Board 8 > Politics Containment Topic 468: South Carerdddd (The D stands for Dementia)

(+) Yeah! (+)

AuraChannelerCh posted...

What is this, the opening day trial of a Phoenix Wright game?

OBJECTION !

Not even Phoenix Wright would be that ridiculous.

Lairmore does sound close to the name of a character in that game series

Lmao that name is so on the nose it works perfectly

I have completely ignored Virginia today because I don't have a source I like for it (and, you know, it was over before it started at the top), but I was just texted this so I guess things are going well.

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/a/forum/5/53669fc8.jpg

Also whichever moron who runs this site decided to choose these colors deserves a smack.

I'm about to be on a flight for 14 hours so I'll enjoy not knowing about the election until it's over

foolm0r0n posted...

I'm about to be on a flight for 14 hours so I'll enjoy not knowing about the election until it's over

With how nationalized this has become, you're gonna find out unless it's a private flight.

Kentucky offices have been getting flooded with calls asking why they can't vote today lmao.

Any idea what Republican candidate realistically looks like a potential for 2028?

Surely not DeSantis.

What about democrats?

Corrik7 posted...

Any idea what Republican candidate realistically looks like a potential for 2028?

Surely not DeSantis.

Is Donald Trump not the front runner still?

And Newsom for sure will run but I think someone like Beshear would be a stronger choice for the Dems.

Forceful_Dragon posted...

Is Donald Trump not the front runner still?

And Newsom for sure will run but I think someone like Beshear would be a stronger choice for the Dems.

Donald Trump can't run again no matter how many jokes he makes on the topic.

Newsom isn't really considered a realistic option right? I feel like even dems hate him.

There's a lot of things "Donald Trump definitely would not be able to do despite joking about it" that have unfortunately come to pass.

I'll wait until 2029 to rule it out.

UshiromiyaEva posted...

With how nationalized this has become, you're gonna find out unless it's a private flight.

I mean it's 14 hours because I'm coming from Asia so I'd be surprised if people care

Do not underestimate the Westaboo.

Newsom is trying hard to be it. If no one else comes along, it can easily be him even though no one likes him (i.e. a lesser form of Clinton).

But if Zohran dominates then the party could very well decide that his strategy is strong enough for national victory, in which case AOC has a decent chance. Will depend on whether the billionaire wind starts to blow a different direction.

For Republicans there is no other option than Trump and JD. Absolutely no one in power believes Trump is joking about 2028. He is like Biden and will suck the air out of any other option over the next 4 years. I'm sure there have already been rounds of culling internally for those who fail the loyalty test for Trump 2028, it will only get worse. He will also likely survive until then, unless one of the assassination attempts actually works, in which case the only option is JD. He was picked as VP specifically to be the Trump surrogate. He likely made deals in blood with Vought and Thiel to ensure he has the position.

https://www.newsweek.com/greg-abbott-threatens-100-tariff-new-york-election-moving-texas-10986837

The stupidest timeline.

FFDragon posted...

imagine perjuring yourself over a footlong

My Grindr profile HEYOOOO

Expending any serious thought to 2028 possibilities when we're not even a year into this stupidity sure is a decision that one can make

Guess Meow didn't want to elaborate.

Corrik7 posted...

Donald Trump can't run again no matter how many jokes he makes on the topic.

"jokes"

foolm0r0n posted...

in which case AOC has a decent chance

would they choose another woman?

foolm0r0n posted...

if Zohran dominates then the party could very well decide that his strategy is strong enough for national victory

That's not happening. Unless Zohran puts up absolutely ridiculous results, the Dems will just write it off as liberal city weirdness that wouldn't generalize nationally. Like, he if gets two-thirds of the vote and SFFs Cuomo to third place, then the Dems might consider it.

GTM posted...

would they choose another woman?

Possibly. There's a lot of female leader energy floating around in all parties and internationally too. It's definitely safer to use a dude, but the primaries could make AOC the clear option.

AOC seems likable enough and the GOP has nobody other than Trump. Not a single other possible goober they could run has any semblance of anything

New Jersey Dems may have a higher election day turnout than New Jersey Republicans statewide.

They had around a 300,000 vote lead coming into election day.

Oh man both Dems are going to fucking slaughter the Reps for these two commissioner seats in Georgia. I can't believe Hank Green decided our election lmfao.

VA called for Spanberger 20 minutes after the polls close.

Still waiting on AG and LTG.

I do also have to reiterate that Kamala did extremely well for an incumbent party candidate, so her being a non-white woman is not immediately disqualifying. Hillary also got the popular vote so she really was close to winning. The VA election is between 2 women, and NJ is 1 woman who will likely win.

The conclusion is that you might get a marginal boost by running a white man, but it's not worth running a worse candidate. If a great white man candidate shows up, they would certainly run him though. We just don't see anyone like that. Maybe Pete 2.0 at best.

https://www.cnn.com/election/2025/results/virginia

It's funny that Spanberger only got 70% in Richmond. People really don't like her here at all. (Normally the city voted 85% D)

Every Republican state politician should be looking at these results and wondering, what if I ran as an anti-Trump Republican? That legitimately would have changed this entire election.

Only 11% of Richmond has been counted so I wouldn't assume much there yet.

Also unless I'm mistaken VA doesn't count a single early or mail vote until the polls have closed, so this is going to get even more lopsided.

Also funny to already see over twice as many writeins for AG than either Gov or LTG.

UshiromiyaEva posted...

Oh man both Dems are going to fucking slaughter the Reps for these two commissioner seats in Georgia. I can't believe Hank Green decided our election lmfao.

I already forgot about that video, but I'm glad Georgians did not

Was a bit surprised that turnout seemed kinda healthy at my polling place. It's not a big place or anything and no lines/waiting but being an off year election I was half-expecting to be like the only one there when I showed up in the afternoon but there was a pretty healthy stream of people coming while I was there.

Granted, nearly every race was uncontested and this place has shifted hard red since 2016 and none of the races/props are what I'd consider even kinda major so I expect disappointment nonetheless.

UshiromiyaEva posted...

Also unless I'm mistaken VA doesn't count a single early or mail vote until the polls have closed, so this is going to get even more lopsided.

Haven't heard about this but it's possible

I mean that's been the big hullabaloo since 2020 when all the "dumps" happened. I think Shapiro has tried to fix it since then but could never push it through.

Just refreshed and Jones fucking leaped ahead.

Some chuds are going to be VERY, VERY upset if he wins this!

Both GA seats called for Dems baybeeeeeee

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/a/forum/a/a0cc338a.jpg

UshiromiyaEva posted...

Do not underestimate the Westaboo.

I am in the lounge and they have the Mamdani and Spanberger live streams on the TV welp

NJ about to drop.

NJ DOES count their mail and early vote prior to election day, which would normally mean to not put too much stake into the initial results.

...But, again, Dems might have won election day turnout in NJ also, so....

Spanberger projected to win Virginia race by NBC. Now to hope not too many people split their ticket.

EDIT: Oh I only just got here and didn't realize it was called earlier by other groups lol

foolm0r0n posted...

Newsom is trying hard to be it. If no one else comes along, it can easily be him even though no one likes him (i.e. a lesser form of Clinton).

But if Zohran dominates then the party could very well decide that his strategy is strong enough for national victory, in which case AOC has a decent chance. Will depend on whether the billionaire wind starts to blow a different direction.

For Republicans there is no other option than Trump and JD. Absolutely no one in power believes Trump is joking about 2028. He is like Biden and will suck the air out of any other option over the next 4 years. I'm sure there have already been rounds of culling internally for those who fail the loyalty test for Trump 2028, it will only get worse. He will also likely survive until then, unless one of the assassination attempts actually works, in which case the only option is JD. He was picked as VP specifically to be the Trump surrogate. He likely made deals in blood with Vought and Thiel to ensure he has the position.

I think Vance plays the game with Trump.

Corrik7 posted...

I think Vance plays the game with Trump.

How does he win though?

Esuriat posted...

Spanberger projected to win Virginia race by NBC. Now to hope not too many people split their ticket.

EDIT: Oh I only just got here and didn't realize it was called earlier by other groups lol

NYT (did they retire our lord and savior NEEDLE?) thinks Jones has more outstanding votes and is currently projecting him to end with 53%. Early, of course, but Spanberger seems to be winning in an absolute blowout so it looks like she'll carry him across the finish line.

Also seeing some early results showing Jones is outperforming Kamala in some counties.

Thorn posted...

Also seeing some early results showing Jones is outperforming Kamala in some counties.

If Spanberger is underperforming in them at the same time by comparison, then the mystery is solved as to why lol.

UshiromiyaEva posted...

If Spanberger is underperforming in them at the same time by comparison, then the mystery is solved as to why lol.

no she's clearing them both and apparently putting up 2018 tim kaine numbers (He ended at +16)

Well the woman card is out then! I guess they just like Jones' smile.

Mikie coming out swinging with 24 points above Jack with 17% reporting.

That's only a handful of counties, though.

Uhhh well I guess it was enough though because they just called it for Sherill lol.

I saw that checkmark appear literally in front of my eyes and stared in confusion for like 10 seconds.

Lakewood's wild man

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/a/forum/e/e230cb3c.jpg

UshiromiyaEva posted...

Uhhh well I guess it was enough though because they just called it for Sherill lol.

I saw that checkmark appear literally in front of my eyes and stared in confusion for like 10 seconds.

Being close enough to NYC that I've been getting inundated with Cuomo ads, anti-Mamdani ads, and the NJ ads and they were going hard on Sherill. It's always tough to tell how distorted a picture I'm getting since I'm not actually in the area but I guess close enough to get the ads for some of these buys but it seemed almost one-sided to a point where it felt like the GOP was making a very big push.

idk maybe Sherill's ad buys were better targetted and didn't end up here

It was always assumed to be a Dem win, but pollsters there have been insisting it was neck and neck, and even I fell for it in the end.

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/a/forum/1/15483cc5.jpg

Unless something happens, Jones looks to be running away with it. Up to a 40k advantage with 60% reporting in, up from around 9k most of the time and even being under at one point.

....Sherill might end up winning by, like 8 or higher, too. Something up with NJ polling methodology.

IShall_Run_Amok posted...

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/a/forum/1/15483cc5.jpg

Saw this earlier. The sorry really gets me.

What's even funnier is he made a joke prior about "your welcome Kentucky" for today not being election day, before they realized this seemed to be an *actual* problem lmfao.