Board 8 > Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1308

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LeonhartFour
11/19/18 5:57:05 PM
#351:


ExThaNemesis posted...
This match makes Allen's decision to take Sephiroth out of the Noble Nine look even worse tbh!


eh I don't think Ryu beats any of the Noble Niners so it doesn't really matter who was here
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ctesjbuvf
11/19/18 6:00:01 PM
#352:


LeonhartFour posted...
ExThaNemesis posted...
This match makes Allen's decision to take Sephiroth out of the Noble Nine look even worse tbh!


eh I don't think Ryu beats any of the Noble Niners so it doesn't really matter who was here


Allen already explained it was to represent most series.
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LeonhartFour
11/19/18 6:01:48 PM
#353:


yeah I know but I said Allen gave Seph the easiest division just to compensate for being left off and that appears to be true
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Advokaiser
11/19/18 6:03:45 PM
#354:


What's all of this "Vincent underperformance" talk? I'm not sure how strong he had to be to be "impressive" even, but didn't he go against Auron, which was the heavy favorite to begin with? He also went against one of CT's strongest characters.
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LeonhartFour
11/19/18 6:04:47 PM
#355:


well he also beat CT's strongest character once

but if it turns out CT is just a lot stronger this year then struggling with Magus doesn't look so bad
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Team Rocket Elite
11/19/18 6:06:52 PM
#356:


In his prime, Vincent wouldn't lose to Auron. It's not an underperformance compared to what people expected from him. It's an underperformance compared to how strong Vincent used to be.
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Advokaiser
11/19/18 6:10:23 PM
#357:


Oh, I get it now.

So was he one of the so-called "Noble Nine breakers"?
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LeonhartFour
11/19/18 6:11:17 PM
#358:


Advokaiser posted...
Oh, I get it now.

So was he one of the so-called "Noble Nine breakers"?


The original, in fact.

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/2914-division-4-final-link-vincent-crono-zero
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ctesjbuvf
11/19/18 6:12:02 PM
#359:


Was responding to Extha, really, don't know why I quoted your post along with it.
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ShatteredElysium
11/19/18 6:12:33 PM
#360:


I wonder how much strength, if anything, Vincent pulled from Dirge
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im317
11/19/18 6:13:03 PM
#361:


should have given Link a bye for the first round in Legends and kept Seph with the other N9
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LeonhartFour
11/19/18 6:17:03 PM
#362:


ShatteredElysium posted...
I wonder how much strength, if anything, Vincent pulled from Dirge


Well, he put 45% on Crono in 2005, and then 48% on Sonic in 2006 and beat Crono the year after. Both Advent Children and Dirge of Cerberus came out in the meantime between SC2K5 and SC2K6.
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ExThaNemesis
11/19/18 6:17:47 PM
#363:


ctesjbuvf posted...
Allen already explained it was to represent most series.


smh you people actually buy that it was for any other reason than because he has a personal vendetta against me you know gullible is written on the ceiling right
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LeonhartFour
11/19/18 6:18:15 PM
#364:


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TheOneAboveAll
11/19/18 6:26:01 PM
#365:


*checks poll*

https://tenor.com/view/luigi-dead-smash-belmont-gif-12302762
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GreatnessIsHere
11/19/18 6:26:59 PM
#366:


PlayStation showing its Greatness today, both of today's winning characters represents PlayStation, while the losing side represents non and less PS.
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ExThaNemesis
11/19/18 6:27:56 PM
#367:


LeonhartFour posted...
it's a well deserved vendetta imhotbqh


PSSSH he started it.
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Yuri_LowelI
11/19/18 6:58:06 PM
#368:


im317 posted...
should have given Link a bye for the first round in Legends and kept Seph with the other N9


Should have kept Link out of the whole thing and Just have him face The winner of it all at the very End.

That would remvoe the need to have another losers bracket tournament.
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LeonhartFour
11/19/18 6:58:37 PM
#369:


time for fun or time for absolutely nothing?

we're about to find out...!
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SlugSh0t
11/19/18 6:59:18 PM
#370:


cmon pikachu!
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LeonhartFour
11/19/18 6:59:19 PM
#371:


ExThaNemesis posted...
LeonhartFour posted...
it's a well deserved vendetta imhotbqh


PSSSH he started it.


he's HBK and you're Bret
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LeonhartFour
11/19/18 7:00:21 PM
#372:


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LeonhartFour
11/19/18 7:03:43 PM
#374:


Oh nice, the Second Chance bracket is already up for submission, at least.
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LusterSoldier
11/19/18 7:03:58 PM
#375:


LeonhartFour posted...
TooTooP3 posted...
Safer_777 posted...
As in all contests the further we go in, the more the votes increase.


That's not true, the Red vs Alucard and Bowser vs Kirby matches only got around 28k.


Well, SFF matches tend to get fewer votes anyway.


Also, Red/Alucard and Bowser/Kirby were on the weekend (Saturday to be specific), which factors into the lower vote totals.

I did some research a while back on average vote totals by the day of the week and determined that Saturday polls have the lowest average vote totals. The highest average is seen on Monday-Thursday (with very little variation), followed by Sunday polls, then Friday polls, and Saturday polls have the lowest average out of all the days in a week.

Saturday polls have roughly a 12% reduction in vote totals compared to Monday-Thursday. Friday polls have about a 7% reduction in vote totals compared to Monday-Thursday. The reduction in vote totals for Sunday polls is fairly small at only about a 3% reduction.
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haloiscoolisbak
11/19/18 7:04:12 PM
#376:


Eh the second chance bracket is a bit silly imo

I assume a lot less people think Snake is number 2 now
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LeonhartFour
11/19/18 7:05:23 PM
#377:


haloiscoolisbak posted...
Eh the second chance bracket is a bit silly imo

I assume a lot less people think Snake is number 2 now


Nah, I like getting a chance to reevaluate the bracket after you've had a chance to see everyone (except for the Noble Nine), so you've got a good mix of known and unknown there. It's why I liked the Battle Challenge so much.
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haloiscoolisbak
11/19/18 7:08:28 PM
#378:


I shouldnt complain too much coz my second chance bracket looked toast but I debated long and hard about some N9 match ups pee contest and now they're a lot easier to predict

W/e
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TsunamiXXVIII
11/19/18 7:09:14 PM
#379:


Huh. Given how low her prediction percentage against MMX was, I'm honestly surprised that Tifa had a higher prediction percentage to win her division than Auron or Alucard.

...Well, maybe not; neither of them had great prediction percentages in R3 either and Alucard's division, at least, was perceived as being much stronger on the other half of the division.
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ShatteredElysium
11/19/18 7:12:08 PM
#380:


11th in standings and guru cookie for the rest of the bracket. That's probably dead right?

EDIT: Also is there a way to see your tiebreaker because I can't even remember what the tiebreaker is nevermind what I answered
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Natwaf_akidna
11/19/18 7:14:50 PM
#381:


Hmm

Second chance bracket

None of the finals will change much really
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NowItsAngeTime
11/19/18 7:15:47 PM
#382:


Looks like Second Chance bracket has prizes?
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Yuri_LowelI
11/19/18 7:17:51 PM
#383:


ctesjbuvf posted...
LeonhartFour posted...
ExThaNemesis posted...
This match makes Allen's decision to take Sephiroth out of the Noble Nine look even worse tbh!


eh I don't think Ryu beats any of the Noble Niners so it doesn't really matter who was here


Allen already explained it was to represent most series.


It makes sense a well since seph wouldn't lose to anyone in the main bracket.

If you put Mega Man or especially Sonic....they could have ended up losing and not even make the Legends bracket. which would devalue the whole point of it
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Natwaf_akidna
11/19/18 7:18:09 PM
#384:


Ah crap I forgot what the average votals were each match
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LusterSoldier
11/19/18 7:18:14 PM
#385:


Enter Your Tiebreaker:
How many total votes will be cast through all 30 battles of this portion of the tournament (not including the registered user bonus)?


This question will be pretty easy to answer because we all already know the average vote totals per match for the contest up to this point.

We're currently averaging 20077 raw votes per match. So that projects for a total of 602310 votes for the remainder of the contest.

However, I expect the rest of the contest to have slightly higher average vote totals compared to the first 4 rounds. My recommendation for a tiebreaker will be somewhere between 610000 and 700000.
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Team Rocket Elite
11/19/18 7:19:22 PM
#386:


8 people fell off the Top 50. PreseaCombatir, WhereIsLiquid, LusterSoldier, pyresword, Camden, psaltery, tennisboy213 and SoraLink2649 did not have Tifa and Sephiroth winning.

31 people got one wrong and survived. Steevo_234, Zylothewolf, Vegink, Nanis23, hylianknight3, PSI_NESS, Captain_Sorzo, art_of_the_kill, KeepinItFresh, pirate109, Moonroof, iGenesis, GTM, Safer_777, Metal_DK, Mr_Monkford, DoctorJimmy133, FFIXOwner, BradyFumbled, ZenOfThunder, GoldSlime35, VegetarianKefka, Ranticoot, AxemRedRanger, Underleveled, Gyarados, Fart, TylerF, gitanil, haloiscoolisbak and Seanchan also did not have Tifa and Sephiroth winning.
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Yuri_LowelI
11/19/18 7:19:31 PM
#387:


Natwaf_akidna posted...
Hmm

Second chance bracket

None of the finals will change much really


What are peoples Picks?

For some reason we get Duplicate Matches in the losers bracket. I;ve got Pikachu/ MM twice and the same with Crono/Bowser.

Allen should have reshuffled the losers into oppsite ends to stop them from meeting again twice so quickly.

My finals are Link>Mario, Cloud>Mario, Link>Cloud
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Natwaf_akidna
11/19/18 7:22:14 PM
#388:


Thanks for that luster

Except not sarcastically
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TsunamiXXVIII
11/19/18 7:24:42 PM
#389:


Actually, I'm kind of torn. Mostly over that Mario-Sephiroth battle. Tifa's win over Luigi has me doubting Mario's chances against Sephiroth, but that's a huge difference because if Mario gets past Seph, he gets to SFF-rip his way through the next two rounds before falling to Link, whereas if he loses...he probably loses again fairly early in loser's bracket because I still wouldn't take Seph over Samus!

Yes, next two rounds. I'm going with Sonic > Snake. Everything else MGS has looked awful this year, while Sonic characters...well, actually they weren't that impressive either! Yea, Tails made round 3, but not over anything that strong. Knuckles got a decent win though, and I guess losing to Zero isn't too bad. After all, I don't have to call Team Mega Man weak to not pick Mega to win many matches, because Pikachu just looked that incredible!
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davidponte
11/19/18 7:27:12 PM
#390:


Natwaf_akidna posted...
Thanks for that luster

Except not sarcastically

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Yuri_LowelI
11/19/18 7:29:00 PM
#391:


Sonic is the weakest N9.. Even a half baked Snake Beats Sonic.
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Natwaf_akidna
11/19/18 7:30:42 PM
#392:


Im going with Sephy
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NowItsAngeTime
11/19/18 7:32:13 PM
#393:


davidponte posted...
Natwaf_akidna posted...
Thanks for that luster

Except not sarcastically

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davidponte
11/19/18 7:34:19 PM
#394:


So,

Zelda > Snake ?
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xp1337
11/19/18 7:35:58 PM
#395:


davidponte posted...
So,

Zelda > Snake ?

everyone needs to call in any picsmith favors they have for sprite snake

I think Snake makes it by here. It might be a bit close but as much as I want to I don't think I can board this train.
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LeonhartFour
11/19/18 7:37:56 PM
#396:


is there any Zelda performance you think Snake couldn't replicate?

I don't think so myself unless you think he's just fallen an absurd amount since 2013
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MoogleKupo141
11/19/18 7:39:39 PM
#397:


Zelda > Snske is silly

how about Zelda > Sonic though
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xp1337
11/19/18 7:40:18 PM
#398:


MoogleKupo141 posted...
Zelda > Snske is silly

how about Zelda > Sonic though

now i'm all aboard that one

choo choo
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LeonhartFour
11/19/18 7:41:48 PM
#399:


Yeah, Zelda > Sonic is actually worth discussing. There are some numbers in that division I'd struggle to see Sonic matching.

although this could be the strongest Sonic we've had in a really long time too
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ctesjbuvf
11/19/18 7:44:24 PM
#400:


Zelda vs. Sonic is the only match where I can really see a potential NN defeat.
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MoogleKupo141
11/19/18 7:46:06 PM
#401:


I'm going for it because I feel like I'll be more upset if I pick Sonic and he loses than if I pick Zelda and she loses... it's like at least I lived a little. I dreamt a dream.
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