Board 8 > Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1299

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OverlordHorizon
11/09/18 1:26:45 AM
#351:


Geralt vs Simon: best battle so far in this contest. I love that it's close. Love both characters but I still picked Geralt.
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KamikazePotato
11/09/18 1:32:08 AM
#352:


Archer would do a lot better now than he did in 2013. Fate's popularity has grown significantly since then. Saber is probably the best overall pick for a representative, though.
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FSABot
11/09/18 1:40:53 AM
#353:


Yeah if you have one Fate rep it's gotta be Saber. She's in pretty much every Fate related thing as the mascot. Archer was kinda a meme on this board which is why he got in over Saber in the first place.
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MoogleKupo141
11/09/18 2:09:49 AM
#354:


so who do we think is the stronger pair today? Can Geralt beat Bayonetta next round?
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MoogleKupo141
11/09/18 2:13:08 AM
#355:


VeryInsane posted...
Most interesting characters per franchise that havent shown up (ones with most potential strength)

Mario: Piranha Plant
Mega Man: Rush
Zelda: Skull Kid
Final Fantasy: Yuffie
Street Fighter: Cammy
Mortal Kombat: Cage or Reptile I guess

The wells pretty dry but those are some good avenues to look at if you want some cool characters


Mario should be King Boo maybe
Zelda could be Impa because she's sort of relevant to OoT
Mega Man: we've had normal and X... how about .EXE?
Final Fantasy: I'd be interested in Bahamut still.
I think you're right on for SF / MK
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_SecretSquirrel
11/09/18 2:22:37 AM
#356:


MoogleKupo141 posted...
so who do we think is the stronger pair today? Can Geralt beat Bayonetta next round?

I think any existing stats go straight out the window today. Nobody in this eightpack we have numbers on is acting like their previous stats.

However, the one thing discussed previously that has me leanings towards Bayo is that these universally known mascot characters like DK, Crash, Spyro, and Pac-Man have been doing really well, so Bayo getting by Pac-Man might be the more impressive of the two showings today.
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Lopen
11/09/18 2:25:57 AM
#357:


Pac-Man's going to be Bayonetta's strongest opponent till Auron decks her book it.
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LeonhartFour
11/09/18 2:36:45 AM
#358:


Yeah, I still like Bayo next round, but who really knows. The upper half of this division was always up in the air and nothing we've seen has provided any clarity about it.
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LeonhartFour
11/09/18 2:42:09 AM
#359:


Geralt finally gets the lead over 200. Could be Europe at work. I think if Simon can keep this relatively close until morning, he's got a shot.
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Logience
11/09/18 2:44:07 AM
#360:


Hey, why isnt Corsica on the voter map of France?
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FSABot
11/09/18 2:52:37 AM
#361:


LeonhartFour posted...
I think if Simon can keep this relatively close until morning, he's got a shot.


Why are people expecting a Castlevania character of all things to have a good morning/day vote? Geralt easily beat a Nintendo character during that time period last round. If Simon wants any chance he has to get a couple hundred vote lead by morning.
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LeonhartFour
11/09/18 2:57:39 AM
#362:


It's not so much Castlevania having a good day vote (although Alucard did much better during the day than at night against Yuna and held his own against Peach). It's just that Geralt is going to do his best work while Europe is the predominant voting population, so Simon will be relatively better once America wakes back up.

although looking back at the trend charts Geralt really took off right about now and never let up until the end of the match against Rosalina and Hayabusa outgained Simon outright from 6 A.M. on so the odds aren't in his favor either way
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FSABot
11/09/18 3:04:04 AM
#363:


Western AAA characters almost always do their best work during the day. Kratos gained 1% from 6 AM to the end in his match against Pikachu. Drake gained almost 1%. Same with Ezio, Shepard, Joel, Ellie and Dragonborn. If these guys are anywhere close going into the day they're gonna win their match.
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FSABot
11/09/18 3:26:25 AM
#364:


And theres .20% gained in 2 updates for Geralt, including a 75% update in one of them.

He'll probably end up around what Bayonetta gets on Pac-Man... so it ends up being who do you think would win between Pac-Man and Simon?
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ZeldaTPLink
11/09/18 5:20:24 AM
#365:


Geralt is the strongest in Europe and the weakest in America, so this period we had now should be his strongest one.

He was stalling Simon when the match started though, so I don't really see Simon cutting this back.
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FSABot
11/09/18 5:23:15 AM
#366:


ZeldaTPLink posted...
Geralt is the strongest in Europe and the weakest in America, so this period we had now should be his strongest one.


I mean, people say that. He had 3% less in US compared to his overall percentage to Rosalina yet gained 1.5% on her from the morning vote to the end. He just starts off so badly in the early vote that he just gains it back the rest of the match, like any other Western AAA character. So while yeah it looks like a 50-50 match in the first couple hours, but it really isn't a 50-50 match once you get out of those early hours.
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Big Bob
11/09/18 7:14:03 AM
#367:


Geralt for Smash DLC
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MarioSuperstar
11/09/18 7:27:33 AM
#368:


Can someone explain to me wtf happened to Riku OR Pac-Man?
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Samurai7
11/09/18 7:40:36 AM
#369:


The two biggest boosts this contest seem to be Smash and Iconic characters from 20+ years ago. Pac-Man gets both of these.
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LeonhartFour
11/09/18 9:51:43 AM
#370:


The only year Riku was strong was the year KH2 came out. He's always kinda sucked other than that.
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Wreath
11/09/18 9:54:54 AM
#371:


LeonhartFour posted...
The only year Riku was strong was the year KH2 came out. He's always kinda sucked other than that.


Bayo vs Riku battle of the subpar females
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LeonhartFour
11/09/18 9:56:18 AM
#372:


unfortunately for Riku only one of them was subpar and only one of them was female
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Wreath
11/09/18 9:57:52 AM
#373:


LeonhartFour posted...
unfortunately for Riku only one of them was subpar and only one of them was female


Yet Riku managed to be both
Interesting take Leon
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LeonhartFour
11/09/18 9:59:20 AM
#374:


the real interesting take is someone is still making the "bishonen boy is a girl hehehehe" joke in 2018
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swirIdude
11/09/18 9:59:37 AM
#375:


The iconic boost is probably just Pac-Man Apathy Factor due to being forced to vote in all 4 matches. It would be interesting to see how the icons would do without that requirement.
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HaRRicH
11/09/18 10:00:01 AM
#376:


VeryInsane posted...
Most interesting characters per franchise that havent shown up (ones with most potential strength)

Zelda: Skull Kid


Oh, how quick we are to forget the Great Deku Tree.
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LeonhartFour
11/09/18 10:00:28 AM
#377:


HaRRicH posted...
Oh, how quick we are to forget the Great Deku Tree.


and rightfully so
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VeryInsane
11/09/18 10:02:49 AM
#378:


So long as Skull kid keeps Majoras Mask in every picture hes gonna be a solid character
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Wreath
11/09/18 10:04:00 AM
#379:


LeonhartFour posted...
the real interesting take is someone is still making the "bishonen boy is a girl hehehehe" joke in 2018


https://m.imgur.com/gallery/2gO3XUH
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LeonhartFour
11/09/18 10:05:09 AM
#380:


bad jokes are always a good reason to get mad at someone

don't disrespect a sacred craft
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The Owner of FF9
11/09/18 10:29:33 AM
#381:


LeonhartFour posted...
The only year Riku was strong was the year KH2 came out. He's always kinda sucked other than that.

And he was barely in that game!
And most of that time he looked like Ansem!
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hombad46
11/09/18 10:42:01 AM
#382:


The Owner of FF9 posted...
LeonhartFour posted...
The only year Riku was strong was the year KH2 came out. He's always kinda sucked other than that.

And he was barely in that game!
And most of that time he looked like Ansem!

I think you mean Xehanort's Heartless
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Exodecai
11/09/18 10:49:09 AM
#383:


WitcherGeralt posted...
LeonhartFour posted...
If you guys really want another MK character in here (we probably don't need to see one), then I'd bet on Johnny Cage or Shao Kahn being #3.


Goro!

I actually nominated Shao Kahn..... and Baraka but I knew he had no chance in hell to make it in the contest.

Poor Baraka gets killed in MKX anyways... and isn't even playable aside from the mobile game!
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Safer_777
11/09/18 10:57:26 AM
#384:


Leaderboard baby! I am happy! Of course I picked Sora to win the division! But yeah I am happy that at least I am there even for a day. I think I managed to do that in all recent contests, but I am not sure. Anyways came back from work, checked the results.

Geralt is winning but he is losing by a lot in USA. Man Americans destroy everything.
Why is Pac-Man so strong? Yeah Iconfaqs but still!
Vincent with above 43%? Didn't expected that.
Sub-Zero is the only match that makes sense. Barely a doubling.
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abdou
11/09/18 11:07:20 AM
#385:


Geralt is going to win 3 matches? that's freaking awesome. A favorable bracket placement but still awesome.
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ConsiderSudoku
11/09/18 11:12:16 AM
#386:


If only it was Trevor Belmont and not Simon.
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GL/LS with a side of Bow
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ZeldaTPLink
11/09/18 11:18:45 AM
#387:


abdou posted...
Geralt is going to win 3 matches? that's freaking awesome. A favorable bracket placement but still awesome.


Bayonetta is a hard one to beat, but he can do it I think.
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LinkMarioSamus
11/09/18 11:30:56 AM
#388:


Somehow I'm climbing up the leaderboard in terms of percentile despite getting matches wrong. Though it's typically only one match wrong a day (currently at 86 points).

I had Bayonetta winning this half division at first, but then I decided that looked wrong, so I picked Riku to win it. Then that didn't feel right to me either, so I picked Geralt. With Bayonetta vs. Riku first I thought Smash + re-releases would be enough, then I remembered how badly Bayonetta 2 did in the games contest and how well the Kingdom Hearts games did.

Sora > Red was my gut pick, then I decided to pick Pokmon to score a ton of upsets so I switched to Red, then I decided that didn't look right and switched back to Sora and to Bowser > Charizard. All while sticking with Pikachu and Mewtwo winning their divisions.
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STEROLIZER
11/09/18 11:35:36 AM
#389:


Exodecai posted...
WitcherGeralt posted...
LeonhartFour posted...
If you guys really want another MK character in here (we probably don't need to see one), then I'd bet on Johnny Cage or Shao Kahn being #3.


Goro!

I actually nominated Shao Kahn..... and Baraka but I knew he had no chance in hell to make it in the contest.

Poor Baraka gets killed in MKX anyways... and isn't even playable aside from the mobile game!


Johnny Cage would make it past the first round at least.
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The Owner of FF9
11/09/18 11:46:42 AM
#390:


hombad46 posted...
The Owner of FF9 posted...
LeonhartFour posted...
The only year Riku was strong was the year KH2 came out. He's always kinda sucked other than that.

And he was barely in that game!
And most of that time he looked like Ansem!

I think you mean Xehanort's Heartless

His name is still Ansem.

And I think YOU mean Terra-Xehanort's heartless.

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pjbasis
11/09/18 11:48:39 AM
#391:


I (probably) picked 2B and Geralt's path correctly.

I shouldn't have paid attention to stats (or my heart) at all argh.
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Nanis23
11/09/18 11:51:14 AM
#392:


The favorable bracket placement, the fact Allen rigged the rules just to allow him in, the underestimated secret potential of a massive rally...
Everything is pointing towards Geralt winning CBX. It has been foretold
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xp1337
11/09/18 11:52:58 AM
#393:


all part of his plan to pick Geralt to win and deny 99% of the site bonus karma for beating his score in the contest like he gave last time
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Wreath
11/09/18 11:54:08 AM
#394:


Nanis23 posted...
The favorable bracket placement, the fact Allen rigged the rules just to allow him in, the underestimated secret potential of a massive rally...
Everything is pointing towards Geralt winning CBX. It has been foretold


Until you realize 98% of this site is dominated by Nintendo fans
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hombad46
11/09/18 11:54:09 AM
#395:


Nanis23 posted...
The favorable bracket placement, the fact Allen rigged the rules just to allow him in, the underestimated secret potential of a massive rally...
Everything is pointing towards Geralt winning CBX. It has been foretold

Well if that happens then nice work Xeybozn, they actually predicted that.
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hombad46
11/09/18 11:56:25 AM
#396:


The Owner of FF9 posted...
hombad46 posted...
The Owner of FF9 posted...
LeonhartFour posted...
The only year Riku was strong was the year KH2 came out. He's always kinda sucked other than that.

And he was barely in that game!
And most of that time he looked like Ansem!

I think you mean Xehanort's Heartless

His name is still Ansem.

And I think YOU mean Terra-Xehanort's heartless.


Then allow me to use your argument against you, Terra Xehanort's name is still Xehanort. Besides, everyone knows his heartless's full name is Ansem, Seeker of Darkness
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pjbasis
11/09/18 11:57:05 AM
#397:


The Owner of FF9 posted...
hombad46 posted...
The Owner of FF9 posted...
LeonhartFour posted...
The only year Riku was strong was the year KH2 came out. He's always kinda sucked other than that.

And he was barely in that game!
And most of that time he looked like Ansem!

I think you mean Xehanort's Heartless

His name is still Ansem.

And I think YOU mean Terra-Xehanort's heartless.


The preferred phrase is Terranort, please.
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Mac Arrowny
11/09/18 12:44:08 PM
#398:


Man, Vincent's early vote is so bad
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igordebraga
11/09/18 1:23:20 PM
#399:


Saw a page in the wiki, seems the other one of the site's favorite companies so far has handled them well in direct matches:

Nintendo Wins:
Ganondorf vs. Neku
Donkey Kong vs. Tidus
Master Hand vs. Noctis
Charizard vs. Terra
Red vs. Sora
Square Wins:
Aerith vs. Waluigi
Auron vs. Lucina
Tifa vs. Geno
2B vs. Ness
Aerith vs. Captain Toad
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im317
11/09/18 1:27:07 PM
#400:


Geno is from a jointly made game so i dont think he counts in the same way.
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