Board 8 > Eff 2021 Mafia: Topic 9 - The Year Not Even Betty White Could Escape

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PunishedBen
12/18/22 1:17:22 PM
#151:


changmas posted...
i've gotta go shopping shortly but y'all are collectively willing to wait like 5-6 hours i am willing to attempt to mount a defense here
I'd also like to not rush, and I'm gonna be out for the next few hours as well. Plenty of time left in the day to kill Death

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PunishedBen
12/18/22 1:23:08 PM
#152:


[LFAQs-redacted-quote]

His tunneling on me and Scare was making me think he was scum day 1. Day 2 he was putting in a lot of work...still mostly to go after me and Scare. But then Scare flipped scum, and it makes 100% sense that he would think I'm scum since that would fit his boastful nature.

But hey, someone's got to be scum. And he was never that high up in the town tier list. I have already absolutely decided I believe the two of you over him.

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BlueCrystalTear
12/18/22 1:23:12 PM
#153:


hey guys catchup in progress (has been all morning as I do shit), will post something actual soon

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#154
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PunishedBen
12/18/22 1:28:39 PM
#155:


[LFAQs-redacted-quote]

I'm trying to think that if I was town with his actual role, how would i react to MI's claim? It would be a tough situation and might cause someone like Corrik to flail emotionally.

Luckily, I dont have to think too hard about that because his actual role as claimed with all the details he included, should not exist. I am at that point. So no going back besides Corrik dies today. But I am not against inviting a little drama because having a set lynch is boring!

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TotallyNotMI
12/18/22 1:30:27 PM
#156:


How about him ignoring questions or his thought process ben?

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PunishedBen
12/18/22 1:43:33 PM
#157:


If he's town he'd come around and answer those eventually. Cant do it while he's busy. I never believe him when he says "See you day 2."

Also I dont know what the data is on him voting himself when he's scum. But he didnt do it in the Fire emblem game. He did it in the last game he was town IIRC.

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htaeD
12/18/22 1:48:20 PM
#158:


No in Fire Emblem Mafia he was pretty relaxed if I recall correctly.

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Obellisk
12/18/22 1:48:55 PM
#159:


I really don't like the voting for yourself look.

unless it's suprak voting for bct that is.

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PunishedBen
12/18/22 1:52:43 PM
#160:


I have to go for a bit right now. But I'd prefer day kept going so we can see what Chang brings up

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Obellisk
12/18/22 1:58:42 PM
#161:


so let's see...

Likely Scum or just Not Town (in no particular order and without further reasoning):
Plum
Ben
Corrik
BCT

Sbell is good with these players(again, no particular order, etc.):
Mi
Lea
Chang
Sultan
sbell

These lot could probably go either way with additional flips and actual investigative work:
JC
ctes
death
mzero


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BlueCrystalTear
12/18/22 2:00:00 PM
#162:


Okay, sorry, was at a Christmas party last night, finally getting caught up.

MI and Lea claimed at the same second. Ergo they're 100% in a chat together, whether that be scum or mason. This is something we will have to store away for D4 if both of them are still alive.

TotallyNotMI posted...
I was asked a question and based on my response I received four players names. I could pick one of those four as my mason partner. When I saw Lea on the list there was no hesitation in my choice
So then Lea got her role next before the rest were rolled? Not sure if I buy that, but... entirely possible. There's no way it would work any other way because then MI would know four town players, and thus Lea would ALSO know four town players, which is too broken.

This also explains why the PMs were so staggered. Though... what was Plum's comment about "the other pair" there? That makes no sense. What does he know?

This is "as I read" thoughts so they're more detailed and don't respond to others having the same thought jsyk...
It's still entirely possible that this is a "Neighbor" thing, was it? Wasn't there some game recently where Ben was SBell's "neighbor" or something and this was someone he chose on D1? One was scum, one was town, but they could still chat like Masons? I'm trying to figure out the differences here. Forgive my lack of experience.

The Corrik/MI lists can 100% overlap because each of them was asked a question to determine which pool they got. Corrik was likely not an option for MI's Mason, but MI was an option for Corrik... which is, uhh.... weird, to say the least. I'm guessing Corrik had the other 17 players (aside from Suprak slot) randomly put into groups of 5-6 and MI's were alphabetically chunked. This means it could've included Corrik.

This is all strange, as MI noted. There's really no reason MI should've been able to pick someone who would've been able to pick someone. I like the theory that Corrik's the partner and one of Plum, MZero, SBell, and Sultan is the actual scum in that role. And that's probably not Sultan.

TotallyNotMI posted...
Has anyone else thought how his start of day posts feel completely different in tone and content than all his posts during the day?
My start of day posts are me actually taking the time to breathe, that's really it. I am trying not to rush myself when I write those night phase posts. Many of my daytime posts are rougher spur-of-the-moment thoughts.

TotallyNotMI posted...
Maybe we should ignore all this and just lynch BCT for saying suprak could've contacted him on Discord that was weird
I never said that. I said he didn't do that. All the messages posted with the Suprak account have been sent through DMs on GameFAQs proper. I was just listing ways he could've gotten hold of me and didn't give it thought that people would accuse me of making a scumslip when I'm just bad town.

P.S. If you guys want me to see the first Avatar please say so in the link in my sig, thanks!

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htaeD
12/18/22 2:02:48 PM
#163:


What?
Okay nevermind my theory then about you having a separate discord with Suprak then.
(Or I guess I missed a post somewhere and my theory should have been dead long ago)

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BlueCrystalTear
12/18/22 2:05:05 PM
#164:


So, either Corrik or both Lea AND MI have to be scum.

Corrik keeps backpedaling and voted for himself and I think that's because he got caught in a lie. He's now trying to weasel his way out of it much akin to what Ben referenced in DOTA Mafia.

If Lea and MI are both scum, that's 2/4 of the remaining alive members. Them being scum means scum is throwing two of their members to the wind to get rid of Corrik, which means they think their remaining two are obfuscated well enough that they're safe to win with night kills alone. What kind of scum team would do something that ballsy? It's high risk but also high reward.

I really just don't like Corrik's claim. I don't trust SBell and Plum, either. MZero disappearing without saying why is not a good sign for him, perhaps he finally admitted to himself that everyone knows I'm town and gave up. Disappearing is a scum MZero move, yes?

So... argh I think I'm back to square one aside from not liking Corrik's claim. And this is despite Corrik calling me blatant town and MI thinking I could be lynched. Please don't do that, thanks.

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#165
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Obellisk
12/18/22 2:17:19 PM
#166:


BlueCrystalTear posted...
Wasn't there some game recently where Ben was SBell's "neighbor"


no.

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BlueCrystalTear
12/18/22 2:27:01 PM
#167:


Oh, then maybe I'm getting facts mixed up. My bad. I wasn't in that game!

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TotallyNotMI
12/18/22 2:29:56 PM
#168:


Also BCT, as Lea and I have mentioned but I'll say again -- we are not neighbors. Your choices are to either believe us that we're masons or don't believe us and say we're scum.

We are not neighbors.
We are not neighbors.
We are not neighbors.

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Chaeix
12/18/22 2:34:32 PM
#169:


Im kind of at a loss.

If Lea and MI are just vanilla masons, does Corrik counter as scum? If he fails his counter and flips scum, then Lea and MI both look good and then the scum team is in a far worse position than when they started. Throwing shade at the duo makes sense as a reason but not the only reason.

Im struggling to come up with a scenario where scum Corrik claims without some other benefit.

But whats the benefit? It seems like theres tons to lose and very little to gain.

I cant write off my corrik-chose-scum-and-then-both-he-and-MI-chose-Lea crackpot theory yet because it explains a benefit Corrik gets from all this and could potentially address why he would lie about MI being on his list. If Lea is scum who ends up confirmed as killer then its worth it.

The part of this that makes the least sense though is why Corrik countered and then backed off. Like hes tried to explain a lot of things and I get he thinks this weird neighbour setup exists but I dont understand how he thinks MI could plausibly be on his list as either neighbour or mason.

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Chaeix
12/18/22 2:35:34 PM
#170:


BlueCrystalTear posted...
Oh, then maybe I'm getting facts mixed up. My bad. I wasn't in that game!
Ben was scum neighbours er and chose Chris in pokestarwars?

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Chaeix
12/18/22 2:35:47 PM
#171:


Neighborizer*

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ctesjbuvf
12/18/22 2:36:01 PM
#172:


Ben chose Chris as his neighboor as scum in SW&P.

BlueCrystalTear posted...
If Lea and MI are both scum, that's 2/4 of the remaining alive members. Them being scum means scum is throwing two of their members to the wind to get rid of Corrik, which means they think their remaining two are obfuscated well enough that they're safe to win with night kills alone. What kind of scum team would do something that ballsy? It's high risk but also high reward.

You can't draw this conclusion from that, they would have no idea Corrik would say anything against it when they claimed.

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ctesjbuvf
12/18/22 2:39:34 PM
#173:


Anyway, I am more than ready to lynch Corrik myself, but absolutely no point in ending day early when there are people stating they have things to bring to the table. It won't even speed the game up, the only thing it does is denying possible information. Even if you can't see yourself changing your mind (and I do understand that), activity is good for figuring out things afterward.

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#174
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Chaeix
12/18/22 2:44:00 PM
#175:


On a bit of a tangential note, I will acknowledge this is probably getting a little too far into meta territory so take this with a grain of salt, but does anyone think its weird that Joe Biden is an allegedly town role this game when in eff 2020 mafia he was an OP mafia godfather?

or at least I think I recall reading he was an OP mafia godfather when Lea(?) posted the setup from that game

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Chaeix
12/18/22 2:46:39 PM
#176:


I guess I should acknowledge the joe Biden when he encounters stairs distinction but idk, just strikes me as somewhat odd.

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htaeD
12/18/22 2:46:55 PM
#177:


My own reread is going agonizingly slow, so I am certainly in favor of a longer day as well.

Though I will say in advance that I wish Mzero said more right now.
He was one of the few who still believed Scare was town day2. But as Han showed that does not mean he is scum.

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ctesjbuvf
12/18/22 2:47:27 PM
#178:


TotallyNotMI posted...
Yeah I posed a couple questions this morning of why did Corrik pick Lopen and why did corrik not breadcrumb after Lopen died and instead of acknowledging those he just called Lea an idiot.

There's no reason to continue this imo

Was in response to this post, but maybe it was directed at something more specific I guess.

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#179
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Chaeix
12/18/22 2:54:33 PM
#180:


Also good chance I wont be around much for EOD today. Im flying down to join family for Christmas and will probably have a dinner so Ill have limited availability.

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TotallyNotMI
12/18/22 3:03:43 PM
#181:


Chaeix posted...
I guess I should acknowledge the joe Biden when he encounters stairs distinction but idk, just strikes me as somewhat odd.
Plus Kamala isn't a running mate in 2021.
Plus there's no campaigning in 2021.

Flavor meta isn't the reason to lynch corrik but everything about the flavor stinks

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Obellisk
12/18/22 3:07:25 PM
#182:


TotallyNotMI posted...
Plus Kamala isn't a running mate in 2021.
Plus there's no campaigning in 2021.

Flavor meta isn't the reason to lynch corrik but everything about the flavor stinks


I mean biz markies girl ain't real for that matter so I feel like we are splitting hairs there.

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TotallyNotMI
12/18/22 3:08:33 PM
#183:


TotallyNotMI posted...
Flavor meta isn't the reason to lynch corrik


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BlueCrystalTear
12/18/22 3:14:14 PM
#184:


TotallyNotMI posted...
Also BCT, as Lea and I have mentioned but I'll say again -- we are not neighbors. Your choices are to either believe us that we're masons or don't believe us and say we're scum.
I'm still trying to figure out the difference between Masons and Neighbors. Masons are both confirmed town to each other and Neighbors are not, is it?

Chaeix posted...
Ben was scum neighbours er and chose Chris in pokestarwars?
Yeah, that's gotta be it then. Thanks.

ctesjbuvf posted...
You can't draw this conclusion from that, they would have no idea Corrik would say anything against it when they claimed.
Yeah that's a fair point, didn't think that through. My bad.

A scum group wanting to sacrifice two members seems very far-fetched to me.

I'm fine with lynching Corrik. Not because of flavor meta, because of role meta. That and him voting for himself like he just gave up.

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Obellisk
12/18/22 3:18:27 PM
#185:


TotallyNotMI posted...
Flavor meta isn't the reason to lynch corrik


oh flavour you... you got what I neeeeeeed.

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Chaeix
12/18/22 3:19:19 PM
#186:


##unvote

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MZero
12/18/22 3:33:47 PM
#187:


whoops forgot to mention I was flying across the planet yesterday. I am in America and very jet lagged. I'm about to sleep for a bit but I will be around for deadline

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#188
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Chaeix
12/18/22 3:38:43 PM
#189:


mzero is Kronos, lord of time, confirmed

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ctesjbuvf
12/18/22 3:47:42 PM
#190:


BlueCrystalTear posted...
A scum group wanting to sacrifice two members seems very far-fetched to me.

I mean, it wouldn't be a sacrifice if they're not countered in the same sense.

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htaeD
12/18/22 3:48:09 PM
#191:


Mzero you traitor.

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Obellisk
12/18/22 4:09:23 PM
#192:


So mzero is In the normal timezones and still can't show up at a reasonable time...


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TheSultanOfSlam
12/18/22 4:14:25 PM
#193:


Um #123??? Deleted post that's a mod kill

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#194
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TheSultanOfSlam
12/18/22 4:18:45 PM
#195:


Ahh gamefaqs deleted it

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Chaeix
12/18/22 4:20:52 PM
#196:


Lets lynch gamefaqs

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TheSultanOfSlam
12/18/22 4:20:58 PM
#197:


Still not sure how we can't have MI/Lea and Corrik coexist?

We also aren't sure if we even have a cop in this game? Like corrik is basically the cop and if Lea and MI are Mason's we got what 4 confirmed townish?

Also could see a world where corrik is actually cop and claimed this weird varient for some reason

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htaeD
12/18/22 4:21:09 PM
#198:


Man its been ages since I have seen a post get modded in mafia.
Presumably.
I doubt that Corrik would delete it himself too.

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TheSultanOfSlam
12/18/22 4:21:11 PM
#199:


Chaeix posted...
Lets lynch gamefaqs
Yes!

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htaeD
12/18/22 4:21:47 PM
#200:


I also doubt we dont have a cop.
For one thing, Reds role had a godfather modifier.

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