Board 8 > Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1361

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_SecretSquirrel
05/12/20 10:15:02 PM
#303:


Also, holy shit at Mortal Kombat 11. We set some new standards for turbofodder this year, expecting the weakest games to be exclusively comprised of niche cult classics, yet somehow a household name franchise ended up slumming it out with Obra Dinn and INSIDE.

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LeonhartFour
05/12/20 10:22:09 PM
#304:


MK11 is probably a combination of Smash/Odyssey SFF (and then Zelda/Smash SFF) and Mario being the king of apathy votes with forced voting
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ZenOfThunder
05/12/20 10:23:00 PM
#305:


Sonic Mania 22.70%
Kingdom Hearts III 22.64%

fuck i would have loved this match

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LeonhartFour
05/12/20 10:23:41 PM
#306:


the fact that Sonic Mania avoids the quadrupling against BOTW is a massive victory for us imhotbqh
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Team Rocket Elite
05/12/20 10:27:12 PM
#307:


Final Fantasy XIV: A Realm Reborn 22.59%
Final Fantasy XV 19.76%

Congrats to FF14 for being the FF game of the decade.
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KamikazePotato
05/12/20 10:29:01 PM
#308:


LeonhartFour posted...
the fact that Sonic Mania avoids the quadrupling against BOTW is a massive victory for us imhotbqh
The chain of matches leading to Sonic Mania's xstat value is completely devoid of fanbase overlap too, so it's a more reliable number than most of this bracket will get!

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_SecretSquirrel
05/12/20 10:30:41 PM
#309:


LeonhartFour posted...
Super Mario Galaxy 2 32.04%
Mario Kart 8 28.49%
Super Mario Odyssey 28.41%

This is totally how these matches would go.

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LusterSoldier
05/12/20 11:00:49 PM
#310:


Mario Odyssey being behind Galaxy 2 in the x-stats is clearly because it was behind 2 layers of SFF. By the time any adjustments are made, I imagine Mario Odyssey ends up slightly ahead of Galaxy 2.
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#311
Post #311 was unavailable or deleted.
LeonhartFour
05/12/20 11:07:10 PM
#312:


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#313
Post #313 was unavailable or deleted.
lordjers
05/12/20 11:28:25 PM
#314:


The SFF is strong in these X-Stats.

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HaRRicH
05/12/20 11:40:11 PM
#315:


Link wields the Master SFF.

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Nintendogs
05/13/20 12:44:37 AM
#316:


snake_5036 posted...
It turns out when you finally stop recycling several year old tropes, players love getting something different!
Tell that to Paper Mario

Kotetsu534 posted...
I think a really good classic Zelda would have been huge and won the contest anyway (or maybe TW3 could win it 50.5-49.5) - BOTW being what it is just removed all doubt and took it to the next level. Skyward Sword was a bit of a whiff (out very late in Wii life cycle, motion controls, felt rather sparse and a little rough) so it'd basically been a decade since a really clean landing for a mainline Zelda.
Disliking a game doesn't mean you can pretend it doesn't exist. There were five Zelda games released between Twilight Princess and Breath of the Wild.
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swirIdude
05/13/20 12:49:26 AM
#317:


Nintendogs posted...
Tell that to Paper Mario

The something different has to be good, which is something that most Paper Mario games in the past 15 years have not achieved.

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Advokaiser picked Cloud in Guru and rained on my bracket.
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Nintendogs
05/13/20 1:03:18 AM
#318:


swirIdude posted...
The something different has to be good, which is something that most Paper Mario games in the past 15 years have not achieved.
Yeah. It means that players want something good before wanting something different.

BTW @Leonhart4 , what result is needed for INSIDE = Return of the Obra Dinn? These are our candidates for last place after all.
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LeonhartFour
05/13/20 1:07:01 AM
#319:


BOTW would need 64.53% for Return of the Obra Dinn to be last, so INSIDE has it locked up.
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Hbthebattle
05/13/20 1:09:38 AM
#320:


Team Rocket Elite posted...
Final Fantasy XIV: A Realm Reborn 22.59%
Final Fantasy XV 19.76%

Congrats to FF14 for being the FF game of the decade.

Bravely Default is higher than both, though...
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Patience.
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Nintendogs
05/13/20 1:14:27 AM
#321:


UltimaterializerX posted...
This is not the accurate number for Hearthstone, due to the Divinity rally. Please adjust to 0.00%. Thank you.
I cannot wait to see your rants against Hearthstone, Kingdom Hearts and Mario Kart when you write your contest analysis.
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Concon85334
05/13/20 1:37:18 AM
#322:


I have made it in the top 10 in 7th!

Go BOTW!

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SuperNiceDog
05/13/20 2:46:01 AM
#323:


vote totals are really high in this match, really high. Both sides are rallying hard.

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Azuarc is the 2020 Guru GOTD 2 Contest Champion!
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CaptainOfCrush
05/13/20 2:47:53 AM
#324:


Remember when Zelda vs Carmen Sandiego drew 120,000 votes =(

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_SecretSquirrel
05/13/20 3:17:00 AM
#325:


CaptainOfCrush posted...
Remember when Zelda vs Carmen Sandiego drew 120,000 votes =(
I was thinking about this the other day when I ended up on the Board 8 fandom, and I saw Joanna Dark vs. Cortana drawing 100K.

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Lightning Strikes
05/13/20 3:30:16 AM
#326:


Pre-contest people were talking smack about Borderlands 2 as a fraud and the weakest GotY winner. It has in fact kept most of its 2015 strength, and not counting P4G has only fallen behind Xenoblade for 2012 games.

Instead those titles go to FFXV. It is behind Doom, Uncharted 4, and Stardew Valley, and Pokmon Sun/Moon arent even in the contest. It could now be as low as fifth for 2016. It better be glad MW2 exists to stop it from being the weakest GotY winner ever!

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LamarJackson
05/13/20 3:42:37 AM
#327:


Wow, Witcher actually made a few cuts this hour.

Looks like an easy 40% for Witcher 3 even if Zelda does better during the day. Pretty good performance for it.

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chandlermbing
05/13/20 3:52:57 AM
#328:


I don't know that it cares, unless there is some cash in it. Witchers aren't used to winning popularity contests. Plus, it would probably be off with some hot sorceresses having fun.

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CaptainOfCrush
05/13/20 3:56:15 AM
#329:


Witcher's going to carve up this percentage over the next several hours. It's going to end up doing quite well for the bottom half of the bracket. They'll definitely be inflated in the stats, particularly when coupled with the Zelda-led SFF chain in the top half.

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GildedFool
05/13/20 3:59:03 AM
#330:


Diablo III 21.12%
Fire Emblem: Three Houses 21.02%

No.

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ninkendo
05/13/20 3:59:26 AM
#331:


What are the chances kotaku reporting on the persona 2 guide is bringing more eyes to the site right now

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Safer_777
05/13/20 4:05:33 AM
#332:


Woke up, checked the results.
Man USA REALLY doens't like Witcher. Witcher there is 39 and in UK it is 50!

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So why we exist? What happens when we stop existing?
Nice job Hylian Knight 3, you were better than me in the Guru Contest!
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shane15
05/13/20 4:38:47 AM
#333:


Safer_777 posted...
Woke up, checked the results.
Man USA REALLY doens't like Witcher. Witcher there is 39 and in UK it is 50!


What did you expect. America worships Nintendo.

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ctesjbuvf
05/13/20 4:45:34 AM
#334:


As I said yeseterday, favoring a game in every match until the finals does not mean they don't like it. It's been doing better in Europe in every match it has been in. It's just loved more in Europe.

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Sharinnegan
05/13/20 6:04:24 AM
#335:


Witcher 3 straight up won the last hour by 39 votes. its crazy how strong it is in these hours

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_SecretSquirrel
05/13/20 6:09:15 AM
#336:


Safer_777 posted...
Woke up, checked the results.
Man USA REALLY doens't like Witcher. Witcher there is 39 and in UK it is 50!
It's really the exact opposite. Europe LOVES Witcher 3. I don't think there's a single entity it would lose the dead zone to.

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WesternMedia
05/13/20 6:23:27 AM
#337:


shane15 posted...
What did you expect. America worships Nintendo.

UK is also probably the developed nation with the most history and animosity against Asians in general.
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LusterSoldier
05/13/20 6:24:36 AM
#338:


The registered user bonus is boosting BotW quite significantly here. If the results were based on just the raw votes, BotW would only have 56.01%. It's currently sitting at 57.00% once the registered user bonus is factored in.
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chandlermbing
05/13/20 6:27:34 AM
#339:


WesternMedia posted...
UK is also probably the developed nation with the most history and animosity against Asians in general.
Nope. We were just much more a Mega Drive/Commodore 64 country. As such we werent raised by our SNES or N64 and dont have nostalgia blinkers for everything 'ninty

Still loved BOTW of course, but because it is a great game, not cause I think Link is great 'character' or I am loyal to the Zelda series.

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handsomeboy2012
05/13/20 6:29:18 AM
#340:


Not liking Nintendo as much is animosity against Asians, right
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shane15
05/13/20 6:30:47 AM
#341:


Looks like i had Zelda winning this one with 64%. Even if i'd sat down and thought it though i'd have probably still only gone with 60% lowest.

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_SecretSquirrel
05/13/20 6:33:55 AM
#342:


I had Zelda > Persona 5 with 59 in second chance. To me, I just couldn't imagine BoTW running roughshod over anything that managed to get here, be it Skyrim, Dark Souls, Witcher 3, or Persona 5. The bracket was seemingly designed that the finalist would be on some level of bandwagon, particularly after the break was over, no matter which game it was.

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MithosLowell
05/13/20 6:34:28 AM
#343:


This puts to bed the who is the #2 for the bracket.

witcher would have made the final regardless of who was in its half outside of BOTW obviously. Smash would have been destroyed in europe by Witcher and i dont think its raw strength is even stronger than it.
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MithosLowell
05/13/20 6:36:03 AM
#344:


CaptainOfCrush posted...
Witcher's going to carve up this percentage over the next several hours. It's going to end up doing quite well for the bottom half of the bracket. They'll definitely be inflated in the stats, particularly when coupled with the Zelda-led SFF chain in the top half.

anything to make sure Persona 5 ends up Top 5.
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Dfy556
05/13/20 6:49:26 AM
#345:


ctesjbuvf posted...
Neither Zelda game in the contest have been in a contest here before. It would be weird to remove BotW based on assumptions imo, even if they're good assumptions.

Plus, with the contest title in mind, wouldn't we basically declare we already chose GotD if we removed one entry from GotD due to being too strong?
We already knew the outcome. Why bother with a contest when it isn't a contest
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shane15
05/13/20 6:50:47 AM
#346:


The bottom half of the bracket was always gonna be the main bracket because of what was in the top half.

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MithosLowell
05/13/20 6:53:48 AM
#347:


So the closest thing weve had to any CDprojecktRed staff taking notice of this contest is Hollie Bennet a uk marketing head for CDPR liking a tweet about the Final. Its not a retweet and its not going to have much of an effect but its some acknowledgement i guess. She has over 80k followers

https://twitter.com/HollieB
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MithosLowell
05/13/20 6:55:09 AM
#348:


Dfy556 posted...
We already knew the outcome. Why bother with a contest when it isn't a contest

because we get MM vs BOTW

also a GOTD2 makes sense. Doesnt matter if we know BOTW is gonna win. Let it prove itself. This is a games site and our tradition has been these contests.
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Lightning Strikes
05/13/20 7:04:48 AM
#349:


WesternMedia posted...
UK is also probably the developed nation with the most history and animosity against Asians in general.

WTF

...No? Not even remotely? What would even make somebody say that.

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davidponte
05/13/20 7:06:07 AM
#350:


Western media strikes again

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Stooge1969
05/13/20 7:19:56 AM
#351:


MithosLowell posted...
So the closest thing weve had to any CDprojecktRed staff taking notice of this contest is Hollie Bennet a uk marketing head for CDPR liking a tweet about the Final. Its not a retweet and its not going to have much of an effect but its some acknowledgement i guess. She has over 80k followers

https://twitter.com/HollieB
kinda tryhard.
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HaRRicH
05/13/20 8:05:45 AM
#352:


Witcher's jumped ~2.5% since I went to bed last night...pretty impressive.

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