created match pics?

Oops, I forgot. Thanks for reminding me.

Anyone have links to the pics?
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_SecretSquirrel
05/13/20 2:40:07 PM
#411:


@creativename

For the first round of user created pics, this is the URL.

https://gamefaqs1.cbsistatic.com/images/contest/gotd-r4/480957.jpg

And just replace the numbers as follows.

BotW: 107502
DQXI: 448607

ME2: 34111
RE2: 448874

Smash: 480957
Odyssey: 458832

P4G: 115427
Xenoblade: 43584

Witcher: 167462
God of War: 455388

Persona 5: 115534
Portal 2: 70564

Dark Souls: 83346
Last of Us: 125470

Skyrim: 92151
Heart Gold: 43298

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_SecretSquirrel
05/13/20 2:40:36 PM
#412:


For rounds 5 and later...

https://gamefaqs1.cbsistatic.com/images/contest/gotd-r5/botw-_SecretSquirrel.png
https://gamefaqs1.cbsistatic.com/images/contest/gotd-r5/botw-Reala.jpg

https://gamefaqs1.cbsistatic.com/images/contest/gotd-r5/me2-Agent_M.png
https://gamefaqs1.cbsistatic.com/images/contest/gotd-r5/me2-Agent_M-2.png

https://gamefaqs1.cbsistatic.com/images/contest/gotd-r5/ssbu-Agent_M.png
https://gamefaqs1.cbsistatic.com/images/contest/gotd-r5/ssbu-UltimaterializerX.png

https://gamefaqs1.cbsistatic.com/images/contest/gotd-r5/xbc-KamikazePotato.png
https://gamefaqs1.cbsistatic.com/images/contest/gotd-r5/xbc-Agent_M.png

https://gamefaqs1.cbsistatic.com/images/contest/gotd-r5/w3-Sharinnegan.jpg
https://gamefaqs1.cbsistatic.com/images/contest/gotd-r5/w3-MechanicalWall.png

https://gamefaqs1.cbsistatic.com/images/contest/gotd-r5/p5-_SecretSquirrel.png
https://gamefaqs1.cbsistatic.com/images/contest/gotd-r5/p5-UltimaterializerX.png

https://gamefaqs1.cbsistatic.com/images/contest/gotd-r5/ds-UltimaterializerX.png
https://gamefaqs1.cbsistatic.com/images/contest/gotd-r5/ds-Agent_M.png

https://gamefaqs1.cbsistatic.com/images/contest/gotd-r5/sk-_SecretSquirrel.png
https://gamefaqs1.cbsistatic.com/images/contest/gotd-r5/sk-Reala.png

https://gamefaqs1.cbsistatic.com/images/contest/gotd-r6/botw-Reala.png
https://gamefaqs1.cbsistatic.com/images/contest/gotd-r6/botw-UltimaterializerX.png
https://gamefaqs1.cbsistatic.com/images/contest/gotd-r6/botw-Agent_M.png
https://gamefaqs1.cbsistatic.com/images/contest/gotd-r6/botw-_SecretSquirrel.png

https://gamefaqs1.cbsistatic.com/images/contest/gotd-r6/ssbm-Reala.jpg
https://gamefaqs1.cbsistatic.com/images/contest/gotd-r6/ssbm-_SecretSquirrel.png
https://gamefaqs1.cbsistatic.com/images/contest/gotd-r6/ssbm-NowItsAngeTime.png
https://gamefaqs1.cbsistatic.com/images/contest/gotd-r6/ssbm-UltimaterializerX.png

https://gamefaqs1.cbsistatic.com/images/contest/gotd-r6/w3-_SecretSquirrel.png
https://gamefaqs1.cbsistatic.com/images/contest/gotd-r6/w3-Agent_M.png
https://gamefaqs1.cbsistatic.com/images/contest/gotd-r6/w3-Reala.png
https://gamefaqs1.cbsistatic.com/images/contest/gotd-r6/w3-MechanicalWall.png

https://gamefaqs1.cbsistatic.com/images/contest/gotd-r6/sk-_SecretSquirrel.png
https://gamefaqs1.cbsistatic.com/images/contest/gotd-r6/sk-Agent_M.png
https://gamefaqs1.cbsistatic.com/images/contest/gotd-r6/sk-Reala.png
https://gamefaqs1.cbsistatic.com/images/contest/gotd-r6/sk-UltimaterializerX.png

https://gamefaqs1.cbsistatic.com/images/contest/gotd-r7/botw-_SecretSquirrel.png
https://gamefaqs1.cbsistatic.com/images/contest/gotd-r7/botw-_SecretSquirrel-2.png
https://gamefaqs1.cbsistatic.com/images/contest/gotd-r7/botw-Agent_M.png
https://gamefaqs1.cbsistatic.com/images/contest/gotd-r7/botw-Agent_M-2.png
https://gamefaqs1.cbsistatic.com/images/contest/gotd-r7/botw-Agent_M-3.png
https://gamefaqs1.cbsistatic.com/images/contest/gotd-r7/botw-UltimaterializerX.png
https://gamefaqs1.cbsistatic.com/images/contest/gotd-r7/botw-ZenOfThunder.png
https://gamefaqs1.cbsistatic.com/images/contest/gotd-r7/botw-Reala.jpg

https://gamefaqs1.cbsistatic.com/images/contest/gotd-r7/w3-_SecretSquirrel.png
https://gamefaqs1.cbsistatic.com/images/contest/gotd-r7/w3-Reala.png
https://gamefaqs1.cbsistatic.com/images/contest/gotd-r7/w3-Reala-2.png
https://gamefaqs1.cbsistatic.com/images/contest/gotd-r7/w3-UltimaterializerX.png
https://gamefaqs1.cbsistatic.com/images/contest/gotd-r7/w3-UltimaterializerX-2.png
https://gamefaqs1.cbsistatic.com/images/contest/gotd-r7/w3-MechanicalWall.png
https://gamefaqs1.cbsistatic.com/images/contest/gotd-r7/w3-MechanicalWall-2.png
https://gamefaqs1.cbsistatic.com/images/contest/gotd-r7/w3-MechanicalWall-3.png

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PrinceOfKoopas
05/13/20 2:42:25 PM
#413:


Allen reviving the GameFAQs Twitter account to talk about the Persona guide that apparently brought extra attention to the site (and poll):

https://twitter.com/GameFAQs/status/1260639665977282561

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shane15
05/13/20 2:49:37 PM
#414:


What actually happened. Did he sabotage his own guide or something?

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_SecretSquirrel
05/13/20 2:51:35 PM
#415:


shane15 posted...
What actually happened. Did he sabotage his own guide or something?
Pretty much. Dude became a born again Christian, and then edited his P2 FAQ to a rant about the Persona series being blasphemous or whatever.

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shane15
05/13/20 2:57:26 PM
#416:


_SecretSquirrel posted...
Pretty much. Dude became a born again Christian, and then edited his P2 FAQ to a rant about the Persona series being blasphemous or whatever.

Not very Christian of him.

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Sharinnegan
05/13/20 2:59:32 PM
#417:


the Kotaku article said the dude might have been s***posting.
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_SecretSquirrel
05/13/20 3:02:54 PM
#418:


On a sidenote, why couldn't that happen during the Persona 5 vs. Witcher 3 match? Imagine everyone's second chance brackets except mine getting busted over a Persona 2 guide being erased over a BAC rant (or shitpost).

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Raka_Putra
05/13/20 3:03:57 PM
#419:


Man what if that guy just wanted to bring more humans to this dying site?

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Into the woods, but mind the past...
Into the woods, but mind the future!
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Safer_777
05/13/20 3:14:37 PM
#420:


This is just an American thing to do. Plus what exactly means that he is reborn Christian? Plus this is a video game. It is fiction. Nothing in there matters.

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So why we exist? What happens when we stop existing?
Azuarc the best Guru of the 2020 Contest! Nice job man!
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shane15
05/13/20 3:17:27 PM
#421:


Persona has legit taught me more about gods and mythology than school did.

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#422
Post #422 was unavailable or deleted.
davidponte
05/13/20 3:26:11 PM
#423:


I too can't wait for the demons to be erased from existence

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Wanglicious
05/13/20 3:27:01 PM
#424:


all i'm getting out of this controversy is he proved god really is the enemy after all.
like imagine using his guide for a while and then all of a sudden the FAQ talks about how wonderful God is.

meta as fuck.

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"Maybe it's a tentacle, molesting the planet itself. - Aschen Brodel.
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WhiteLens
05/13/20 3:29:09 PM
#425:


I'd like to think of Persona as a metaphor for taking control of your inner demons so come out as a stronger person.

But I know that's reading too much into it.

---
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F/GO: 271551102; FFRK: 9k6d; FFBE: 886783216; LLSIFAS: 438166726
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tgs2
05/13/20 3:32:47 PM
#426:


Wanglicious posted...
all i'm getting out of this controversy is he proved god really is the enemy after all.
like imagine using his guide for a while and then all of a sudden the FAQ talks about how wonderful God is.

meta as fuck.

Order. Not even once.
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Advokaiser
05/13/20 3:47:34 PM
#427:


UltimaterializerX posted...
The edit on that guide is perfectly fine in context Im a born-again myself, so I agree with much of what he put in there but doing a stealth edit on a guide is just not the right way to get the word out.

I agree.

I learned through bad choices that, while people always have a latent need for God's Word, they are not always prepared to hear about Him.

There's a time and space for everything.

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FFDragon
05/13/20 3:50:01 PM
#428:


Seeing the state of the world, I'm fairly certain we're in one of the 'god abandoned' timelines anyway.

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If you wake up at a different time, in a different place, could you wake up as a different person?
#theresafreakingghostafterus
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#429
Post #429 was unavailable or deleted.
Zylothewolf
05/13/20 3:56:41 PM
#430:


Why do these type of people get any attention at all?

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Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. Advokaiser >Me
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#431
Post #431 was unavailable or deleted.
FFDragon
05/13/20 4:00:19 PM
#432:




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If you wake up at a different time, in a different place, could you wake up as a different person?
#theresafreakingghostafterus
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LeonhartFour
05/13/20 4:11:23 PM
#433:


Mario Galaxy 2 is going to come out of this looking pretty darn great

maybe there is something to the idea that a western game can only go so high on a mainline Nintendo game

would explain MK8 too
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ZeldaTPLink
05/13/20 4:15:53 PM
#434:


Probably explains GTA's historical weirdness, too. In terms of stats, it's very strong, but if the site is actually divided between Eastern and Western fanbases, there is just a wall it can't breach, which causes its results to be non-transitive.

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Mac Arrowny
05/13/20 4:22:31 PM
#435:


LeonhartFour posted...
Mario Galaxy 2 is going to come out of this looking pretty darn great

maybe there is something to the idea that a western game can only go so high on a mainline Nintendo game

would explain MK8 too


Eh, both of those looked good before their losses too.
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Leonhart4
05/13/20 4:28:10 PM
#436:


They looked fine. They didn't look like top ten games of the contest.

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jeffjimbo
05/13/20 4:28:28 PM
#437:


Witcher redditors are literally SEETHING at the results. pretty funny to watch. they've been rallying for hours.

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ShatteredElysium
05/13/20 4:31:53 PM
#438:


We're about 4000 votes ahead compared to yesterday. So they basically needed to rally twice as hard as they have done to even make it close if all the extra votes are from them (and they probably aren't)

EDIT: Looks like they haven't even rallied on the main Witcher Reddit. Which if they did may have made a larger difference since there's 4.8k people online on that reddit. A sticky there may have gotten a significant chunk of votes
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Mac Arrowny
05/13/20 4:34:43 PM
#439:


Leonhart4 posted...
They looked fine. They didn't look like top ten games of the contest.


Do they still look top 10 after adjusting Witcher down for its rally and adjusting for SSBU/SMO/XBC SFF?
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GrandchesTerry
05/13/20 4:39:42 PM
#440:


Scrolling through the first 3 pages, there's plenty of threads about the contest on the main witcher and witcher 3 subreddits. Not a single one on the BotW subreddit.

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ShatteredElysium
05/13/20 4:44:51 PM
#441:


I just searched through all the posts by new on the main Witcher reddit. There was one topic posted 20 hours ago with 14 Upvotes and 8 comments. Half of which were the autobot or related to BotW being the better game.
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tgs2
05/13/20 4:46:53 PM
#442:


Mac Arrowny posted...
Do they still look top 10 after adjusting Witcher down for its rally and adjusting for SSBU/SMO/XBC SFF?

Witcher had a bunch of mini rallies all match long What would it's natural result be? 42/43%?
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#443
Post #443 was unavailable or deleted.
Leonhart4
05/13/20 4:48:01 PM
#444:


Mac Arrowny posted...
Do they still look top 10 after adjusting Witcher down for its rally and adjusting for SSBU/SMO/XBC SFF?

I mean, there's really no way to adjust for a rally.

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FFDragon
05/13/20 4:52:34 PM
#445:


Leonhart4 posted...
I mean, there's really no way to adjust for a rally.

ME3 forever second strongest.

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_SJimW_
05/13/20 4:57:18 PM
#446:


I wonder if the Persona 2 guide going viral could have impacted Persona 5 / Witcher 3 if that happened then

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LusterSoldier
05/13/20 4:57:42 PM
#447:


I may have uncovered potential evidence that we could be getting 2 bonus matches later today. Using the voting form on the homepage that is used to vote in the current match, I could change the poll ID to a later poll that is not yet active and seeing what message I get when trying to vote in a poll that isn't active yet. Poll 8090, 8091, and 8092 returned the message "This poll is not currently active. Refresh the GameFAQs home page to see the current poll." which implies that future polls with those poll IDs currently exist in the database. Poll 8093 actually returned the message "An invalid poll was selected." which means no poll currently exists in the database with that specific poll ID.

The assumption is that poll 8092 is most likely tomorrow's regular poll, with 8090 and 8091 being the bonus matches.
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#448
Post #448 was unavailable or deleted.
LusterSoldier
05/13/20 5:07:32 PM
#449:


If the second bonus match really is Skyrim/Ultimate, there would be no need for pic submissions because Allen can re-use the existing submissions for both games.
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Mac Arrowny
05/13/20 5:09:52 PM
#450:


Leonhart4 posted...


I mean, there's really no way to adjust for a rally.


Luster's been posting adjusted percentages for rallies all contest.
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HaRRicH
05/13/20 5:17:20 PM
#451:


_SJimW_ posted...
I wonder if the Persona 2 guide going viral could have impacted Persona 5 / Witcher 3 if that happened then

Imagine if a stunt like this Persona 2 guide-thing happened that day and it brought enough traffic to defeat Witcher 3.

Move over, reddit: contributors have the rallying high ground now.

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ctesjbuvf
05/13/20 5:19:23 PM
#452:


Anyone got a FAQ up they can edit similarily in future matches to help their game lol?

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