Board 8 > NCAA Games II: Week 16 Results and Discussion Topic

Topic List
Page List: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
LeonhartFour
08/30/11 9:00:00 PM
#1:


NCAA Games II week by week schedules (including past results):

https://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?key=0AvxHjoIdpiozdEtadTB0dEhmX3JxZkZfdzdhTHF6WGc&hl=en#gid=0

NCAA Games II Conference Breakdowns (including a quicker, faster look at individual games' opponents, wins, and losses):

https://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?key=0AvxHjoIdpiozdDhfenhraVlvNlk3VkUzb0tFalMtYUE&hl=en#gid=0

This week's top 25:

1. Chrono Trigger (1)
2. Resident Evil 4 (2)
3. Pokemon Red/Blue/Yellow (5)
4. Super Mario Bros. 3 (4)
5. Super Mario 64 (3)
6. Super Mario World (6)
7. Super Smash Bros. Melee (7)
8. The Legend of Zelda: A Link to the Past (9)
9. Super Mario Galaxy (8)
10. Super Mario Galaxy 2 (12)
11. Metal Gear Solid (11)
12. The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time (14)
13. Final Fantasy VII (20)
14. Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney (15)
15. Final Fantasy VI (19)
16. Final Fantasy X (10)
17. Final Fantasy IX (13)
18. Paper Mario (18)
19. The Legend of Zelda: Majora's Mask (17)
20. Portal (24)
21. Metal Gear Solid 3: Snake Eater (16)
22. Tales of Symphonia (NR)
23. Castlevania: Symphony of the Night (NR)
24. Star Fox 64 (NR)
25. Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney: Trials & Tribulations (NR)

Dropped out: Super Mario World 2: Yoshi's Island (21), Super Metroid (22), Batman: Arkham Asylum (23), Half-Life 2 (25)

Also receiving votes:

32 - Half-Life 2
31 - Donkey Kong Country 2: Diddy's Kong Quest
30 - Metroid Prime
30 - Super Smash Bros. Brawl
24 - Super Mario World 2: Yoshi's Island
22 - Mario Kart 64
11 - Batman: Arkham Asylum
10 - Okami
3 - Super Metroid

As one might expect, Rivalry Week causes some shakeups in the Top 25. Mario games now comprise over half of the top 10, the FF games are all bunched together, and the bottom 4 games of the Top 25 are all new, tied for the most new games in the rankings all season. There were also 4 games within 5 points of T&T for that 25th spot, so it was a very tight race!

No matches tonight. We'll restart tomorrow.

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LeonhartFour
08/30/11 9:07:00 PM
#2:


Total points:

475 - Chrono Trigger
448 - Resident Evil 4
409 - Pokemon Red/Blue/Yellow
409 - Super Mario Bros. 3
393 - Super Mario 64
382 - Super Mario World
368 - Super Smash Bros. Melee
324 - The Legend of Zelda: A Link to the Past
321 - Super Mario Galaxy
286 - Super Mario Galaxy 2
285 - Metal Gear Solid
234 - The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time
225 - Final Fantasy VII
203 - Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney
193 - Final Fantasy VI
179 - Final Fantasy X
170 - Final Fantasy IX
151 - Paper Mario
140 - The Legend of Zelda: Majora's Mask
101 - Portal
86 - Metal Gear Solid 3: Snake Eater
72 - Tales of Symphonia
57 - Castlevania: Symphony of the Night
36 - Star Fox 64
35 - Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney: Trials & Tribulations
32 - Half-Life 2
31 - Donkey Kong Country 2: Diddy's Kong Quest
30 - Metroid Prime
30 - Super Smash Bros. Brawl
24 - Super Mario World 2: Yoshi's Island
22 - Mario Kart 64
11 - Batman: Arkham Asylum
10 - Okami
3 - Super Metroid

CT is finally a unanimous #1. The top 20 games or so were fairly consensus on most people's ballots. It was those last five spots that saw so much variety.

Also worth noting is that 24 of SF64's 36 points came from just two ballots.

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swirIdude
08/30/11 9:48:00 PM
#3:


Also worth noting is that 24 of SF64's 36 points came from just two ballots.

Two criminally insane ballots. One of which also tried to get Half-Life 2 ranked again.

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LeonhartFour
08/30/11 9:49:00 PM
#4:


Nearly half of HL2's points came from one ballot as well.

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vcharon
08/30/11 10:06:00 PM
#5:


Sadly people forgot TT just jobbed out to TWEWY apparently; what a difference a week makes.

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LeonhartFour
08/30/11 10:18:00 PM
#6:


Well, there's the fact that TWEWY keeps looking better and better with each passing week, and T&T did get a quality win against Batman.

Plus, the bottom 3-4 spots were wide open anyway. You could argue some of the games that narrowly missed deserved it more, but it's fairly close.

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SuorGenoveffa
08/30/11 10:19:00 PM
#7:


vcharon posted...
Sadly people forgot TT just jobbed out to TWEWY apparently; what a difference a week makes.

I'm personally much more perplexed at how SF64 got a ranked spot because two people ranked it 12th. I understand ballots are personal and all, but really... that's stretching it quite a bit.
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LeonhartFour
08/30/11 10:21:00 PM
#8:


Well, for what it's worth, 35 points is the fewest points a game has needed to make the top 25 since the early weeks of the contest when not nearly as many people were voting.

It was just a war of attrition at the bottom.

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LinkMarioSamus
08/30/11 10:24:00 PM
#9:


How times change for Super Metroid. Nuts.

But oh well it has not lost to anything that I don't see becoming an all-time favorite of mine yet (or, in LttP's case, is an all-time favorite of mine) so whatever. Losing to MK64 would be a good deal worse, but I'm still okay with it.

Samus wants payback though, and she's going to shoot down Mario and his friends this week while they're racing for joy. Just you wait and see.

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Janus5000
08/30/11 10:26:00 PM
#10:


I'm pretty sure SF64 gets embarrassed every time it ends up on the top 25 anyway. Watch it get doubled by FFX.

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LeonhartFour
08/30/11 10:28:00 PM
#11:


From: Janus5000 | #010
I'm pretty sure SF64 gets embarrassed every time it ends up on the top 25 anyway. Watch it get doubled by FFX.


We can only hope.

But SF64 is 1-1 when it's ranked. Kinda surprised this is only its third week in the Top 25.

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th3l3fty
08/30/11 10:57:00 PM
#12:


it's too bad there are so few top 25 voters

it'd be be a lot easier to just toss a few ballots if there were a more reasonable number!

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KCF0107
08/31/11 4:36:00 AM
#13:


Guys, I have been putting Half-Life 2 and Star Fox 64 in the Top 15 for like 4-5 weeks now. It should honestly not come as any surprise after all this time

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swirIdude
08/31/11 6:59:00 AM
#14:


Now that Tsunami has corrected his errors, the bad ballot police are after you!

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muddersmilk
08/31/11 7:11:00 AM
#15:


409 - Pokemon Red/Blue/Yellow
409 - Super Mario Bros. 3


dang, we actually got a tie for #3.

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Haste_2
08/31/11 8:04:00 AM
#16:


Yay for SOTN! We now officially have a five-loss game in the Top 25.

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TsunamiXXVIII
08/31/11 10:05:00 AM
#17:


LeonhartFour posted...
Nearly half of HL2's points came from one ballot as well.

Yeah, that last question did sort of invalidate that question I had that I didn't think I should ask until it was over, and that was "what's the fewest average points per ballot for a game that was listed on at least half the ballots?" Through 18 votes, HL2 was listed on 9 people's ballots--exactly half--but 6 of those 9 were 25th-place votes, which I found to be absolutely hilarious.

We can only hope.

But SF64 is 1-1 when it's ranked. Kinda surprised this is only its third week in the Top 25.


Not too surprising to me, actually. SF64 was getting close early on, but then it lost to SoulCalibur II and there might have even been one week where it didn't get any votes (I don't think so; most of the time it was on my ballot, albeit fairly low for awhile, and I think one of the weeks that I took it off, someone else put it at #25). Then it started to build momentum once its early opponents started looking legitimately good (TWEWY, FFVIII, SCII) and it had the OT loss to RBY (I'm not entirely sure, but I think there had still been other people besides me voting RBY #1 before it needed OT to beat SF64), and after the win against then-undefeated Paper Mario, that was the catalyst.

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TsunamiXXVIII
08/31/11 10:47:00 AM
#18:


LeonhartFour posted...
Well, there's the fact that TWEWY keeps looking better and better with each passing week, and T&T did get a quality win against Batman.

Plus, the bottom 3-4 spots were wide open anyway. You could argue some of the games that narrowly missed deserved it more, but it's fairly close.


Yeah, you could make a case for just about any of them.

Half-Life 2...well, it has a 13-2 record and is on a 10-game winning streak, but it doesn't really have much in the way of quality wins, and it just put up a very lackluster win against a GTA game.

DKC2 has the quality wins, and its three losses are all to ranked games, so...yeah, looks like a decent case. Granted, none of its wins are against currently ranked games, but SMW2 was ranked just last week! MM2 has been ranked recently, too. So they're not exactly bad.

Metroid Prime...Metroid Prime is kind of like FFVII was up until last week, but with less inherent strength (by which I mean that FFVII had a fairly high preseason ranking while Prime started the season unranked). 13-2 record is nice, losses to SMB3 and Wind Waker are...wait, Wind Waker? FFVII's two losses were to SMB3 and Ocarina of Time! Okay, so it doesn't even have the strength of losses. As for wins, well, its best win from a quality of opponent standpoint is Rivalry Week 1 against Half-Life 2. Beyond that...well, take your pick. Well, no, I'll give you Uncharted 2, which is 10-5 (I didn't even realize that it had 10 wins...even though its level of competition is not great, 10-5 is not too shabby at all.) But it's not a spectacular schedule for MP.

Brawl...also 13-2, pretty good losses, has some wins over decent games like Wind Waker and Twilight Princess. No wins over ranked games, but certainly decent.

SMW2...it got crushed last week, but that's rivalry week and there's obvious SFF. It also lost to DKC2 in a rivalry week, and it had the close loss to FFX. Good wins...Majora's Mask stands out, but there are some other pretty decent ones. And technically, it has two wins against ranked opponents, although that was kind of luck of the scheduling (FE7 had just become ranked when SMW2 faced it, and it hasn't been ranked since). But that blowout loss hurts.

You could make a case for any of them.

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LeonhartFour
08/31/11 10:48:00 AM
#19:


From: KCF0107 | #013
Guys, I have been putting Half-Life 2 and Star Fox 64 in the Top 15 for like 4-5 weeks now. It should honestly not come as any surprise after all this time


Doesn't mean it's not a horrible decision.

Because it is.

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TsunamiXXVIII
08/31/11 1:14:00 PM
#20:


It's kind of a shame that SF64 is facing such a strong opponent this week, though; it'd be so cool if it were still ranked when its remake came out, and that would be during Week 17.

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KCF0107
08/31/11 3:08:00 PM
#21:


LeonhartFour posted...
Doesn't mean it's not a horrible decision.

And I don't mind if you or others feel that way but there's no need for people to berate me on a weekly basis for something that just amounts to a difference in opinion. I have never made a condescending remark on someone's ballot, well I don't look at other ballots anyway but that's besides the point!

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LeonhartFour
08/31/11 3:10:00 PM
#22:


Well, if you're going to make a very, very unorthodox opinion, then you're going to get called out because this is more than just "I like this game better." You're voting for "I think this game is better in this contest than that game."

And nobody agrees HL2 is a borderline top 10 game, and there's really zero reason to think it is.

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KCF0107
08/31/11 3:21:00 PM
#23:


Oh, if I was doing a ballot on "which games I like better" then my Top 10 would look something like this:

1. Super Mario World
2. Legend of Zelda: A Link to the Past
3. MVP Baseball 2005
4. GTA: San Andreas
5. Dragon Quest VIII
6. Call of Duty 4: Modern Warfare
7. God of War II
8. Assassin's Creed II
9. Killer7
10. Crash Team Racing

Chrono Trigger, Symphony of the Night, FFVII, and FFX would never appear on my ballot if I used bias.

People just have different ways of thinking and seeing things. I just don't understand why a select few users haven't come to terms with that. They don't have to like what they see from others, but they don't have to open their mouth to every little thing that they don't agree with

Edit: originally said "Top 25" instead of "Top 10"

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KCF0107
08/31/11 3:22:00 PM
#24:


Of course, I know that my ballot would be disqualified if I would submit something like that, but I think you know what I am getting at

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LeonhartFour
08/31/11 3:22:00 PM
#25:


From: KCF0107 | #023
People just have different ways of thinking and seeing things. I just don't understand why a select few users haven't come to terms with that. They don't have to like what they see from others, but they don't have to open their mouth to every little thing that they don't agree with


It's not about not liking it.

It's about flat out not understanding it because it doesn't make sense.

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KCF0107
08/31/11 3:26:00 PM
#26:


Going along the lines with what I was just talking, you may not understand what you see, but the person who created that, is this case the ballot, more often than not has a great understanding of what they presented

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LeonhartFour
08/31/11 3:28:00 PM
#27:


From: KCF0107 | #026
Going along the lines with what I was just talking, you may not understand what you see, but the person who created that, is this case the ballot, more often than not has a great understanding of what they presented


Perhaps you're not getting what I'm hinting at, so I'll just outright say it.

Explain your reasoning for Half-Life 2.

And I hope it's more than "Well it's 13-2."

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pjbasis
08/31/11 3:29:00 PM
#28:


This contest is still going on?




.....jeez
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swirIdude
08/31/11 3:36:00 PM
#29:


Explain your reasoning for Half-Life 2.

And I hope it's more than "Well it's 13-2."


Remember who you're talking to!

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KCF0107
08/31/11 4:05:00 PM
#30:


LeonhartFour posted...
Explain your reasoning for Half-Life 2.

Well, that's hard to say, not just for this game but for any other game that I have or have not tanked. I do not use some custom-made, complex equation to determine who gets ranked and in what spot. I do not have a 30-step process to determine who gets ranked and in what spot. I do not look at previous polls. I do not save my ballots or record them so I do not look at what I did in the past. I simply use the docs and you provide and my head to determine my ballots.

I spend upwards of 30-35 minutes to complete my ballot. I take every game and start eliminating them by those that I am certain or not worthy of a Top 25 placement and the rest are separated into "fringe" and "qualified" candidates and if there are 25 or more in the latter department, then the ones that I wasn't so sure about are automatically gone. Then I give everything in the doc another look through to determine who makes the final cut and their final placement. So how do I decide everything? Record, schedule, and victory/loss margins all play major roles in it, but what ultimately happens is that I ask myself, "Does this look right? Do I feel comfortable placing this game in front of that one?" That's why I am almost fully satisfied with my ballot when I post it. There were two weeks when I forgot a major game that I would have put in my Top 10, but I found out my error before it was too late on both occasions.

So I know that I haven't answered your question the way that you would like and that this will likely not satisfy you much at all, but this is honestly how I operate when it comes to forming my ballot for the week. I know that this may be perceived as unorthodox but I willing to explain how I come up with the ballot and I think that there's nothing for me to be "ashamed" of in the least bit.

I can assure you that I do not use bias, I hope everyone has now realized that the MVP Baseball stuff is just me being silly trying to promote the game, because that would be a complete waste of time as the ballots amount to nothing for the most part as it's the results that matter.

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Maniac64
08/31/11 4:07:00 PM
#31:


pjbasis posted...
This contest is still going on?




.....jeez


This contest is like half over. It's a full season not just a tourney.

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LeonhartFour
08/31/11 4:08:00 PM
#32:


From: KCF0107 | #030
So how do I decide everything? Record, schedule, and victory/loss margins all play major roles in it


Then Half-Life 2 should be fringe top 25 if this is what you use to determine your ballot because Half-Life 2 is only strong in one area.

And certainly not stronger than some of the games you have it ranked higher than.

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KCF0107
08/31/11 4:11:00 PM
#33:


swirIdude posted...
Remember who you're talking to!

Do you still think that I go solely by records? If someone has saved my ballots for some reason, that will easily prove that belief to be far from the truth

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LinkMarioSamus
08/31/11 4:15:00 PM
#34:


Now watch Half-Life 2 lose to Shadow of the Colossus.

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swirIdude
08/31/11 4:17:00 PM
#35:


Half-Life 2 will lose to Umineko.

You gotta go all the way!

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TsunamiXXVIII
08/31/11 5:21:00 PM
#36:


Damn, that is some crazy update. MGS barely ahead and PW1 losing? Although MMX performing well against MGS is fine by me; it makes SF64 look that much better.

(And no, this is not "talking about results prematurely", this is talking about the update.) In fact...

SPOILERS

...only one of those two statements is even true any more. I won't say which one, even with my spoiler tag, but one of those is no longer true.

END SPOILERS

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TsunamiXXVIII
08/31/11 5:26:00 PM
#37:


th3l3fty posted...
it's too bad there are so few top 25 voters

it'd be be a lot easier to just toss a few ballots if there were a more reasonable number!


Yeah, well, I guess a lot of people feel it's not worth the effort and/or risk of ridicule. I've noticed that for all of the things he says in the discussion topics to earn ridicule, LMS hasn't submitted a Top 25 ballot for the past four or five weeks.

I, on the other hand, don't mind expressing controversial opinions on the internet. Hell, due to how shy I am IRL, I practically thrive on sparking heated internet discussions!

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swirIdude
08/31/11 6:47:00 PM
#38:


Sometimes the Top 25 discussions can get too heated, I agree. Fighting for opinions is an American tradition!

But I still want to hear the logic behind HL2 and SF64 being rated so high!

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LinkMarioSamus
08/31/11 7:27:00 PM
#39:


Bold prediction:

By the end of week 18, Super Metroid will be 14-4, and Half-Life 2 will be 13-5.

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LeonhartFour
08/31/11 7:33:00 PM
#40:


Oh, for all you Melee > Brawl supporters, did Brawl winning yet another Board 8 Melee vs. Brawl poll get you nervous again, hmm?

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LeonhartFour
08/31/11 7:36:00 PM
#41:


Oh, and the Week 19 schedule is now online! Conference play will be upon us soon, so brace yourselves!

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LinkMarioSamus
08/31/11 7:38:00 PM
#42:


LeonhartFour posted...
Oh, for all you Melee > Brawl supporters, did Brawl winning yet another Board 8 Melee vs. Brawl poll get you nervous again, hmm?

LOL rSFF.

Besides, I'd sooner imagine Melee winning just because "Brawl won the other poll!". Then again, Melee seems like it will remain a two-loss game going into conference play while Brawl...will likely suffer at least one more loss.

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TsunamiXXVIII
09/01/11 10:21:00 AM
#43:


Wow. I'm really surprised. I figured that when I checked back this morning and no one had said anything, I was probably fine.

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LeonhartFour
09/01/11 10:27:00 AM
#44:


It would probably be best if you just erred on the side of caution and didn't try to find ways to "cheat" the system.

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charmander6000
09/01/11 10:37:00 AM
#45:


Oh, for all you Melee > Brawl supporters, did Brawl winning yet another Board 8 Melee vs. Brawl poll get you nervous again, hmm?

I think it's been pretty clear that if you poll the entire board Brawl is going to edge out Melee, at least based on all of the Brawl vs. Melee polls. Of course Melee winning is still possible here, you just need the right combination of people voting.

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LeonhartFour
09/01/11 1:09:00 PM
#46:


Yesterday's results:

Assassin's Creed II (Patriot Time Portals Conference) (10-6) – 19 (46.34%)
Valkyria Chronicles (Brawl for Broke Conference) (11-5) – 22 (53.66%)
--Valkyria Chronicles wins a match between two games heading in different directions in terms of their records.

Kirby 64: The Crystal Shards (Nintendo Objections Conference) (6-10) – 19 (44.19%)
The Legend of Zelda: Link's Awakening (Zelda Overload Conference) (10-6) – 24 (55.81%)
--Kirby 64 put up a good fight, but Link's Awakening managed to keep it at bay.

The Legend of Zelda: Twilight Princess (Twilight Barrel Galaxy Conference) (11-5) – 32 (71.11%)
Halo 2 (Metroid Eater Conference) (3-13) – 13 (28.89%)
--A Halo game is usually good for what ails you if you've been struggling.

SoulCalibur II (Games of the Decades Conference) (11-5) – 18 (40.91%)
#14 Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney (Nintendo Objections Conference) (14-2) – 26 (59.09%)
--SC2 hung in there for a while, but PW1 eventually pulled away for the win.

Civilization IV (Sonic Overload Conference) (10-6) – 17 (41.46%)
Dragon Quest V: Hand of the Heavenly Bride (Cult RPG Galaxy Conference) (8-8) – 24 (58.54%)
--Dragon Quest V gets up to .500 with an easy win over Civ 4.

#11 Metal Gear Solid (Zelda Overload Conference) (15-1) – 25 (56.82%)
Mega Man X (Fanservice Conference) (11-5) – 19 (43.18%)
--MMX actually had a 1 vote lead late in the match, but MGS1 went on an 8-0 run to finish the match and seal the win.

Metal Gear Solid 2: Sons of Liberty (Games of the Decades Conference) (10-6) – 31 (77.50%)
Dark Cloud 2 (Smash Trigger Conference) (5-11) – 9 (22.50%)
--MGS2 has no problems taking care of business against Dark Cloud 2.

Super Mario RPG: Legend of the Seven Stars (Smackdown Hotel Conference) (12-4) – 34 (77.27%)
Shining Force II (Games of the Decades Conference) (5-11) – 10 (22.73%)
--Mario RPG blows Shining Force II out of the water.

Max Payne (Games of the Decades Conference) (2-14) – 14 (37.84%)
Jet Force Gemini (Smash Trigger Conference) (6-10) – 23 (62.16%)
--JFG puts a hurting on Max Payne.

Super Smash Bros. Brawl (Brawl for Broke Conference) (14-2) – 31 (65.96%)
WWF No Mercy (Smackdown Hotel Conference) (4-12) – 16 (34.04%)
--Solid Snake lays the smack down on No Mercy.

Lunar: Silver Star Story (Tanooki Blitzball Conference) (9-7) – 19 (46.34%)
Grand Theft Auto: San Andreas (Twilight Barrel Galaxy Conference) (7-9) – 22 (53.66%)
--San Andreas goes on a late run to overtake Lunar and get the win.

Mother 3 (Sonic Overload Conference) (9-7) – 22 (52.38%)
Worms: Armageddon (Patriot Time Portals Conference) (5-11) – 20 (47.62%)
--Worms got off to a hot start, but Mother 3 slowly but surely came back and got the win.

Mega Man 3 (Patriot Time Portals Conference) (7-9) – 18 (39.13%)
Sonic Adventure 2 (Sonic Overload Conference) (14-2) – 28 (60.87%)
--SA2 takes out a Mario game and a Mega Man game in back to back weeks! Top 25 on the horizon...?

Guitar Hero II (Sonic Overload Conference) (1-15) – 10 (21.28%)
#9 Super Mario Galaxy (Twilight Barrel Galaxy Conference) (14-2) – 37 (78.72%)
--Galaxy scores the blowout of the day against Guitar Hero II.

--
Support Squirtle (Pokemon R/B/Y) for Character Battle IX!
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swirIdude
09/01/11 1:45:00 PM
#47:


SA2 takes out a Mario game and a Mega Man game in back to back weeks! Top 25 on the horizon...?

Augh, two more wins against under .500 opponents doesn't mean more just because of the franchise!

--
If you are reading this signature, then you are wasting a great deal of your time.
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LeonhartFour
09/01/11 2:00:00 PM
#48:


They were convincing wins!

--
Support Morrigan Aensland (Darkstalkers) for Character Battle IX!
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LinkMarioSamus
09/01/11 4:22:00 PM
#49:


LOL Brawl failing to double No Mercy.

LOL Galaxy failing to quadruple Guitar Hero II.

LOL Wii, Melee is going to 60-40 Brawl!

--
Currently Playing - StarCraft: Brood War
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LeonhartFour
09/01/11 4:23:00 PM
#50:


Stop LOLing at stupid things that aren't even bad.

My word.

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