Board 8 > Game of the Decade: 2010-2019 Contest Analysis Crew - Part 2

Topic List
Page List: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 ... 10
LeonhartFour
04/02/20 8:45:30 PM
#51:


Yeah, I get that, too.

But then Tropical Freeze should've done better than this...!
---
... Copied to Clipboard!
KamikazePotato
04/02/20 8:46:22 PM
#52:


Mario Maker 2 also sold the same as Mario Maker 1 despite being on the system people care about. Splatoon 2 is likely weaker than 1 but not by too much. SFF is the likelier explanation here.

---
Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
... Copied to Clipboard!
transcience
04/02/20 8:48:23 PM
#53:


tropical freeze just never mattered! much like dkc

---
add the c and back away
iphonesience
... Copied to Clipboard!
LeonhartFour
04/02/20 8:49:28 PM
#54:


it was one of the best selling Wii U games, right?

I dunno, I have no sense for the Wii U since I never owned one.
---
... Copied to Clipboard!
PrinceOfKoopas
04/02/20 8:52:46 PM
#55:


LeonhartFour posted...
it was one of the best selling Wii U games, right?

I dunno, I have no sense for the Wii U since I never owned one.
Tropical Freeze has always had disappointing sales, relative to other first party major Wii U games.

AND it was only $50 as opposed to $60!

---
For the best videogame commentary story on the Internet (sometimes featuring GameFAQs poll of the days and contest discussion) visit https://www.koopatv.org
... Copied to Clipboard!
MechanicalWall
04/02/20 8:58:00 PM
#56:


Splatoon 1 had the benefit of being the first new AAA Nintendo franchise in God knows how long, and being one of the four or five high profile Wii U games at the time, on top of being a pretty novel concept. A lot of Wii u owners bought it just to keep the system from gathering dust.

Splatoon 2 was pretty much the same thing the first one was with a couple of bells and whistles, it didn't have the novelty factor both on the gameplay side and the 'new Nintendo franchise' side. It sold better but it wouldn't surprise me that interest dwindled. I think highly iterative sequels are almost invariably going to be weaker than the original.

---
If you're only on this board to whine about "SJWs", please redirect whatever you type on to the nearest trash can. And hop in after it.
... Copied to Clipboard!
Mannequin Depressive
04/02/20 9:11:29 PM
#57:


folllowing seed placements and creating a narrative around them: the topic

---
-_-...-_-
...-_-...
... Copied to Clipboard!
LusterSoldier
04/02/20 9:28:48 PM
#58:


LeonhartFour posted...
I do think there's a chance there's some Nintendo overperformance here from Xenoblade, but it's definitely a strong showing.


Or Xenoblade has grown in strength since 2015. Which could be possible as it means at least an extra 4 years for people to play the game since the 2015 contest.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
... Copied to Clipboard!
LeonhartFour
04/02/20 9:31:47 PM
#59:


LusterSoldier posted...


Or Xenoblade has grown in strength since 2015. Which could be possible as it means at least an extra 4 years for people to play the game since the 2015 contest.


Eh, this is too big of a blowout for that to be the only explanation unless Splatoon 2 is one of the weakest games in the contest. There are only a handful of games in the 2015 contest that Xenoblade would be projected to beat this badly.
---
... Copied to Clipboard!
LusterSoldier
04/02/20 9:33:20 PM
#60:


KamikazePotato posted...
Mario Maker 2 also sold the same as Mario Maker 1 despite being on the system people care about. Splatoon 2 is likely weaker than 1 but not by too much. SFF is the likelier explanation here.


Mario Maker 2 has been out for less than 1 year, where as Mario Maker 1 had almost 4 years to build up its total sales volume prior to the release of Mario Maker 2. Not really a fair comparison right now.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Advokaiser, Guru Champ!
... Copied to Clipboard!
Mac Arrowny
04/02/20 9:46:18 PM
#61:


KamikazePotato posted...
Mario Maker 2 also sold the same as Mario Maker 1 despite being on the system people care about. Splatoon 2 is likely weaker than 1 but not by too much. SFF is the likelier explanation here.


Mario Maker 2 sold 1 million more than Mario Maker 1's lifetime sales in its first six months!
---
All the stars in the sky are waiting for you.
... Copied to Clipboard!
LeonhartFour
04/02/20 10:02:40 PM
#62:


I think I feel safe saying Ori's got this after the last few updates.
---
... Copied to Clipboard!
pjbasis
04/02/20 10:45:17 PM
#63:


I was strangely confident about that pick too so I'm glad it turned out well. It's the ones I'm not even concerned about that keep blind siding me.


---
... Copied to Clipboard!
MechanicalWall
04/02/20 11:29:24 PM
#64:


In a contest with so much fodder it's not surprising that some of these matches are blind siding people. The games are so weak and people here generally don't care for the games themselves so no one discusses these kinds of matches. The Bastion match is the archetype of this kind of upset.

With the Ori match I've now lost three points, and the only one I feel really I could have seen coming is the Undertale one. The Bastion and Ori ones are like, how tf was anyone supposed to know.

---
If you're only on this board to whine about "SJWs", please redirect whatever you type on to the nearest trash can. And hop in after it.
... Copied to Clipboard!
transience
04/02/20 11:55:21 PM
#65:


the thing is, it's not about Bastion and Ori. it's about Walking Dead and Dragon Age. I'd love it to be about Bastion and Ori and they're alright but still real weak in the grand scheme.

---
xyzzy
... Copied to Clipboard!
LeonhartFour
04/02/20 11:56:54 PM
#66:


yeah this says more about Dragon Age than it does about Ori, and we'll see that next round

we've already seen what a game people actually like can do to an indie game
---
... Copied to Clipboard!
Mac Arrowny
04/03/20 12:03:03 AM
#67:


Honestly, Ori > Dragon Age and the recent blowouts make me feel a lot more confident in Hollow Knight > FFXV. 75% on Edith Finch is pretty unimpressive, and FFXV is even less well-liked than Inquisition.
---
All the stars in the sky are waiting for you.
... Copied to Clipboard!
LeonhartFour
04/03/20 1:18:01 AM
#68:


Eh, FFXV is starting from a higher ceiling than Dragon Age though.

Not to say Hollow Knight doesn't have a chance, but I don't know that this is the prime example as to why.
---
... Copied to Clipboard!
Master Moltar
04/03/20 2:16:25 AM
#69:


Previous Results: Blowouts everyone figured would happen.

Crew Predictions: 25/28

Next Round Thoughts: Fun game of rank the losers. GTAV, P4G, and RDR all seem close to each other based off blowing out fodder. Cuphead might be right there with them too if XCOM 2 is stronger than the other three (which it probably is).

Crew Prediction Challenge:

Moltar: 25
Kleenex: 25
transience: 24
Leonhart: 24
Guest: 22

Crew Accuracy Challenge: Moltar gets the point for GTAV, RDR, and Cuphead, and transience gets the point for P4G.

Moltar: 10
Guest: 6 (spooky96, Hbthebattle (2), Black Turtle, ctes, MetalmindStats)
Kleenex: 4
transience: 4
Leonhart: 2

---
Moltar Status: hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
... Copied to Clipboard!
Master Moltar
04/03/20 2:22:06 AM
#70:


Round 1 The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt vs. Assassin's Creed Odyssey

Moltars Analysis

oh boy its witching time

We saw Witcher 3 back in 2015, and it did well against MGS2 (back when the MGS series was stronger than it is today). Since then, this game has gotten even more popular, thanks to additional exposure from the Netflix series. Alucard was helped tremendously from a Netflix boost and I wouldnt be surprised to see Witcher also benefit.

Assassins Creed is one of those series that came and went here. Back in 2010, it was a series that lost with some grace. In 2015, FF6 tripled an AC game. Now? Interest in AC here is at an all time low, and I can see Witcher going really big on it here.

Moltars Bracket: The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt

Moltars Prediction: The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt 78%

____________________________________________________________________________

transiences Analysis

Halfway through round 1! The first half of the bracket has some interesting spots, but the winner is obvious. The bottom half is as wide open a half as we've had in these contests, mostly because of how Allen stacked the bracket against Nintendo.

One pre-contest favourite is The Witcher 3, though it's largely pinned on belief moreso than results. Witcher 3 only barely beat Fallout 4 in its GOTY poll, but the game has really exploded in popularity year over year and Geralt did pretty well in the 2018 contest. We'll get into its prospects when it gets a real match.

Its opponent is an Assassin's Creed game. Assassin's Creed had a decent following back when it was new and hyped. Altair did some serious work to midcarders around the turn of last decade and AC2, along with Batman and Uncharted, were legitimate games. Fast forward a decade and AC is old hat and most people would sooner associate the abbreviation with Animal Crossing. Odyssey is well regarded but it's hard to break through when they put out a game every year for a decade plus and it's not a Nintendo game or an RPG.

Witcher 3 should make quick work of it here -- but, like a lot of other games, being from a notable series probably means you aren't getting blown out. If Witcher 3 breaks 75%, we could have an interesting showdown.

transience's prediction: The Witcher 3 with 71.44%

____________________________________________________________________________

Leonharts Analysis

We saw one Odyssey go for 86% and we might see another Odyssey get 86% put up on it! Seriously though, Assassins Creeds stock has fallen a ton over the last decade. The main characters and the first two games put up decent results when the series was fresh, but I feel like most of us are just done with it now because Ubisoft just ran it into the ground with too many games and a couple of them in particular being complete messes. Ive heard the last couple games have turned things around, but I imagine most of us gave up before that point! Assassins Creed II got absolutely obliterated by Final Fantasy VI in 2015, Altair and Ezio have both flopped in their recent contest appearances, and now this game just barely sneaks in as a 16 seed.

While Assassins Creeds stock has plummeted over the last decade, Witchers has skyrocketed. Witcher 2 was an absolute dud in GOTY 2011. Four years later, Witcher 3 won GOTY and did respectably in the Games Contest, putting up 45% on Metal Gear Solid 2 after a blowout win in round 1. Geralt managed to make it all the way to the division finals in 2018 (among admittedly average competition, but still!). Theres reason to believe the game has only grown stronger over time as more people have gotten the opportunity to play it, and now it even has a hit Netflix show (that isnt about Witcher 3 itself, but it can only help, I imagine). Theres reason to believe Witcher 3 has what it takes to make a deep run, and I think itll start off strong here.

Leonharts Vote: The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt

Leonharts Prediction: The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt with 74.17%
____________________________________________________________________________

Kleenexs Analysis

Weve already seen the Witcher 3 back in 2015, and the game was surprisingly potent given that it had only recently just come out at the time. It only made the second round, but put up a good fight against Metal Gear Solid 2. The series has only gotten more exposure over the years, what with the Netflix show and everything. Geralt was in 2018 and had a...super weird run to the 4th round because finally losing to Auron in another respectable performance. Witcher 3 is one of the games that people have pegged making it out of the bottom half of the bracket and it definitely has a real shot.

We can try to use today as a measuring stick, but I think thats going to be kinda tough. Assassins Creed games havent done particularly well in the past, and even though the newer brand of AC games (Origins & Odyssey) seem pretty well received, I think theyre likely less notable in a contest setting than the older games. This should theoretically be a blowout for the Witcher, so well see if thats something the game is capable of. If not, my bracket is going to be pretty upset.

Kleenexs Prediction: The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt with 79.50%

____________________________________________________________________________

Guests Analysis ctes

The Witcher 3 is perhaps the most interesting contestant in bracket if we look at the difference between earliest round something can realistically lose versus latest round something can realistically lose. That seems to be round 3 to the final basically. Today however, I don't believe we can say anything for certain. I believe Witcher will look incredibly good today, one of the biggest blowouts to be sure. Regardless of how strong Witcher ends up being, it's very well respected among hardcore and casuals gamers both. Unfortunately, this match will tell us nothing about its chances in the long run, because its facing Assassin's Creed.

We saw Call of Duty at absolute trash levels against a weaker game. This will be similar. Both series fell a lot when the decided to just milk out games too fast and their real target audience became a bit younger. There's no telling how much of this loss will be due to Assassin's Creed. Furthermore, Odyssey is probably a lot weaker than Black Flag. Sp predictions for the day, Witcher scores well above 80%, people will shout that its gonna challenge Skyrim mostly ignoring how far AC could've fallen and we'll see it less beastly later on.

The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt - 87.51%
Assassin's Creed Odyssey - 12.49%

I'm attempting a real high shot here, but when typing a smaller
... Copied to Clipboard!
transience
04/03/20 7:54:48 AM
#71:


whoa you guys are high on witcher

---
xyzzy
... Copied to Clipboard!
LeonhartFour
04/03/20 8:13:31 AM
#72:


... Copied to Clipboard!
transience
04/03/20 8:45:01 AM
#73:


I figured, but these are Baba is You type expectations

---
xyzzy
... Copied to Clipboard!
BlAcK TuRtLe
04/03/20 8:53:03 AM
#74:


Witcher is going to crush all of its opponents, and possibly take down Skyrim. I don't think people realize just how popular the Netflix series was

---
"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and hellboy" - trancer1
lol xstats
... Copied to Clipboard!
Leonhart4
04/03/20 8:53:28 AM
#75:


Well, depends on how much stronger Witcher 3 is than GTAV!

---
... Copied to Clipboard!
Leonhart4
04/03/20 8:54:04 AM
#76:


BlAcK TuRtLe posted...
Witcher is going to crush all of its opponents, and possibly take down Skyrim. I don't think people realize just how popular the Netflix series was

No, I think we all do. It's just debatable how much impact it has on the game.

---
... Copied to Clipboard!
transcience
04/03/20 9:00:15 AM
#77:


I mean, I think Witcher is the favorite to get to the semifinals already. saying that the Witcher will do well isnt exactly controversial.

---
add the c and back away
iphonesience
... Copied to Clipboard!
Master Moltar
04/03/20 10:56:24 AM
#78:


Round 1 Mass Effect 3 vs. Starcraft II: Wings of Liberty

Moltars Analysis

i see what u did there - https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/6146-best-game-ever-day-24-round-2-starcraft-vs-mass-effect-2

Funny match as its basically a battle between the way less popular sequels of both games. Mass Effect won it before, and I think itll win again now. Mass Effect 3 is a step down, but at least weve seen it have some contest strength (it did come the closest to beating Undertale in 2015 lolololololol)

Starcraft II? All signs point to it being far, far weaker than the original Starcraft. Even some fans of the original Starcraft turned against the game. Definitely dont see this sequel match being as close as the original.

Moltars Bracket: Mass Effect 3

Moltars Prediction: Mass Effect 3 58%

____________________________________________________________________________

transiences Analysis

This is a cute sort of baby rematch from the 2015 contest, where the up and coming Mass Effect 2 bombed horribly and nearly lost to Starcraft. This match is kind of a joke: Starcraft 2 was somewhat poorly received due to the way they split its campaigns into three separate games, and ME3's ending debacle has sunk the Mass Effect series forever. And, judging by today's glorious results, Bioware's impotence has stretched out to Dragon Age as well. At this point, I'd be pretty surprised if ME2 can win its division. It'll take people recognizing that RE2 was a remake to steer it back in the right direction, and even Fallout 4 has a great shot there.

I can't see Starcraft 2, a PC exclusive from a genre we don't play anymore, winning a match, but if Mass Effect 3 attracts enough disdain it might make a go of it. I'm going to go real low on ME3 because I just have no faith in that series right now.

transience's prediction: Mass Effect 3 with 57.65%

____________________________________________________________________________

Leonharts Analysis

Its time for the #2 game from 2015 to step into the ring, and with Undertales round 1 upset, that makes Mass Effect 3 the strongest game remaining from that contest! A man can dream. Im not exactly sure what to expect from Mass Effect 3 here. Its been 8 years since the ending controversy, so have people lost their ire about it and now they can reflect on the good parts, especially since theyve had something else to move onto in Andromeda? Or have people just stopped caring about it altogether? The 2018 contest would seem to suggest the passion for Mass Effect just isnt there anymore, and that might hurt ME3 more than any other entry in the original trilogy.

That being said, I still think it can stand up to a Starcraft II game. If you think people dont care about Mass Effect anymore, when did they ever care about Starcraft II? That thing came and went like it never even happened. Im stunned this game even made it in! I think people will side with Mass Effect 3 because its the thing we know and weve actually played. I dont think anti-voting will play a huge role here, at least not enough for it to actually lose.

Leonharts Vote: Mass Effect 3

Leonharts Prediction: Mass Effect 3 with 60.15%
____________________________________________________________________________

Kleenexs Analysis

After Mass Effect 2s middling performance round 1, Id normally feel even more worried about Mass Effect 3 - the game that started the series downward spiral into being reviled by the internet. BUT WAIT! Along comes something the internet also reviles! Blizzard has not been in a great way over the past couple years, and Starcraft II was already treading hot water back when it came out. The original Starcraft may be something of a contest legend, but I very much doubt that translates to its sequel. I *think* Mass Effect probably edges this one out, but really I could see it going either way. I dont think either of these games are particularly well liked anymore, but Mass Effect feels like the correct pick to me.

Kleenexs Prediction: Mass Effect 3 with 52.25%

____________________________________________________________________________

Guests Analysis TsunamiXXVIII

In our last contest, we had Mass Effect 2 face StarCraft in Round 2. This contest, we get their sequels facing off in Round 1! Now, the raw X-Stats would say that ME3 is a lot stronger than ME2, but thats just a joke because ME3 was Undertales first opponent, the one that it needed all of its rallying power to get past because it started so late. But then again, you look at the vote totals for that day compared to other R1 matches, its not really that much higher, because the rallying started so late. Which means ME3s raw vote total is mostly legit, right? Its not like in 2013 whereoh, wait, Dravens R1 total was well below the elite characters R1 totals, too. Maybe both of the rallies had strong backlash effects after all? I mean, in 2015 it was 1v1s so theres a clear target for your anti-rally rallying, but in 2013 we had a third place character getting 10k in even Dravens earliest matches.

But the funny thing is, even the adjusted X-Stats say ME3 gets 53% on StarCraft, which is more than what ME2 actually got on it. And putting ME2 into the calculator instead gives pretty much the same percentage as the actual match, so its not like there was some weird Adjusted X-Stat voodoo where ME2 was expected to win by more. IIRC that was one of the matches with rallying on both sides. So is ME3 actually stronger than ME2? I doubt it, but the X-Stats say so, and SC2 is obviously going to be weaker than SC1. Im sure the rest of the crew will be down on ME3 after ME2s performance against RE7, but 1-16 match or not, that was a battle of two established franchises, and apathy votes tend to go towards the more established namewhich is Resident Evil.

Oh, wait, StarCraft is the more established name, isnt it? Well, then, I guess Ill stick with my initial Oracle pick even though I chose the percentage to be a smartass.

Mass Effect 3 with 50.95%
____________________________________________________________________________

Crew Consensus: Starcraft has no effect on Mass Effect.

---
Moltar Status: hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
... Copied to Clipboard!
Leonhart4
04/03/20 11:07:10 AM
#79:


What a weird match. This basically boils down to which game we dislike less.

(which is a shame! ME3 deserves better!)

---
... Copied to Clipboard!
Master Moltar
04/03/20 11:10:45 AM
#80:


MIA Guest Alert - @Nintendogs

I don't have a write-up for Stardew Valley/Destiny yet. If I don't get one in a few hours, it's not getting posted with the rest of the Crew write-ups.

---
Moltar Status: hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
... Copied to Clipboard!
MechanicalWall
04/03/20 11:12:33 AM
#81:


I don't have the article on hand but it stated that sales of Witcher 3 was up more than 500% due to the show, and it had its highest amount of concurrent players EVER on Steam after the show

---
If you're only on this board to whine about "SJWs", please redirect whatever you type on to the nearest trash can. And hop in after it.
... Copied to Clipboard!
Nintendogs
04/03/20 12:43:19 PM
#82:


Master Moltar posted...
MIA Guest Alert - @Nintendogs

I don't have a write-up for Stardew Valley/Destiny yet. If I don't get one in a few hours, it's not getting posted with the rest of the Crew write-ups.
Have you checked the Spam section? I wrote-up something last night an sent it to you.
... Copied to Clipboard!
transience
04/03/20 12:45:46 PM
#83:


yikes. I thought I was going real low on ME3 but turns out 60% is the high pick!

---
xyzzy
... Copied to Clipboard!
Leonhart4
04/03/20 12:47:47 PM
#84:


Yeah, I kinda expected I'd be the high pick! I just choose to believe!

---
... Copied to Clipboard!
LordOfDabu
04/03/20 12:51:00 PM
#85:


More people should try out Starcraft 2 now that it's free!

---
Think fast. Click faster.
... Copied to Clipboard!
FFDragon
04/03/20 12:54:31 PM
#86:


Even free is too expensive imo

---
If you wake up at a different time, in a different place, could you wake up as a different person?
#theresafreakingghostafterus
... Copied to Clipboard!
Leonhart4
04/03/20 1:01:09 PM
#87:


I'm going to have 3 accuracy points after today and 2 of them will be Fire Emblem games.

---
... Copied to Clipboard!
Master Moltar
04/03/20 1:12:05 PM
#88:


Nintendogs posted...
Have you checked the Spam section? I wrote-up something last night an sent it to you.
nope don't see it, are you sure you sent it to [email protected]

you can also PM it to me if that's not working

---
Moltar Status: hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
... Copied to Clipboard!
Nintendogs
04/03/20 1:27:56 PM
#89:


Master Moltar posted...
nope don't see it, are you sure you sent it to [email protected]

you can also PM it to me if that's not working
Try checking your e-mail now
... Copied to Clipboard!
Master Moltar
04/03/20 3:42:32 PM
#90:


Round 1 Stardew Valley vs. Destiny

Moltars Analysis

Who keeps letting Destiny into these game contests?! Last time we saw it, it was getting tripled by Starcraft. At least this time, its battling something closer to its weight class.

Stardew Valley should be decent for an indie game. It has gotten much more exposure since its 2016 GotY showing and has become much more widely available. People also actually like the game, though Im not sure how much it resonates on GameFAQs.

Moltars Bracket: Stardew Valley

Moltars Prediction: Stardew Valley 66%

____________________________________________________________________________

transiences Analysis

Everyone seems to insist on ranking indie games, as if they're somehow in the same genre or have the same fanbases. Well, if you want to go that way, Stardew's in the top 5. It's pretty interesting, actually - the games that do well in the indie space are ones that evoke feelings from a lost age, but Stardew is largely its own thing. Yeah, there were games like Harvest Moon that it pulls from, but people aren't coming to it for a long lost sequel like they do Hollow Knight or Ori or Cuphead or VVVVVV. It exploded in the same way that Undertale exploded: for its chill vibe and word of mouth. Stardew's advantage is that it didn't become a meme that won a previous GameFAQs contest, which apparently turned a significant number of people against Undertale.

Stardew's opponent is Destiny which is one of our weaker games. Destiny is probably better now than it was in 2015, though I'm surprised we get the original and not the seemingly superior Destiny 2. Destiny is a service game that so doesn't play here, and with Stardew being halfway legit, it might go real big.

transience's prediction: Stardew Valley with 73.65%

____________________________________________________________________________

Leonharts Analysis

Are you ready to see Destiny get tripled again? Seriously, who the heck nominated this game into another contest? Weve already seen stuff like Fortnite and Dota 2 get absolutely pummeled, and I expect the same to happen again to Destiny. Stardew Valley is probably one of the strongest indie games, and its an easy magnet to suck up those anti-votes. Its been interesting to see these top tier indie games start off hot and bleed tons of percentage afterward. Theres no telling how high Stardew Valley will get here, but if theres a situation where it can get high and stay high, its this one.

Leonharts Vote: Stardew Valley

Leonharts Prediction: Stardew Valley with 73.73%
____________________________________________________________________________

Kleenexs Analysis

Im sorry, am I reading that right? Stardew Valley got enough nominations for a 5 seed? Thats wild, but also awesome because Stardew Valley is fuckin awesome. Destiny belongs in the match from yesterday. People may like Destiny 2 nowadays (by all accounts the current state of the game is quite good), but that original game was a mess. It sort of got pulled together by the end of the third year, but that thing was *rough*. I dont think many people look back particularly fondly on that original game and itll probably show in this matchs result. Stardew is another indie darling, and one that I think has garnered more interest since its original release. It can probably only win one match, sadly, but well see what happens.

Kleenexs Prediction: Stardew Valley with 63.50%

____________________________________________________________________________

Guests Analysis Nintendogs

Stardew Valley is a well-liked game in GameFAQs. Destiny is not. While both games have sold very well, Stardew Valley benefits from being a return to form for those who like the old Harvest Moon games from the 1990's, the decade that GameFAQs never left. Destiny on the other hand, is a modern AAA, online multiplayer-oriented, loot FPS game that failed to live up to big expections and was not without controversy in the state the game was launched, and those are no-nos for NostalgiaFAQs. The website's rejection of such a game was made manifest when Starcraft demolished Destiny about 75-25 in the previous games contest.

I'm expecting another pounding on the game, this time by a social farming sim that's considered one of the stronger indies in the bracket (and one I find to be very, very boring; sorry fans).

Prediction: Stardew Valley at 68.31%
____________________________________________________________________________

Crew Consensus: Stardews destiny is to reach Round 2

---
Moltar Status: hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
... Copied to Clipboard!
Leonhart4
04/03/20 3:46:10 PM
#91:


Still no luck for the guest, I see.

---
... Copied to Clipboard!
ZeldaTPLink
04/03/20 3:51:19 PM
#92:


The other day I started talking with my sister about indies and she told me I should really check out Stardew Valley. She plays this thing all of her free time.

Now granted, she's a Harvest Moon junkie, but I think it's interesting how a random mention of indies caused this game to be brought up. I think it's legit.
... Copied to Clipboard!
pjbasis
04/03/20 3:54:19 PM
#93:


rip me I have destiny in my bracket

This is why you double check your brackets dang it!

---
... Copied to Clipboard!
Master Moltar
04/03/20 3:55:20 PM
#94:


Leonhart4 posted...
Still no luck for the guest, I see.
refresh and check again!!

---
Moltar Status: hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
... Copied to Clipboard!
Ranticoot
04/03/20 4:08:16 PM
#95:


I have Stardew Valley on Steam, but haven't played it

I don't get why Destiny is even here. From my understanding people actually do like Destiny 2, why is 1 here instead?

---
Born to lose, live to win!
... Copied to Clipboard!
transience
04/03/20 4:31:39 PM
#96:


I giggled a little at a user by the name of Nintendogs complaining that Stardew Valley was a little boring.

---
xyzzy
... Copied to Clipboard!
Master Moltar
04/03/20 7:20:45 PM
#97:


Round 1 Super Mario Galaxy 2 vs. Return of the Obra Dinn

Moltars Analysis

easy peasy we got OBRA DINN here i dont even know what a mario is

Moltars Bracket: Return of the Obra Dinn

Moltars Prediction: Return of the Obra Dinn 65%





okay fine

Moltars Bracket: Super Mario Galaxy 2

Moltars Prediction: Super Mario Galaxy 2 85%

____________________________________________________________________________

transiences Analysis

I went into GOTD2 largely shrugging due to so many unknown factors, but with three main predictions:

1. Super Mario Odyssey is the second strongest game in the bracket.
2. Persona 4 Golden is legit and, thanks to facing western games early on, will be treated as if it is a full strength game.
3. Despite all efforts, some stupid third rate Nintendo game is going to crash the party in the bottom half of the bracket, similar to how Super Mario RPG did in 2015.

Today is the first of three such contenders: Super Mario Galaxy 2, straight off of a fairly embarrassing loss to Mass Effect in 2015. Galaxy 2 is a late Wii game which is basically like saying it is a Wii U game. A lot of people abandoned the platform by the time we got to 2010, but even so, it's a core Mario game that is super well regarded as one of the best platformers ever.

Its opponent is Return of the Obra Dinn, a mega cool Lucas Pope game with an amazing aesthetic and oh yeah one of the weakest games in this bracket. This thing is a homeless man's Walking Dead, and even that might be pushing it. If there's one thing I know about voters, it's that when given the choice between a cool obscure indie game and a Mario game, they're going Mario every time. I'm looking for Galaxy 2, despite not thinking a ton of it, to go for one of the biggest blowouts of the contest here. You don't need to care about Galaxy 2 to vote here. Some people will overreact and say that Witcher 3 is in trouble. They might be right!

transience's prediction: Super Mario Galaxy 2 with 83.55%

____________________________________________________________________________

Leonharts Analysis

If theres ever a time for Super Mario Galaxy 2 to look great, its now! The game suffered an upset loss to the original Mass Effect in 2015 (which I predicted, by the way!), and its a step below even Galaxy 1s thoroughly average contest strength. For whatever the reason, this site never really took to the Galaxy games despite their sterling reception and great sales numbers. That shouldnt be an issue here though because Return of the Obra Dinn will probably be one of the weakest games in the contest. Im just curious to see how high of a percentage Galaxy 2 is actually capable of!

Leonharts Vote: Super Mario Galaxy 2

Leonharts Prediction: Super Mario Galaxy with 82.64%
____________________________________________________________________________

Kleenexs Analysis

I should play Obra Dinn someday.

We already have a general idea of where Galaxy 2 stands - roughly equal to the first Mass Effect. Thats clearly enough to take down Obra Dinn, which I have pegged as one of the weaker games in the bracket. It does seem to be well liked by the people who have played, but Im just not sure how many people that actually is. I dont think its a lot, and thats a bad place to be when youre against a game with Mario in the title. Given what we saw Odyssey do a few days ago, theres a reasonable chance that Obra Dinn gets obliterated here.

Kleenexs Prediction: Super Mario Galaxy 2 with 81.75%

____________________________________________________________________________

Guests Analysis SuperNiceDog

Not much to say here, massive Mario game from 2010 versus an indie game from late 2018. Even the Return of Obra Dinn subreddit is small, around 904 members, so yea, little to no hope.

This match mainly will be to show what kind of realistic chance SMG2 will have in it's upcoming showdown in the 3rd round against The Witcher 3. I'd say it needs around 81% in this match to have a shot against Witcher. I think it will get very close to it.

Super Mario Galaxy 2 with 80%
____________________________________________________________________________

Crew Consensus: Super Mario Round 2

---
Moltar Status: hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
... Copied to Clipboard!
MetalmindStats
04/03/20 7:25:17 PM
#98:


Everyone seems to insist on ranking indie games, as if they're somehow in the same genre or have the same fanbases.
If you take out the word 'indie', this is the basic impetus for x-stats, so it's a very natural impulse.

Also, I'm not altogether convinced VVVVVV evokes nostalgia of anything GameFAQs actually cares about.

---
"I believe in a universe that doesn't care, and people who do."
You won the CBX Guru Contest, Advokaiser! Bully for you!
... Copied to Clipboard!
Leonhart4
04/03/20 7:26:24 PM
#99:


... Copied to Clipboard!
Kotetsu534
04/03/20 7:30:42 PM
#100:


The Witcher 3 is going to be the biggest bomb of the big contenders, and isn't even going to be a fair bomb, because there's no reason to think it should be shooting for 80% on an Assassin's Creed game (which I'm sure sucks, but isn't going to be anti-voted to hell like Call of Duty).

If it actually hits 80% then lol me.

---
We are living our lives
Abound with so much information
... Copied to Clipboard!
Topic List
Page List: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 ... 10