Board 8 > KP's (In-Depth) 2018 Contest Analysis

Topic List
Page List: 1 ... 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10
KanzarisKelshen
10/15/18 9:44:19 PM
#302:


ZenOfThunder posted...
it comes out two days AFTER his match with Peach! It won't matter unless it's a monster (lol) hit and the buzz lasts to round 2. if he gets to round 2.


Zen, have you read Berserk (the manga)? Because pretty much everyone says 'Castlevania anime is the Berserk anime we always wanted, but, y'know, good' and that kinda sums up how everyone feels about it. It's been very warmly received which is unusual because usually videogame adaptations tank really hard. I don't think it's an enormous deal but it's a bit of nice help for Alucard in case he needs it.
---
Shine on, you crazy diamond.
... Copied to Clipboard!
ZenOfThunder
10/15/18 9:45:37 PM
#303:


The Plan
---
Curator of the Character Battle X Archive
https://bit.ly/2RFxBzp
... Copied to Clipboard!
ZenOfThunder
10/15/18 9:46:01 PM
#304:


KanzarisKelshen posted...
ZenOfThunder posted...
it comes out two days AFTER his match with Peach! It won't matter unless it's a monster (lol) hit and the buzz lasts to round 2. if he gets to round 2.


Zen, have you read Berserk (the manga)? Because pretty much everyone says 'Castlevania anime is the Berserk anime we always wanted, but, y'know, good' and that kinda sums up how everyone feels about it. It's been very warmly received which is unusual because usually videogame adaptations tank really hard. I don't think it's an enormous deal but it's a bit of nice help for Alucard in case he needs it.


i have not, i always mean to cuz KP told me how good it is
---
Curator of the Character Battle X Archive
https://bit.ly/2RFxBzp
... Copied to Clipboard!
KamikazePotato
10/15/18 9:53:00 PM
#305:


Division 4 Match 9
2B vs. Shadow/Ness


https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/6945-best-of-2017-playstation-4
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5239-character-battle-ix-division-5-round-2-shadow-vs-leon-vs
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5166-character-battle-ix-division-3-round-1-cats-vs-ness-vs-locke

I think this is where 2B's 1 Seed is exposed for the lie that it is. Didn't take very long! Simply put, Ness and Shadow are low-midcard to mid-midcard level depending on how weird they're feeling that day, and I just don't think 2B reaches that level. A good character design only goes so far when GameFAQs just hasn't played your game. Considering the site demographics, GameFAQs latched onto Nier a lot less than the rest of the internet did. It didn't do particularly well in playrates or the GotY polls.

She can still win though, simply because Ness/Shadow aren't that great. But they have results, and 2B is just too untested for me to go with her. She'll come close, and could very easily end up winning if she exceeds my expectations even by a little bit, but it's very difficult for new characters to have legitimate strength on GameFAQs and I don't think 2B will be one of the exceptions.

Result:
Ness/Shadow - 52%
2B - 48%

Ness/Shadow have a 60% chance of winning

--

Division 4 Match 10
Charizard vs. Bowser


https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3845-heart-division-final-bowser-vs-charizard
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5251-character-battle-ix-division-9-round-2-zelda-vs-dk-vs
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3832-heart-division-round-3-sora-vs-bowser

This match will be a referendum on how bandwagon strength doesn't last. It's easy to look at the Charizard/Bowser result in 2010 and then wonder why Allen even set up this rematch in the first place, buuut then Charizard almost lost to Zelda. Now, make no mistake. Zelda is a strong character. She's very much an elite. But I don't think she's quite at Bowser's level, and honestly, I would bet that if you Charizard loses to Zelda if you remove DK from the match. Pokemon overlaps with Nintendo a little less than other Nintendo properties. His result against Mega Man was even worse. As I said before; losing a match where you have a big LFF advantage is tough to live down.

On the other hand, Bowser is...Bowser. He's always been strong and always will be. Losing to a steroid Mewtwo benefiting from Undertale spillover isn't something people are going to hold against him. He has no reason to drop and who knows, maybe Mario Galaxy boost him a bit. I doubt it though. It's Bowser. You know your opinion on Bowser by now.

I'm going to make a bit of a statement: I think Bowser is the clear favorite here. Charizard's bandwagon strength is probably entirely gone by now, Pokemon is probably quite as strong as it was in 2013, and he was already under Bowser in the 2013 x-stats to begin with. Charizard might still clinch the victory with Pokemon Bullshit (tm) but I think he needs that to clinch the victory. Otherwise, the superior Fire type is going to get his revenge, and it's a dish best served hot.

Result:
Bowser - 53%
Charizard - 47%

Bowser has a 70% chance of winning
---
Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
... Copied to Clipboard!
KamikazePotato
10/15/18 9:53:17 PM
#306:


Berserk is super good. KP confirmed.
---
Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
... Copied to Clipboard!
ZenOfThunder
10/15/18 10:02:49 PM
#307:


i dunno where else to say this but i am so glad we avoided seeing any characters from games for babies like Freddy Fazbear, Fortnite Garbage and Minecraft Steve (again)

they don't even have rally potential cuz kids don't use the internet fully yet. they're just wastes of space.
---
Curator of the Character Battle X Archive
https://bit.ly/2RFxBzp
... Copied to Clipboard!
DoomTheGyarados
10/15/18 10:03:39 PM
#308:


KP I love this topic btw. I don't tend to post in these much, I am a lurking whore, but your analysis is absolute ace.
---
Sir Chris
... Copied to Clipboard!
AxemRedRanger
10/15/18 10:04:24 PM
#309:


you say undertale instead of draven and then next sentence galaxy instead of odyssey

you're doing this on purpose

and will concur, berserk is very good

or at least it was. haven't kept up with it for like 8 years.
---
[NO BARKLEY NO PEACE]
[NO BKSheikah NO PEACE]
... Copied to Clipboard!
KamikazePotato
10/15/18 10:04:45 PM
#310:


Thanks Chris! Comments like that are always very appreciated.
---
Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
... Copied to Clipboard!
ZenOfThunder
10/15/18 10:05:41 PM
#311:


Pa01J7I

i searched "gamefaqs" on tumblr and this was the only relevant post made recently. it has 0 notes.

who knows how successful a sans rally would be there now
---
Curator of the Character Battle X Archive
https://bit.ly/2RFxBzp
... Copied to Clipboard!
KamikazePotato
10/15/18 10:05:55 PM
#312:


AxemRedRanger posted...
you say undertale instead of draven and then next sentence galaxy instead of odyssey

you're doing this on purpose

When you are pumping out a bunch of analysis posters in order to meet a contest deadline, words get weird

Thankfully, you guys make for good beta testers
---
Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
... Copied to Clipboard!
ZeldaTPLink
10/15/18 10:14:05 PM
#313:


ZenOfThunder posted...
i searched "gamefaqs" on tumblr and this was the only relevant post made recently. it has 0 notes.

who knows how successful a sans rally would be there now


It doesn't matter how relevant gameFAQs wish, it matters how relevant Undertale is.

How I wish average rally power decreased along with the popularity of GF in the internet.
... Copied to Clipboard!
KamikazePotato
10/15/18 10:16:15 PM
#314:


Division 4 Match 11
Phoenix Wright vs. Ike


https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5155-character-battle-ix-division-2-round-1-phoenix-vs-marth-vs
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5229-character-battle-ix-division-2-round-2-phoenix-vs-vincent-vs

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3803-mushroom-division-round-2-zidane-tribal-vs-ike
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5174-character-battle-ix-division-4-round-1-ike-vs-proto-man-vs

Phoenix Wright (2013c) has a strength of 27.49 against Base Link.
Ike (2013c) has a strength of 27.86 against Base Link.
Phoenix Wright49.34%
Ike50.66%
Ike wins with 50.66% of the vote

Tough one to call. Ike and Phoenix looked about even in 2013 (Ike was stronger in 2010 but Wright has boosted since then). Ike is generally considered to be a half-step above Marth, and Phoenix also proved himself to be at least a half-step above Marth.

I think this match, one way or another, is in Phoenix's hands. Ike has been pretty consistent since his debut. He might get a small boost this contest thanks to Smash Ultimate coming out soon and him begin prominently featured in Fire Emblem Heroes, but it wouldn't be anything major. On the other hand, Phoenix has been on a constant upward trend since his very first appearance. Beating Marth in a completely fair setting (Nightmare wasn't doing much to taint that poll) was when he finally became a character that can win important matches on his own terms. Kind of fits his personal in-game growth! Anyway, if Phoenix continues this upward trend, he wins. It's close enough that even a small boost would swing things.

I have the feeling that he's mostly hit his ceiling though. It's not like characters can keep boosting forever without cause. Wright kept getting more and more exposure with tons of ports, an anime, and an Ultimate Marvel vs. Capcom 3 appearance, and it did a lot for him. Since then, while the series has kept getting ports, more anime, and even a new game, the general feeling I get is that the Ace Attorney series is in a lull right now. Not a slump per se, it's just that nothing big is happening at the moment. There's nothing on the immediate horizon to get hyped about.

With all that said - I'm betting on Phoenix for the simple reason that I think his fans care more. Our votals are going to be extremely low to the point where the board vote matters. The hardcore fans matter. There's no one this will matter for more than Phoenix Wright, who is the ultimate B8 darling. It won't be a huge effect, but in a match like this, every bit matters.

Result:
Phoenix Wright - 51%
Ike - 49%

Phoenix Wright has a 60% chance of winning

--

Division 4 Match 12
Isaac vs. Kirby


https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3808-heart-division-round-2-l-block-vs-isaac
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5255-character-battle-ix-division-3-final-sephiroth-vs-big-boss

Hiiiiiiii~

Result:
Kirby - 68%
Isaac - 32%

Kirby has a 100% chance of winning
---
Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
... Copied to Clipboard!
DoomTheGyarados
10/15/18 10:18:58 PM
#315:


I think Phoenix has a strong chance to be a bit of a three way fraud and so I am taking Ike there in a close match.
---
Sir Chris
... Copied to Clipboard!
ZeldaTPLink
10/15/18 10:19:37 PM
#316:


Kirby would have beaten Sephiroth if only registered votes counted.

Never Forget.
... Copied to Clipboard!
LeonhartFour
10/15/18 10:20:57 PM
#317:


I mean Phoenix losing in a close match wouldn't make him a fraud

if anything it would validate him
---
... Copied to Clipboard!
ZenOfThunder
10/15/18 10:21:54 PM
#318:


i have archived everything up to isaac/kirby

does anyone have any special requests for things to be archived from this thread

cuz it's a good thread but i dont wanna save every post
---
Curator of the Character Battle X Archive
https://bit.ly/2RFxBzp
... Copied to Clipboard!
ZeldaTPLink
10/15/18 10:23:37 PM
#319:


ZenOfThunder posted...
i have archived everything up to isaac/kirby

does anyone have any special requests for things to be archived from this thread

cuz it's a good thread but i dont wanna save every post


If you haven't yet archived Leon and KP arguing about Yuna vs Alucard do it because it's still got me thinking about it.
... Copied to Clipboard!
KamikazePotato
10/15/18 10:33:44 PM
#320:


Division 5 Match 9
Squall vs. Garrus


https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5247-character-battle-ix-division-8-round-2-squall-vs-amaterasu
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5159-character-battle-ix-division-2-round-1-garrus-vs-sub-zero-vs

Insert 'happy to be here' writeup.

Result:
Squall - 65%
Garrus - 35%

Squall has a 100% chance of winning

--

Division 5 Match 10
The Boss vs. Zelda


https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5230-character-battle-ix-division-2-round-2-the-boss-vs-sub-zero
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5251-character-battle-ix-division-9-round-2-zelda-vs-dk-vs

Insert 'happy to be here' writeup.

Result:
The Boss - 41%
Zelda - 59%

Zelda has a 100% chance of winning

--

Division 5 Match 11
Aloy vs. Fox


https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/6945-best-of-2017-playstation-4
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3779-gear-division-round-1-lloyd-irving-vs-fox-mccloud

Insert 'happy to be here' writeup.

Result:
Aloy - 31%
Fox - 69%

Fox has a 100% chance of winning

--

Division 5 Match 12
Shovel Knight vs. Aerith


https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/6101-best-game-ever-day-13-gta-san-andreas-vs-shovel-knight
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5226-character-battle-ix-division-1-round-2-shepard-vs-tharja-vs

Insert 'happy to be here' writeup.

Result:
Shovel Knight - 34%
Aerith - 66%

Aerith has a 100% chance of winning

--

Not the toughest division to predict.
---
Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
... Copied to Clipboard!
KamikazePotato
10/15/18 10:57:26 PM
#321:


Division 6 Match 9
Geralt vs. Ryu Hayabusa


https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/6204-best-of-2015-game-of-the-year
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/6141-best-game-ever-day-23-round-2-the-witcher-3-vs-metal-gear

Now this is a tricky one. If Geralt lives up to his full potential, he could easily win this. Chris made a comment earlier in the topic about him being in a similar state to Shepard, being the face of a very popular WRPG series that GameFAQs has taken to. While I think Shepard is above his ceiling simply because Shepard is a more iconic character, it's still something to very much take into consideration. The potential is there - he just has to realize it.

Then there's Hayabusa. I've said it before, but I simply don't trust him this year. Hayabusa has random matches where he looks really good, but honestly he has more matches where he...doesn't. His most recent claim to fame is 'upsetting' Master Chief in 2010, which looks worse in hindsight after seeing Chief perform poorly in 2013. I'm still really disappointed that he couldn't even get past Zack in 2013 despite Kefka being in the same poll. Didn't even come close.

But, well, even a Hayabusa that's past his prime is still a legitimate midcard threat. Can Geralt reach the midcard? Honestly, I think he can. Shepard implies good things about him, Witcher 3 is a really big game, and...well, honestly, his 1 Seed impresses the hell out of me. Every other 1 Seed is an elite or 2B, who was propped up by B8. We've seen 1 Seeds get snakebitten, but even the 'frauds' tend to have a good amount of strength behind them. It's a coinflip match...which means that top option has this.

Result:
Geralt - 52%
Ryu Hayabusa - 48%

Geralt has a 50% chance of winning

--

Division 6 Match 10
Sans/Pac-man vs. Riku


https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/6204-best-of-2015-game-of-the-year
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3815-midgar-division-round-2-riku-vs-captain-falcon

Either Sans gets a rally or he loses here. Same with Pac-man, except his chances are even worse because he definitely isn't getting rallied. Riku may be weaker than he used to be, but he's still got strength in him and KH3 is coming as well. Sans would have to be a lot stronger than expected for him to win here on his own terms.

Result:
Sans/Pac-man - 43%
Riku - 57%

Riku has a 95% chance of winning

--

Division 6 Match 11
Auron vs. Vincent


https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3839-gear-division-round-3-auron-vs-squall
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5201-character-battle-ix-division-7-round-1-auron-vs-ocelot-vs

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5156-character-battle-ix-division-2-round-1-kos-mos-vs-dunban-vs
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5156-character-battle-ix-division-2-round-1-kos-mos-vs-dunban-vs

Years ago, Vincent is the easy pick to win this. Now, uh...

Auron (2013c) has a strength of 36.60 against Base Link.
Vincent (2013c) has a strength of 29.89 against Base Link.
Auron59.17%
Vincent40.83%
Auron wins with 59.17% of the vote!

Yeah. Mighty have fallen, and all that. Auron could drop a lot and still easily beat Vincent.

Auron has a 95% chance of winning

--

Division 6 Match 12
Sub-Zero vs. Claire


https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3765-varia-division-round-1-tidus-vs-sub-zero
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5204-character-battle-ix-division-7-round-1-chief-vs-yuna-vs

Claire has just never been on the level of the other big RE characters. Leon would take this but Claire, not so much. She's simply a lot weaker.

Sub-Zero - 61%
Claire - 39%

Sub-Zero has a 100% chance of winning
---
Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
... Copied to Clipboard!
#322
Post #322 was unavailable or deleted.
VideoboysaysCube
10/16/18 12:34:26 AM
#323:


tag
---
This sentence has five words. This sentence has eight words. Only one sentence in this signature is true.
... Copied to Clipboard!
ExThaNemesis
10/16/18 9:58:46 AM
#324:


I have flip flopped back and forth on Geralt/Hayabusa/Simon Belmont about a dozen times since the bracket came out.

Glad I don't have much longer before the decision making is over.
---
"undertale hangs out with mido" - ZFS
Not changing this sig until CM Punk returns to the WWE
... Copied to Clipboard!
pyresword
10/16/18 10:11:46 AM
#325:


If you think Geralt is going to lose to Hayabusa/Belmont than you shouldn't have him coming out of round 1, imo. Of course I seem to be alone in this belief so take that however you will.

(For the record my bracket as of now has Geralt winning the 4-pack)
---
Congratulations to BK_Sheikah00, this year's guru to achieve contest enlightenment!
... Copied to Clipboard!
ExThaNemesis
10/16/18 10:16:39 AM
#326:


Don't worry I gave Gerry/Rosalina some thought as well.

I wonder how Rosalina matches up with Dragonborn.
---
"undertale hangs out with mido" - ZFS
Not changing this sig until CM Punk returns to the WWE
... Copied to Clipboard!
AxemRedRanger
10/16/18 10:40:51 AM
#327:


https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/2548-limit-division-final-tifa-lockhart-vs-princess-peach
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5245-character-battle-ix-division-7-round-2-dragonborn-vs-yuna-vs

Dragonborn would have needed at least 14.08% of Yuna's votes to break his way to match Peach's performance, which is probably likely, and Rosalina is probably not near Peach's level. You'd figure Tifa would be at least a little stronger in 2006 though.
---
[NO BARKLEY NO PEACE]
[NO BKSheikah NO PEACE]
... Copied to Clipboard!
charmander6000
10/16/18 11:17:50 AM
#328:


I had Rosalina over Geralt for a while too, but that's more due to how little I think of him.
---
Congratulations to BKSheikah for winning the guru
... Copied to Clipboard!
scaryice
10/16/18 11:47:39 AM
#329:


UltimaterializerX posted...
Geralts comp isnt Shepard. Its Dragonborn.


Strongly disagree. Like Mass Effect, Witcher is a much more character/story based game than Skyrim.
---
Congrats to BKSheikah, the new Guru champ! Not that I'm bitter or anything...
... Copied to Clipboard!
LeonhartFour
10/16/18 12:04:36 PM
#330:


pyresword posted...
If you think Geralt is going to lose to Hayabusa/Belmont than you shouldn't have him coming out of round 1, imo. Of course I seem to be alone in this belief so take that however you will.

(For the record my bracket as of now has Geralt winning the 4-pack)


If you think he's bad enough to lose to Simon Belmont, sure.

Hayabusa ain't losing to Rosalina.
---
... Copied to Clipboard!
KamikazePotato
10/16/18 2:09:18 PM
#331:


Yeah no one cares about the generic poster boy Dragonorn. Geralt would absolutely beat him.
---
Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
... Copied to Clipboard!
ZenOfThunder
10/16/18 2:23:23 PM
#332:


Geralt actually has a personality, Dragonborn is just some bland looking goober from the cover of a game everyone has played for 200 hours

here's an excerpt from my 2013 anal-sys:

In 2018, a Yuna vs Dragonborn 1v1 might be entertaining to watch, but probably not. Skyrim is strong on this site, but Dragonborn would need to somehow reflect every player's personal Dragonborn for him/her to stand a chance.

---
Curator of the Character Battle X Archive
https://bit.ly/2RFxBzp
... Copied to Clipboard!
#333
Post #333 was unavailable or deleted.
SuperNiceDog
10/16/18 2:44:06 PM
#334:


Rosalina has TJF, its over.

Geralt's some nobody
---
Raytan wins!
... Copied to Clipboard!
ZenOfThunder
10/16/18 3:07:50 PM
#335:


i think you're putting too much stock into rosalina's titties.

they're like nonexistent unless she somehow gets a mario kart pic and even then there's not much there
---
Curator of the Character Battle X Archive
https://bit.ly/2RFxBzp
... Copied to Clipboard!
WitcherGeralt
10/16/18 3:20:17 PM
#336:


Does Geralt get any sort of discernible boost from Soul Calibur 6?
... Copied to Clipboard!
ZenOfThunder
10/16/18 3:25:24 PM
#337:


WitcherGeralt posted...
Does Geralt get any sort of discernible boost from Soul Calibur 6?


SeaOro8

ehhh
---
Curator of the Character Battle X Archive
https://bit.ly/2RFxBzp
... Copied to Clipboard!
Mac Arrowny
10/16/18 3:43:51 PM
#338:


wow, if 11% of the site plays SC6 that could be pretty huge, since one wouldn't expect a gigantic overlap between existing Witcher and Soul Calibur fans
---
All the stars in the sky are waiting for you.
... Copied to Clipboard!
LeonhartFour
10/16/18 6:30:19 PM
#339:


LOL CoDBlOps

never forget that Modern Warfare 2 once won GOTY here
---
... Copied to Clipboard!
-hotdogturtle--
10/16/18 6:36:03 PM
#340:


tag
---
Hey man, LlamaGuy did encrypt the passwords.
With what? ROT-13? -CJayC
... Copied to Clipboard!
Team Rocket Elite
10/16/18 7:37:55 PM
#341:


KamikazePotato posted...
Yeah no one cares about the generic poster boy Dragonorn. Geralt would absolutely beat him.


Is Fus Ro Dah not a thing anymore? >_>
---
This was not the best year for my bracket.
Congrats to BK_Sheikah00 for winning the BYIG Guru Contest!
... Copied to Clipboard!
haloiscoolisbak
10/16/18 7:41:17 PM
#342:


ExThaNemesis posted...
I have flip flopped back and forth on Geralt/Hayabusa/Simon Belmont about a dozen times since the bracket came out.

Glad I don't have much longer before the decision making is over.


Yeah I just want it to start now. Some matches are giving me anxiety lol
---
Started from the bottom now we here
... Copied to Clipboard!
NowItsAngeTime
10/16/18 7:46:15 PM
#343:


Team Rocket Elite posted...
KamikazePotato posted...
Yeah no one cares about the generic poster boy Dragonorn. Geralt would absolutely beat him.


Is Fus Ro Dah not a thing anymore? >_>


As far as I know I dont hear it anymore
---
ISFJ Big on Visual Novels, Anime, Video games. Twitter: superange128
Planned 2018 Fighting Game Mains: https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DgH4MCHVMAAKV9l.png
... Copied to Clipboard!
-hotdogturtle--
10/16/18 8:28:54 PM
#344:


I have Sans beating Bayonetta to face Geralt. It's a bit scary because of Geralt's unknown status, but I can see him plateauing and losing to Sans, which then means that Sans made it through 4 rounds without the assistance of a rally. Somehow I feel like I'd give Ryu H better odds than Geralt for beating Sans, but this goes back to the earlier round where nobody can say whether RH would beat Geralt to get there.
---
Hey man, LlamaGuy did encrypt the passwords.
With what? ROT-13? -CJayC
... Copied to Clipboard!
LeonhartFour
10/16/18 10:33:29 PM
#345:


... Copied to Clipboard!
ZeldaTPLink
10/16/18 10:35:54 PM
#346:


LeonhartFour posted...
in 3 days we will be enjoying contest matches


You sound like a little boy waiting for chrtistimas, lol.
... Copied to Clipboard!
ZeldaTPLink
10/16/18 10:36:10 PM
#347:


(then again this is problably better than christmas tbh)
... Copied to Clipboard!
LeonhartFour
10/16/18 10:36:48 PM
#348:


I mean it's 1-on-1 for 24 hours the whole contest for the first time since literally 2006

(good riddance, 12-hour matches)
---
... Copied to Clipboard!
KamikazePotato
10/16/18 10:45:11 PM
#349:


Division 7 Match 9
Luigi vs. Frog


https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5232-character-battle-ix-division-3-round-2-luigi-vs-big-boss-vs
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3757-heart-division-round-1-bowser-vs-frog

Yeah, blasting Frog's theme in the 11th hour only goes so far.

Result:
Luigi - 64%
Frog - 36%

--

Division 7 Match 10
Master Chief vs. Nathan Drake


https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3805-mushroom-division-round-2-ryu-hayabusa-vs-master-chief
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5204-character-battle-ix-division-7-round-1-chief-vs-yuna-vs

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5195-character-battle-ix-division-6-round-1-drake-vs-steve-vs-pac
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5242-character-battle-ix-division-6-round-2-mr-game-vs-drake-vs

Master Chief (2013c) has a strength of 25.05 against Base Link.
Nathan Drake (2013c) has a strength of 24.32 against Base Link.
Master Chief51.46%
Nathan Drake48.54%
Master Chief wins with 51.46% of the vote!

Screw this match, man. Master Chief in a match where he has the advantage - but not enough of the advantage to make it shutout - tends to end really poorly for him. Frog. Sub-Zero. Hayabusa. Yuna (in 2013). Chief had some good four-way years that were empowered by GAME FUEL, and outside of that he's done nothing but disappoint. He basically invented the concept of the anti-vote in our contests.

Now, that's not to say Nathan Drake is amazing. Drake's best year was easily 2013 and that still only made him a little stronger than Pac-man. That was back when Uncharted was current and hyped. Uncharted 3 had come out a few years ago and Uncharted 4 was on the horizon. For a lot of western characters, that period of hype will always be their strongest time. Drake might avoid that, but there's definitely precedent to say he falls off.

Where does that leave Master Chief, though? He's in the same boat. You could say that Master Chief in 2013 was already post-hype Chief, and so he doesn't have any farther to fall, but I disagree. If Master Chief had the good sense to end on a high note with Halo 3, then he might have become a nostalgic character for GameFAQs. Unfortunately he decided to release a bunch of unimpressive sequels no one cared about, which will do nothing to boost himself (and his series) AND puts a damper on the nostalgia factor. Halo used to be the biggest FPS deal there was. Now it's just another shooter on a market, and it's not even close to being top dog.

Matches like these suck because it's about you trying to figure out who loses rather than who wins. I think that - in the end - Drake will have a bit of better staying power simply because he's an actual character. Lots of WESTERN HYPE characters fall off because no one gives a crap about them. You think anyone on GameFAQs actually liked Kratos? People like Drake though, a lot more than they like Chief. That helps. He probably drops a bit but nowhere near to the extent that Chief did after people ran out of GAME FUEL.

And lastly, but most importantly of all, you don't bet on Chief in 1 v 1s unless you want to feel stupid. For the record? MC absolutely has the advantage in this match. He's just a bit stronger. He's supposed to be a bit stronger. And that's why he'll lose. If he wanted to win, he should've been the overwhelming favorite instead of a minor favorite.

Result:
Master Chief - 49%
Nathan Drake - 51%

Nathan Drake has a 40%* chance of winning

*Probability not adjusted for Master Chief's choking tendencies
---
Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
... Copied to Clipboard!
LeonhartFour
10/16/18 10:47:36 PM
#350:


Master Chief was literally the biggest round 1 favorite ever to lose in 2006 to Sub-Zero so being an overwhelming favorite doesn't help him either!

It still blows my mind that only 20% had Sub-Zero.
---
... Copied to Clipboard!
ExThaNemesis
10/16/18 10:49:01 PM
#351:


*one of the proud 20% who had him*
---
"undertale hangs out with mido" - ZFS
Not changing this sig until CM Punk returns to the WWE
... Copied to Clipboard!
Topic List
Page List: 1 ... 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10